Readit NewsFor me, this totally eliminates back strain from working. I've also got a friend who uses a La-Z-Boy in his home office, with his laptop connected to the TV. He can't say enough good things about that setup.
Can you elaborate on this? Sounds like it might be a way to limit back strain? Do you have a desk at all?
The reason this does well, is that oftentimes, (1) overestimates the true answer by roughly the same multiplicative factor as (2) underestimates the true answer by. So the geometric mean cancels the over and under estimates in order to get an estimation that does pretty well.
I find that this works remarkably well for estimating the dimensions of buildings, trees, etc.
(Best + Worst + 4 * Average) / 6
One nice property is that it imposes a distribution that adjusts for longer tailed risks.
Most project managers I've worked with either have a desired estimate already in mind or they don't care about any of the extenuating circumstances.
On one hand, the desired estimate is often based on the knowledge that projects estimated to take more than a quarter aren't going to get a green light.
On the other hand, it's ridiculous how many projects blow through estimates when external dependencies are ignored, newly-hired engineers create a burden on the project, and de-scoped work turns out to be necessary.
Those project managers also pursue the same estimation agenda even after several projects turn out the same way.
This is an aspect of the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planning_fallacy.
There has been a significant push back against the project locally and so I suspect it won’t be built to the scale proposed. The main criticism is that the land is particularly fertile.
0: https://www.mallardpasssolar.co.uk/
1: https://www.stamfordmercury.co.uk/news/amp/clock-is-ticking-...
https://doomberg.substack.com/p/20000-volts-under-the-sea
"The Xlinks project is a pretty good concept, and yet…it needs access to materials already claimed by many others at prices increasing by the day, it needs to build an entire HVDC industry in Britain from the ground up, and it needs money, lots of it."