questhimay (u/questhimay)

questhimay commented on DJI ban passes the House and moves on to the Senate dronedj.com/2024/06/14/dj... · Posted by u/huerne

throwaway_j12 · a year ago

Doesn't this seem at odds with the facts?

China isn't militarily supporting Russia or Ukraine. Ukraine's drone army is built from cheap Chinese drones. China is neutral. The argument that it hasn't sanctioned Russia means it is a party to the war on Russia's side is an argument of the form "if you aren't with us, you are against us." But then, you'd think the US would levy the same kind of vitriol at e.g. India.

China is led by a General Secretary of the Communist Party's central committee. Taiwan and China are recognized by the United States by international treaty as one country.

China is "attacking" the US? The US and China are in economic warfare (an economic war started by the United States under the Trump Administration). The reason for this is the US sees China's economic rise as a threat to its global position.

questhimay · a year ago

China is not neutral

China supporting Russia in massive military expansion, US says. Beijing helping with drone production, space-based capabilities and ballistic missile production https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/12/china-supporti...

China is lead by a dictator

Biden calls Xi a dictator https://www.reuters.com/world/biden-calls-xi-dictator-after-...

Germany's foreign minister called Xi Jinping a “dictator” https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/19/china/china-germany-xi-dictat...

questhimay commented on DJI ban passes the House and moves on to the Senate dronedj.com/2024/06/14/dj... · Posted by u/huerne

mrandish · a year ago

This is so misguided it's breathtaking. Even if one buys into the supposed "harm" it's apparently trying to address, by targeting a specific corporate entity the proposed legislation won't do anything meaningful toward those ends. But it will confuse the market and hurt U.S. hobbyist consumers while being largely unenforceable anyway.

It's one of those things that's just so dumb you assume it's only congressional election year virtue signaling designed to get some headlines and then be quietly negotiated away during 'reconciliation', yet congressional processes are so dysfunctional there's always a risk it accidentally becomes law.

questhimay · a year ago

Why would ou think it's "dumb", when we've already had TikTok ban, tariff on Chinese EV, and chip ban on China?

It's very clear that China is an enemy that has to be dealt with by US

questhimay commented on TSMC EUV machines equipped with remote self-destruct in case of invasion tomshardware.com/tech-ind... · Posted by u/bookofjoe

jhanschoo · a year ago

There were a lot of good reasons why Putin shouldn't have invaded Ukraine either. Yet Putin had been making shows of aggression and threats to invade, while securing his political position in Russia for a decade. You can see that Xi had been pursuing similar moves. I'm not sure autocrats see things as reasonably as you do.

questhimay · a year ago

Putin thought the war was only going to be for a few days - according to research by the think tank RUSI, when Vladimir Putin began his invasion, he expected to take control of Ukraine within 10 days https://www.iwm.org.uk/history/how-Putin-lost-in-10-days. He couldn't pull out of the war subsequently in fear of losing control and face. Xi is an idiot, but even he can see his potential downfall, given Russia's failure.

questhimay commented on TSMC EUV machines equipped with remote self-destruct in case of invasion tomshardware.com/tech-ind... · Posted by u/bookofjoe

kernal · a year ago

China could invade Taiwan anytime they wanted, and given the current instability in the world, it would probably be the most opportune time. Additionally, Taiwan's defences would easily be annihilated with several strategic hypersonic missile salvos. Taiwan wouldn't know what hit them. And since they're an island, China would prevent all imports until they surrender. As for your argument regarding its allies, no one is going to mess with China and its arsenal of hypersonic nuclear weapons.

questhimay · a year ago

Ukraine is still holding its own despite Russia's hypersonic missile prowess.

If you are talking about a blockade, as we've seen from Russia's invasion, Russia's world's second best navy is already powerless against Ukraine's drone attacks and missiles. And US has already warned China on a potential blockade as being very high cost.

questhimay commented on TSMC EUV machines equipped with remote self-destruct in case of invasion tomshardware.com/tech-ind... · Posted by u/bookofjoe

bryanlarsen · a year ago

As a peer mentioned, China has 12 million unemployed men. That's more than in all of NATO.

> China imports vast quantities of goods, so yes, debt matters.

Yes, external debt matters. However, they don't have much external debt.

And China's imports are decreasing faster than their exports are. And that trend will accelerate because the two biggest are electronics which we are sanctioning and oil which they are rapidly weaning themselves off of.

questhimay · a year ago

Meatgrinder hasn't exactly worked for Russia yet. Especially if the Chinese soldiers are all sitting en mass on large, slow moving boats going across a 100 mile strait.

Unless you think the China's plan is to fill the Taiwan straits with so many dead bodies/boats so quickly, that it will create a corpse bridge for tanks to roll on.

questhimay commented on TSMC EUV machines equipped with remote self-destruct in case of invasion tomshardware.com/tech-ind... · Posted by u/bookofjoe

bryanlarsen · a year ago

If what you say is true then that increases the chance of war soon, it doesn't decrease it.

AFAICT, the Chinese administration believes it must reunify Taiwan; they've backed themselves into a corner with their rhetoric. They haven't because they believe it's better to wait because the chances of it happening militarily or peacefully are greater in the future than they are now.

But if it's going to be harder in the future, they must invade now.

Luckily I don't believe your argument holds.

Taiwan's birth rate is roughly similar to China's, so it doesn't really affect their relative positions.

China's debt is 85% sovereign so it's not a forcing factor either.

questhimay · a year ago

My point about birth rate is that China does not have enough men in the right age to fight a protracted war. Especially if the men are only sons.

And it's not China vs Taiwan straight up. It's China vs Taiwan, US, Japan, Australia, parts of nato.

China imports vast quantities of goods, so yes, debt matters.