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pmg101 commented on Horses: AI progress is steady. Human equivalence is sudden   andyljones.com/posts/hors... · Posted by u/pbui
xlbuttplug2 · 6 days ago
I think the turning point will be when AI assisted individuals or tiny companies are able to deliver comparable products/value as the goliaths.
pmg101 · 6 days ago
Why hasn't this happened already?

I'm willing to believe the hype on LLMs except that I don't see any tiny 1-senior-dev-plus-agents companies disrupting the market. Maybe it just hasn't happened "yet"... But I've been kind of wondering the same thing for most of 2025.

pmg101 commented on Horses: AI progress is steady. Human equivalence is sudden   andyljones.com/posts/hors... · Posted by u/pbui
underyx · 6 days ago
Ctrl-F 'lines', 0 results

Ctrl-F 'code', 0 results

What is this comment about?

pmg101 · 6 days ago
"The LLM can write lines of code, sure, but can it be productive?" is, I think, the implied question.
pmg101 commented on Estimates are difficult for developers and product owners   thorsell.io/2025/12/07/es... · Posted by u/todsacerdoti
pmg101 · 7 days ago
I always say, "it's a prediction, not a promise."
pmg101 commented on Using LLMs at Oxide   rfd.shared.oxide.computer... · Posted by u/steveklabnik
mulmboy · 8 days ago
What do these look like?
pmg101 · 8 days ago

  1. Take every single function, even private ones.
  2. Mock every argument and collaborator.
  3. Call the function.
  4. Assert the mocks were  called in the expected way.
These tests help you find inadvertent changes, yes, but they also create constant noise about changes you intend.

pmg101 commented on Electric vehicle sales are booming in South America – without Tesla   reuters.com/sustainabilit... · Posted by u/breve
noosphr · 16 days ago
I don't think we've seen the end game yet.

I have an electric cargo bike. During a kids party yesterday I ran 5 different errands with it while someone with a car managed to get stuck in traffic, not find a parking spot, and miss the whole thing.

The only reason why cars are the size and shape they are is because ICE engines couldn't be made smaller. Electric engines on the other hand are small enough that I can have the chassis of a fully functioning car be light enough to lift by one man.

I think we will see small, light weight and intrinsically pedestrian safe cars made of tubes and canvas replace the heavy monstrosities we have now.

pmg101 · 16 days ago
Your first three paragraphs are sound.

But surely the problem with the final paragraph is the transition? Assuming the old style of vehicle remains on the road, then my lightweight one is at risk of being crushed. Only a niche minority would choose that (as a cargo bike owner, I'm also one, but I recognise most are not, with good reason.)

Unless we built a whole separate infrastructure.... We already see a lot of electric scooters using cycle lanes.

pmg101 commented on Where do the children play?   unpublishablepapers.subst... · Posted by u/casca
rcpt · a month ago
In Los Angeles we let our 8 year old walk half a mile to school and someone called the cops on us.
pmg101 · a month ago
What did the cops say?
pmg101 commented on I analyzed 180M jobs to see what jobs AI is replacing today   bloomberry.com/blog/i-ana... · Posted by u/AznHisoka
moneywoes · a month ago
sorry, new to this, any helpful links on what metr is?
pmg101 commented on A History of British Summer Time   diamondgeezer.blogspot.co... · Posted by u/zeristor
pmg101 · 2 months ago
I realised this year that all the arguments I'd ever heard for shifting the hour (lighter mornings in winter help kids get to school alive and help farmers work) were arguments for GMT itself, not for BST.

So why don't we just have GMT year-round? It's kinda fun to have sunset at 2130 in June but is it really so important?

pmg101 commented on The Logarithmic Time Perception Hypothesis   kafalas.com/Logtime.html... · Posted by u/rzk
pmg101 · 2 months ago
I don't think it has anything to do with age but with the rate of new experiences.

Take a year off work to travel the world and you'll find your subjective sense of time passing slows right down.

Does it matter though? Does it matter how many experiences you collect? You can't take them with you. Better to develop relationships that can be a source of joy (I imagine. I have not done that).

pmg101 commented on The Programmer Identity Crisis   hojberg.xyz/the-programme... · Posted by u/imasl42
senordevnyc · 2 months ago
If that's your analogy, then shouldn't you be able to dominate the market by not using AI?
pmg101 · 2 months ago
Cheap, fast, mechanised food provision does dominate the market. For price reasons

Nevertheless there's still a luxury market for hand prepared food.

Perhaps software will evolve the same way

u/pmg101

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