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phaedrus441 commented on P-Hacking in Startups   briefer.cloud/blog/posts/... · Posted by u/thaisstein
kgwgk · 2 months ago
> Setting a p-value threshold of 0.05 is equivalent to saying: "I’m willing to accept a 5% chance of shipping something that only looked good by chance."

No, it means "I’m willing to ship something that if it was not better than the alternative it would have had only a 5% chance of looking as good as it did.”

phaedrus441 · 2 months ago
This! I see this all the time in medicine.
phaedrus441 commented on Oracle engineers caused five days software outage at U.S. hospitals   cnbc.com/2025/04/28/oracl... · Posted by u/jnord
phaedrus441 · 4 months ago
Can't wait for the overpriced, late, outdated Oracle to get deployed at the VA! We get to go from one bad EHR to another...
phaedrus441 commented on Careless People   pluralistic.net/2025/04/2... · Posted by u/Aldipower
TheAceOfHearts · 4 months ago
> There's Zuck, whose underlings let him win at board-games like Settlers of Catan because he's a manbaby who can't lose (and who accuses Wynn-Williams of cheating when she fails to throw a game of Ticket to Ride while they're flying in his private jet).

Why does this seem to be a recurring pattern among the modern ultrawealthy? Does anyone who fails to bend over backwards for them just end up getting exiled? Have the elites through history always been this insecure or is it a modern phenomenon?

If you're wildly successful at something with significant real world influence, why would you care so strongly about something as relatively inconsequential as a board game or a video game? Being good at any kind of game is mostly a function of how much time and energy you've invested into it. If you claim to be an extremely hardcore worker who has any kind of family life there just aren't any leftover hours in the day for you to grind a top position in a game. And anyway, if you're playing games for fun and to bond with people, you probably shouldn't be playing tryhard optimal strategies every game, and should instead explore and experiment with more creative strategies. This is a lesson that took me a while to learn.

phaedrus441 · 4 months ago
I think you'll see this kind of thing in many professions. Some doctors, who are highly specialized and highly trained in their field, act like they should automatically be great at skills they barely have experience with, and then get frustrated when they don't immediately excel or when people with less impressive credentials end up being better at something.

My family member who taught flying to hobbyist pilots always said physicians were the most dangerous students because of their "know-it-all" attitude.

phaedrus441 commented on Show HN: I built a modern Goodreads alternative   kaguya.io/... · Posted by u/vasanthk1125
magicalhippo · 6 months ago
> 10-star rating system (More nuance than 5 stars)

Does one really get anything meaningful out of saying this was a 6-star book vs a 7-star book?

Personally I think 4 levels is sufficient. Either it's rather bad, not bad but not good, good but not great or it's great.

Anything beyond that will have to be written in words.

phaedrus441 · 6 months ago
I completely agree. I've never read a 1-star (to me) book because that implies it's unreadable, and anything good enough to keep my attention room is generally 4-stars and rarely 5-stars. I bet if I look at my Goodreads it's 60% 4s, 30% 3s, and 10% 5s

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phaedrus441 commented on 20k federal workers take "buyout" so far, official says   axios.com/2025/02/04/trum... · Posted by u/djoldman
phaedrus441 · 7 months ago
Late to the party, but I know of at least two highly-paid coworkers that already had plans to retire, but are now just hoping for several months of extra pay (it's essentially the only situation where I would recommend someone take this offer-- if it works out, great for them; if it doesn't, well they were going to leave anyway)
phaedrus441 commented on Is the world becoming uninsurable?   charleshughsmith.substack... · Posted by u/spking
leguminous · 7 months ago
> What's the average monthly leccy bill in Phoenix during the summer? $400?

The average high temperature in Phoenix in July is 106.5F (41.4C). If you are cooling to 70.0F (21.1C), that's a difference of 36.5F (20.3C).

The average January low in Berlin is 28.0F (-2.2C). If you are heating to 65.0F (18.3C), that's a difference of 37.0F (20.5C).

I feel like many people living in climates that don't require air conditioning have this view that it's fantastically inefficient and wasteful. Depending on how you are heating (e.g. if you are using a gas boiler), cooling can be significantly more efficient per degree of difference. Especially if you don't have to dehumidify the air, as in Phoenix.

phaedrus441 · 7 months ago
This is such an interesting perspective that I've never thought about. Thanks!
phaedrus441 commented on Don't sit on the toilet for more than 10 minutes, doctors warn   cnn.com/2024/11/12/health... · Posted by u/RyeCombinator
standardUser · 9 months ago
I live in a big city. But I've seen them at friend's houses in lots of places in the US. You can order one on Amazon for like $40 and install it in about 30 minutes.
phaedrus441 · 9 months ago
This doesn't change the fact that bidets in the US are only in a vanishingly small percentage of homes. As an example, while not at all scientific, open up Zillow or Redfin and look at any random property and see if there's a bidet.
phaedrus441 commented on FDA proposes ending use of oral phenylephrine as OTC nasal decongestant   fda.gov/news-events/press... · Posted by u/impish9208
iterance · 10 months ago
26 million Americans lack valid government-issued IDs, and of this 26m, minority groups comprise the vast majority.

https://bluenotary.us/how-many-american-citizens-don-t-have-...

phaedrus441 · 10 months ago
Wow I was surprised by this figure, so I tried to find the source everyone quotes. It appears to be a 2006 telephone survey of 987 randomly-selected voting age citizens that were then weighted for an underrepresentation of race (so perhaps not that accurate). Anecdotally, I work in a safety net hospital and it is really rare for someone to come in without ID, which is why those numbers seemed so surprising to me...

https://www.brennancenter.org/media/6697/download

I could easily have missed a better or more recent study, so if anyone has one please post it!

phaedrus441 commented on FDA proposes ending use of oral phenylephrine as OTC nasal decongestant   fda.gov/news-events/press... · Posted by u/impish9208
ibejoeb · 10 months ago
Only certain documents are accepted: photo documents issued by a US state and certain federal documents. There are some exceptions in the initial act text, but in practice, nobody is going to accept your nursery school record.

There are certainly 10s of millions of people who don't have direct access to this drug.

phaedrus441 · 10 months ago
You honestly think there are 10s of millions of people wanting a decongestant in the United States without ID? This is ridiculous and I agree with the other commenter, a bit hyperbolic.

u/phaedrus441

KarmaCake day97January 8, 2014View Original