Readit News logoReadit News
pdog commented on A myopia epidemic is sweeping the globe   nature.com/articles/d4158... · Posted by u/rntn
pdog · 2 years ago
> Getting kids to go outdoors is a tough sell.

The problem isn't the kids. It's the adults.

pdog commented on Master Plan Part 3   tesla.com/blog/master-pla... · Posted by u/mfiguiere
doctor_eval · 3 years ago
This is a terrific set of ideals and I think like many great visions, even if it’s not accomplished directly, it will put wheels into motion that will advance the world in the right direction, and might just help save the environment.

I just wish the guy in charge could apply the same systematic thinking to his approach to politics. I fear that the major short term risk to humanity is not the environment, but toxic politics.

If renewables are the solution to our energy problems, I like to think kindness and tolerance might be the solution to our political problems. Perhaps he could publish a master plan for that, too.

pdog · 3 years ago
> I just wish the guy in charge could apply the same systematic thinking to his approach to politics. I fear that the major short term risk to humanity is not the environment, but toxic politics.

Elon Musk is not (and never has been) a politician. What exactly do you think he should do differently?

pdog commented on Police say GPS tag darts can eliminate need for dangerous high-speed chases   cbsnews.com/chicago/news/... · Posted by u/blinding-streak
pdog · 3 years ago
> "The reality is that everyone runs from the police nowadays."

Since when? This should be a bigger story than the availability of GPS tracking darts.

pdog commented on Blowing Holes in Seymour Hersh's Pipe Dream   oalexanderdk.substack.com... · Posted by u/erentz
pdog · 3 years ago
The sheer number of rhetorical fallacies employed in the opening of this "takedown" inclines me to believe that Hersh's reporting is a largely accurate and truthful account.

For example, stating that you could write "an entire post on the reasons why sounds entirely made up by someone with no real grasp of what that suggestion would actually technically entail" is a clear-cut appeal to ridicule[1] fallacy with no further elaboration.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Appeal_to_ridicule

Deleted Comment

pdog commented on Ask HN: What sort of systemic risk to crypto is Paul Graham referring to?    · Posted by u/pdog
pdog · 3 years ago
Not sure how to interpret these tweets:

> A person I have known for more than ten years, who I consider trustworthy, is convinced the cryptocurrency economy will shortly experience a systemic risk. I don’t know anything concrete, but if I were exposed, I would be concerned.

https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1594446009010212865

> I didn't write that. He did. Since I don't know any details, I didn't feel I should edit it. And because I don't know any details, it's no use asking me what he means. If you've read the preceding tweet, you know as much as I do.

https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1594447689961377795

pdog commented on Perpetual Bond   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Per... · Posted by u/archielc
chillpenguin · 4 years ago
The TLDR for how a bond that continues to pay interest forever can be valued at less than infinity dollars is due to the "time value of money", which states that $X in the future is worth less than $X today. This makes sense intuitively if you consider that if you had that money today, you could invest it and earn interest on it.

So since money in your hands is worth more than that same amount of money in the future, you can actually calculate how much a future cash flow is worth today by discounting it to its present value ("discounted cash flow" aka DCF).

To bring it back to perpetual bonds, if you DCF all of the future cash flows to their present value, you actually get a finite number (due to the diminishing nature of the cash flows that are further and further in the future).

For those who want to learn this in more detail, I recommend MIT's OCW course "Finance Theory I" with Andrew Lo.

pdog · 4 years ago
You don't need the concept of "time value of money" to value a perpetual stream of payments.

Intuitively, only a sucker would pay $1,000,000,000,000 for the promise of $1 per year in perpetuity, even in the absence of discounted cash flows.

pdog commented on U.S. interest rates have soared everywhere but savings accounts   bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/mgh2
azth · 4 years ago
Serious question: inflation seems to only be getting higher (is it 8%+ now?) the Fed's increasing of the interest rate is causing a stock market crash. So if one puts their money into assets, those are decreasing in price due to the fed, and if someone is holding cash that's also going down in value due to inflation. What's the solution?
pdog · 4 years ago
If you have inflation, something is going up in dollar terms. The answer is "real" assets: physical assets that have an intrinsic worth due to their substance and properties. Real estate, infrastructure, and commodities are all examples.
pdog commented on David Deutsch’s Constructor Theory   constructortheory.org/... · Posted by u/qualudeheart
pdog · 4 years ago
How does constructor theory relate to Wolfram's Ruliad concept[1] and the physicalization[2] of metamathematics? It seems both theories would have major implications for the foundations of physics and mathematics.

[1]: https://writings.stephenwolfram.com/2021/11/the-concept-of-t...

[2]: https://writings.stephenwolfram.com/2022/03/the-physicalizat...

u/pdog

KarmaCake day5789July 22, 2012
About
Author of "possibly the most misguided comment ever read on HN."
View Original