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olivertaylor commented on Pixel fucked: Inside Hollywood's VFX crisis   gq-magazine.co.uk/culture... · Posted by u/CharlesW
cubefox · 2 years ago
Wikipedia calls it Jevons paradox:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox

olivertaylor · 2 years ago
Thanks!
olivertaylor commented on Pixel fucked: Inside Hollywood's VFX crisis   gq-magazine.co.uk/culture... · Posted by u/CharlesW
xg15 · 2 years ago
I was more thinking about employment by the VFX studios themselves - i.e., if the article is right and VFX companies are already in a race to the bottom with respect to the movie studios (their customers), this race would likely swallow all productivity benefits that generative AI could provide.
olivertaylor · 2 years ago
Oh right, of course. I agree. But as with any technology, new possibilities emerge. Perhaps someone will come up with a new paradigm.
olivertaylor commented on Pixel fucked: Inside Hollywood's VFX crisis   gq-magazine.co.uk/culture... · Posted by u/CharlesW
xg15 · 2 years ago
> this is one of the places I feel generative AI can do a lot of good. It can get rid of the routine VFX like changing an actors pant etc that VFX artists are inundated with and leave only the artistic work for VFX artists which is hopefully not as taxing and not as requiring of crunch

And the last decades' exponential increases in productivity could have lead to keynes' famous 15 hour workweek - except they didn't.

Instead, productivity got directed to more output and more profit and working hours stayed the same if not increased.

As such, I'm more predicting this will simply lead to less VFX artists being employed by the studios than for there being a substantial improvement in working conditions.

olivertaylor · 2 years ago
You’re right about the productivity. And many movie studios already own VFX studios. Netflix has Scanline, Disney has ILM, etc. But it is not super common.
olivertaylor commented on Pixel fucked: Inside Hollywood's VFX crisis   gq-magazine.co.uk/culture... · Posted by u/CharlesW
s1mon · 2 years ago
I'm not in the industry, but from talking to people that have been, VFX is one of those things that gets squeezed the most. It typically happens after principal photography is done, and the release date has been set in stone by the management and marketing machine at the studios. When you add the wide numbers of VFX houses, the lack of labor protections, and the ability to outsource to all corners of the world, there's so much competition that it's a race to the bottom with pricing and delivery dates.
olivertaylor · 2 years ago
There are a lot of factors, but you’re not wrong.
olivertaylor commented on Pixel fucked: Inside Hollywood's VFX crisis   gq-magazine.co.uk/culture... · Posted by u/CharlesW
cubefox · 2 years ago
The requirements grow with the capability of the tools. VFX getting better in the last decades didn't make the crunch less.
olivertaylor · 2 years ago
Exactly. Is that a basic economic principle? I think it’s called the efficiency paradox.
olivertaylor commented on Pixel fucked: Inside Hollywood's VFX crisis   gq-magazine.co.uk/culture... · Posted by u/CharlesW
civilitty · 2 years ago
> That said, there are a number of (very large) companies where it is absolutely normal to work 6 days a week 10 to 12 hours a day. This is not a secret, it’s been very common for a very long time. Personally, I wouldn’t work for a company like that.

Says the former manager of a VHX house who now negotiates with studios… he’d literally be one of the people responsible for this situation.

It’s a shortage of employers willing to pay workers. Thats why they cant get enough artists

olivertaylor · 2 years ago
Not really. I’ve never worked for a studio that treats people like that, and wouldn’t. And I’ve been in a unique position to see how these situations unfold. It is very complex, very fluid, and difficult to manage. I think the bottom line is just that it is too difficult to do correctly for most studios (people).

However, you are correct in that people in my position are often at fault - but executive leadership ALWAYS signs off.

The labor shortage situation has changed a lot since then but it was never a wages problem. I knew people at studios offering double their standard rate who still couldn’t find enough qualified people.

olivertaylor commented on Plain text journaling in Vim   peppe.rs/posts/plain_text... · Posted by u/gigatexal
jon-wood · 2 years ago
As much as I love the idea of them I've found systems like these never quite work for me in the real world. There's always a ticketing system for my employer where that stuff lives, and for personal stuff I absolutely need first class mobile support because that's generally the device I have with me when I remember something I need to do.

After many years I've eventually landed on using [work ticket tracker] for work tracking, Apple Reminders for todo lists which are rarely complex items, and Logseq for journaling. My journal really is just that, I rarely go back to previous entries, but I find it helpful to spend a bit of time each day just noting down what I did and how I felt about it. I sometimes joke that this is my insurance policy in case the Police knock on my door and ask me what I did on the 12th of March this year.

olivertaylor · 2 years ago
I arrived at exactly the same conclusion, but I use Notes for my todo list (I like mixing checklists and notes in one document) and leaving reminders for… you know, reminders.

I honestly enjoy it less than some of the more complex plain text systems I’ve used/built in the past but it has the advantage of actually being practical for me.

olivertaylor commented on Attention, Hollywood: De-Aging Isn’t Working, So Please Stop Using It   variety.com/2023/film/awa... · Posted by u/marban
tenpies · 2 years ago
The next step is where the real money will be made: completely generated actors.

And I see two scenarios too:

1. You can pay the studio (?) some semi-trivial amount for the use of a completely generated AI actor that perfectly fits the Director's vision for the role.

2. You get legal knock-off actors. Sure, it's $20 MM to use Tom Cruise, but for only $1 MM you can use AI-generated Thom Ruse, who looks exactly like Tom Cruise, but just slightly different enough to be legally considered his own IP.

olivertaylor · 2 years ago
olivertaylor commented on Attention, Hollywood: De-Aging Isn’t Working, So Please Stop Using It   variety.com/2023/film/awa... · Posted by u/marban
mpalmer · 2 years ago
Yeah, they're not going to stop. They get better every time, and the better it gets, the more flexibility they have.

Soon enough the results will be sufficiently believable that actors/celebrities will be selling the right to use their image and voice for a role in a movie without ever actually being on camera.

olivertaylor · 2 years ago
Or 20 years from now… “would you like 45 year old Tom Cruise in your movie? No problem, just pay his estate $20M.”

Also, talent agencies have been paying for 3d scans of their top talent for years, just to have banked in case anyone should need it. I would guess that all the A list actors plan on getting scanned every 5 years so they can be in a movie at any age.

olivertaylor commented on Vore: A new RSS feed reader   j3s.sh/thought/vore-a-new... · Posted by u/j3s
butz · 2 years ago
I wonder how possible would it be to build RSS reader running on GitHub actions - commit for feed update, commit for marking as read?

u/olivertaylor

KarmaCake day167July 29, 2014View Original