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oersted commented on A sane but bull case on Clawdbot / OpenClaw   brandon.wang/2026/clawdbo... · Posted by u/brdd
okinok · 5 days ago
>all delegation involves risk. with a human assistant, the risks include: intentional misuse (she could run off with my credit card), accidents (her computer could get stolen), or social engineering (someone could impersonate me and request information from her).

One of the differences in risk here would be that I think you got some legal protection if your human assistant misuse it, or it gets stolen. But, with the OpenClaw bot, I am unsure if any insurance or bank will side with you if the bot drained your account.

oersted · 5 days ago
Indeed, even if in principle AI and humans can do similar harm, we have very good mechanisms to make it quite unlikely that a human will do such an act.

These disincentives are built upon the fact that humans have physical necessities they need to cover for survival, and they enjoy having those well fulfilled and not worrying about them. Humans also very much like to be free, dislike pain, and want to have a good reputation with the people around them.

It is exceedingly hard to pose similar threats to a being that doesn’t care about any of that.

Although, to be fair, we also have other soft but strong means to make it unlikely that an AI will behave badly in practice. These methods are fragile but are getting better quickly.

In either case it is really hard to eliminate the possibility of harm, but you can make it unlikely and predictable enough to establish trust.

oersted commented on Show HN: PolliticalScience – Anonymous daily polls with 24-hour windows   polliticalscience.vote/... · Posted by u/ps2026
observationist · 7 days ago
One of the reasons is that the US pays for a whole lot of those international institutions, creating policy and governance issues that end up beyond local accountability. The "force for good, or fairly harmless" rubric changes when it's your money. Then it becomes "why are they spending my money on that bullshit when we have fires to put out at home?"

Covid era politicization and the fallout from that has a lot to do with it as well.

oersted · 7 days ago
Thank you that makes sense. I did a bit more research for context:

The US only left in 2020 and then rejoined in 2021, I suppose that’s why I didn’t remember it as a big thing.

The US was also just paying ~15%. It was the biggest governmental funder, with Germany at ~9% as the second. But the WHO is apparently mostly funded by charity donations, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation was paying ~5% for instance.

(it’s awkward to list sources on the phone but should be easy to verify)

I do get the sentiment though from the perspective of the US, I don’t mean to argue your points.

oersted commented on Show HN: PolliticalScience – Anonymous daily polls with 24-hour windows   polliticalscience.vote/... · Posted by u/ps2026
oersted · 7 days ago
Cool project! The results of all the archived votes made sense to me, but I was most surprised by this one:

> The U.S. was right to withdraw from the World Health Organization (WHO)

> 62% Agree - 38% Disagree

I didn't know that the WHO had such a negative reputation. We are quite fond of such international institutions in the EU at least (ranging from a force for good to fairly harmless). What's the context? The rest of the votes seem quite liberal leaning otherwise.

oersted commented on Qwen3-Max-Thinking   qwen.ai/blog?id=qwen3-max... · Posted by u/vinhnx
syntaxing · 14 days ago
Hacker News strongly believes Opus 4.5 is the defacto standard and China was consistently 8+ month behind. Curious how this performs. It’ll be a big inflection point if it performs as well as its benchmarks.
oersted · 14 days ago
In my experience GPT-5.2 with extra-high thinking is consistently a bit better and significantly cheaper (even when I use the Fast version which is 2x the price in Cursor).

The HN obsession with Claude Code might be a bit biased by people trying to justify their expensive subscriptions to themselves.

However, Opus 4.5 is much faster and very high quality too, and that ends up mattering more in practice. I end up using it much more and paying a dear but worthwhile price for it.

PS: Despite what the benchmarks say, I find Gemini 3 Pro and Flash to be a step below Claude and GPT, although still great compared to the state-of-the-art last year, and very fast and cheap. Gemini also seems to have a less AI sounding writing-style.

I am aware this is all quite vague and anecdotal, just my two cents.

I do think these kinds of opinions are valuable. Benchmarks are a useful reference, but they do give the illusion of certainty to something that is fundamentally much harder to measure and quite subjective.

oersted commented on High-speed train collision in Spain kills at least 39   bbc.com/news/articles/ced... · Posted by u/akyuu
diegocg · 21 days ago
Foreign operators are mandated by the EU, they can't be banned. Spain has been one of the first countries to allow foreign high speed operators (unlike other European countries that did attempt to delay their entrance as much as possible
oersted · 21 days ago
I have observed that it is a recurring pattern. I am most aware of the behind the scenes in public education, but I believe it is across the board.

Massive efforts are done to implement reforms to conform to EU standards, believing that that’s how the “superior” EU members do it (Germany, NL, Nordics…). But then I go there and I see that their system has nothing to do with the standards and they are not doing much to conform.

It’s fine, these reforms are often beneficial for Spain, and I do believe that generally being in the EU is a big win-win. Although sometimes it’s just a lot of unnecessary reshuffling at great cost.

A certain segment of the Spanish population really looks up to northern EU countries, or rather they feel a sense of inferiority. In practice there is not all that much to look up to and I believe Spain should be feel more confident. Many great things are prevented by the widespread belief that we are in a shitty country and that everyone is useless, but it is just not true.

oersted commented on Fix the two-party system with proportional representation   agrarianparty.org/platfor... · Posted by u/tedkimble
cmuguythrow · 24 days ago
I would be in favor of anything that improves the current political system, including a shot at this policy. On a meta-level, I would even be in favor of new political processes that are WORSE, simply because the adoption of such a policy could prove to people that we CAN change our processes, and then we could (try) to continue to amend our process until we find one that works.

My personal favorite approach at the national level would be Ranked Choice [1], as that would preserve the (IMO important) single decision maker in the executive branch, while removing the incentive to vote for someone you hate just because they aren't as bad as the Other Guy. Interested to hear if HN knows of other/better ways to accomplish the same

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ranked-choice_voting_in_the_Un...

oersted · 24 days ago
I do agree with the general spirit, but do keep in mind that certain kinds of change are hard by design to ensure a degree of stability. Normalising the modification of electoral processes can backfire badly, certain groups will definitely try to bend the system to their advantage, and it is not unlikely that, the way the winds are blowing right now, it might lead to a collapse of the underlying democratic system that enables it. It goes both ways.
oersted commented on Show HN: Nogic – VS Code extension that visualizes your codebase as a graph   marketplace.visualstudio.... · Posted by u/davelradindra
davelradindra · a month ago
It is on Open VSX so you can download it directly from Cursor!
oersted · 24 days ago
Great! I tried it on a standard Django project but it's not displaying any edges. It is able to detect imports at least, because "Add Connected Files" works, but no edges at all.

Is there a good place to report such issues?

oersted commented on Show HN: Sparrow-1 – Audio-native model for human-level turn-taking without ASR   tavus.io/post/sparrow-1-h... · Posted by u/code_brian
reubenmorais · 25 days ago
If you watch the demo video you can see how they would get this: the model is not aggressive enough. While it doesn't cut you off, which is nice, it also always waits an uncanny amount of time to chime in.
oersted · 25 days ago
That should lead to a low recall: too many false negatives. I wonder how they are calculating it.
oersted commented on Show HN: Nogic – VS Code extension that visualizes your codebase as a graph   marketplace.visualstudio.... · Posted by u/davelradindra
oersted · a month ago
Looks great, it was actually just playing around yesterday with `code canvas app` which is similar, and also Charkoal.dev and Haystack Editor (before code-review pivot) which are related. Yours looks better than any of them already!

I wish it was available in Cursor as well though. Not sure how exactly they manage their marketplace, most VSCode extensions seem to be there but now and then I encounter one that is missing for no apparent reason.

oersted commented on Show HN: Yuanzai World – LLM RPGs with branching world-lines   yuanzai.world/... · Posted by u/yuanzaiworld
philippgerard · a month ago
Why not publish this worldwide? Unavailable in the Germany AppStore.
oersted · a month ago
Same in NL :(

u/oersted

KarmaCake day1765February 28, 2020View Original