names_are_hard (u/names_are_hard)

names_are_hard commented on Iran-backed hackers claim wiper attack on medtech firm Stryker krebsonsecurity.com/2026/... · Posted by u/2bluesc

4gotunameagain · a day ago

I am thinking the theories are true because of the must larger negative repercussions of that action.

They are strengthening the regime (US intelligence services were aware of that before the attack and had informed the president), they are destabilizing all their oil producers, they are risking great economic cost..

It only makes sense if indeed they either extorted him, or if he is indeed demented / deranged.

names_are_hard · a day ago

Or he's just a manchild who likes doing things that he thinks will make him look strong.

names_are_hard commented on War prediction markets are a national-security threat theatlantic.com/technolog... · Posted by u/fortran77

andai · 6 days ago

> The day before, 150 users bet at least $1,000 that the United States would strike Iran within the next 24 hours

Yeah, I heard the same thing at the same time from several friends. And I'm not talking top brass, so it must have been pretty obvious at that point.

names_are_hard · 5 days ago

It really wasn't rocket science. Even I packed my go bag and loaded up the car on Friday night, and I have no information they don't share on the news. (I live in Israel, and when the first siren woke me at ~8 on Saturday morning I jumped in the car and evacuated to a family member who lives in a building with a bomb shelter)

I could've been wrong, but it was a reasonable guess. The local Israeli news anchors were in the newsroom broadcasting within minutes of the attack going public, I guess they slept in the office with their clothes on too.

names_are_hard commented on Will vibe coding end like the maker movement? read.technically.dev/p/vi... · Posted by u/itunpredictable

the_af · 15 days ago

I think that's the joke.

names_are_hard · 15 days ago

I found the key insight -- when a human tries to sound like an LLM, that's perceived by other humans as humor.

names_are_hard commented on Uncovering insiders and alpha on Polymarket with AI twitter.com/peterjliu/sta... · Posted by u/somerandomness

0x3f · 20 days ago

The market already bets on war and death, and has done for probably centuries, only it's mostly institutional players. Seems to me Polymarket just democratizes that, both for bettors and potentially consumers of the probabilities.

I would say the average person is terrible at aggregating media and making predictions, at least this way they can access expert opinion for free.

Of course as yet it's still niche nerd stuff but if I were in Iran, I'd probably find a signal about imminent strikes or future regime change quite useful.

names_are_hard · 20 days ago

I'm in Israel. If you turn on the TV lately, you will inevitably hear a bunch of talking heads endlessly analyzing every word Trump said, and the movement of various US military apparatus, and then sharing "expert" insights into when there's going to be an escalation.

I can't do anything about this, except decide when it's time to pack my go-bag and leave it near the door so I'm ready to go to the bomb shelter in middle of the night. To that end, polymarket odds are helpful. I'd never bet any money myself, of course.

In related news, I read recently that the IDF is currently investigating some personnel who evidently made money predicting the last Israel-Iran flare up using inside information. Naturally this is quite unlawful.

names_are_hard commented on Opus 4.5 is not the normal AI agent experience that I have had thus far burkeholland.github.io/po... · Posted by u/tbassetto

adriand · 2 months ago

> If anything this example shows that these cli tools give regular devs much higher leverage.

This is also my take. When the printing press came out, I bet there were scribes who thought, "holy shit, there goes my job!" But I bet there were other scribes who thought, "holy shit, I don't have to do this by hand any more?!"

It's one thing when something like weaving or farming gets automated. We have a finite need for clothes and food. Our desire for software is essentially infinite, or at least, it's not clear we have anywhere close to enough of it. The constraint has always been time and budget. Those constraints are loosening now. And you can't tell me that when I am able to wield a tool that makes me 10X more productive that that somehow diminishes my value.

names_are_hard · 2 months ago

> When the printing press came out, I bet there were scribes who thought, "holy shit, there goes my job!" But I bet there were other scribes who thought, "holy shit, I don't have to do this by hand any more?!"

I don't understand this argument. Surely the skill set involved in being a scribe isn't the same as being a printer, and possibly the the personality that makes a good scribe doesn't translate to being a good printer.

So I imagine many of the scribes lost their income, and other people made money on printing. Good for the folks who make it in the new profession, sucks for those who got shafted. How many scribes transitioned successfully to printers?

Genuinely asking, I don't know.

names_are_hard commented on What an unprocessed photo looks like maurycyz.com/misc/raw_pho... · Posted by u/zdw

eloisius · 2 months ago

It’s fair to recognize. Personally I do not like the aesthetic decisions that Apple makes, so if I’m taking pictures on my phone I use camera apps that’s give me more control (Halide, Leica Lux). I also have reservations about cloning away power lines or using AI in-painting. But to your example, if you got your film scanned or printed, in all likelihood someone did go in and change some stuff. Color correction and touching the contrast etc is routine at development labs. There is no tenable purist stance because there is no “traditional” amount of processing.

Some things are just so far outside the bounds of normal, and yet are still world-class photography. Just look at someone like Antoine d’Agata who shot an entire book using an iPhone accessory FLIR camera.

names_are_hard · 2 months ago

I would argue that there's a qualitative difference between processing that aims to get the image to the point where it's a closer rendition of how the human eye would have perceived the subject (the stuff described in TFA) vs processing that explicitly tries to make the image further from the in-person experience (removing power lines, people from the background, etc)

names_are_hard commented on A graph explorer of the Epstein emails epstein-doc-explorer-1.on... · Posted by u/cratermoon

Y_Y · 4 months ago

What accountability would you suggest?

names_are_hard · 4 months ago

Eternal shame and public oppobrium. At minimum, elected officials connected with impropriety should step down, and the public should be so disgusted that they have no hope of ever serving in public office again.

names_are_hard commented on Anthropic’s paper smells like bullshit djnn.sh/posts/anthropic-s... · Posted by u/vxvxvx

jmkni · 4 months ago

Do you mean APT (Advanced persistent threat)?

names_are_hard · 4 months ago

It's confusing. Various vendors sell products they call ATPs [0] to defend yourself from APTs...

[0] Advanced Threat Protection

names_are_hard commented on The Programmer Identity Crisis hojberg.xyz/the-programme... · Posted by u/imasl42

pteetor · 5 months ago

When COBOL was born, some people said, "It's English! We won't need programmers anymore!"

When SQL was born, some people said, "It's English! We won't need programmers anymore!"

Now we have AI prompting, and some people are saying, "It's English! We won't need programmers anymore!"

Really?

names_are_hard · 5 months ago

The thing is... All those people were right. We no longer need the kinds of people we used to call programmers. There exists a new job, only semi related, that now goes by the name programmer. I don't know how many of the original programming professionals managed to make the transition to this new progression.

names_are_hard commented on America's future could hinge on whether AI slightly disappoints noahpinion.blog/p/america... · Posted by u/jxmorris12

mikeodds · 5 months ago

I can push that market to 100% with 10k usd so I wouldn’t weight that too strongly as evidence, although I agree on the tariffs part.

names_are_hard · 5 months ago

Can you explain how you reached that conclusion? If I'm reading the order book correctly, you'd need much more than 10k to remove all the opposing liquidity. And of course you can't assume that other participants will stand by idly, when you put in enough money to move the market away from what they believe is correct you might discover a lot more contra liquidity appears. So it might not stay where you want it for more than a moment.