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michaelmrose commented on How TikTok 2.0 Became a Weapon for ICE   newrepublic.com/article/2... · Posted by u/c420
hsuduebc2 · 4 hours ago
None. Ordinary user don't care about this stuff.
michaelmrose · 4 hours ago
They may care after some US citizens join the immigrants in concentration camps.
michaelmrose commented on Data centers in space makes no sense   civai.org/blog/space-data... · Posted by u/ajyoon
mike_hearn · 6 days ago
That's with current launch costs, right? Nobody is claiming it's economic without another huge fall in launch costs, but that's what SpaceX is doing.
michaelmrose · 6 days ago
It wouldn't make sense if launch was free and it will never be
michaelmrose commented on Data centers in space makes no sense   civai.org/blog/space-data... · Posted by u/ajyoon
gpt5 · 6 days ago
I'm confused about the level of conversation here. Can we actually run the math on heat dissipation and feasibility?

A Starlink satellite uses about 5K Watts of solar power. It needs to dissipate around that amount (+ the sun power on it) just to operate. There are around 10K starlink satellites already in orbit, which means that the Starlink constellation is already effectively equivalent to a 50 Mega-watt (in a rough, back of the envelope feasibility way).

Isn't 50MW already by itself equivalent to the energy consumption of a typical hyperscaler cloud?

Why is starlink possible and other computations are not? Starlink is also already financially viable. Wouldn't it also become significantly cheaper as we improve our orbital launch vehicles?

michaelmrose · 6 days ago
Why would anyone think the unit cost would be competitive with cheap power / land on earth? If that doesn't make sense how could anything else?
michaelmrose commented on xAI joins SpaceX   spacex.com/updates#xai-jo... · Posted by u/g-mork
everfrustrated · 7 days ago
It's about creating a flywheel for scale.

Getting better at creating and erecting solar panels & AI datacenters on earth is all well and good, but it doesn't advance SpaceX or humanity very much. At lot of the bottlenecks there are around moving physical mass and paperwork.

Whereas combining SpaceX & xAI together means the margins for AI are used to force the economies of scale which drives the manufacturing efficiencies needed to drive down launch etc.

Which opens up new markets like Mars etc.

It is also pushing their competitive advantage. It leaves a massive moat which makes it very hard for competitors. If xAI ends up with a lower cost of capital (big if - like Amazon this might take 20 years horizon to realize) but it would give them a massive moat to be vertically integrated. OpenAI and others would be priced out.

If xAI wants to double AI capacity then it's a purely an automation of manufacturing problem which plays to Elons strengths (Tesla & automation). For anyone on earth doubling capacity means working with electricity restrictions, licensing, bureaucracy, etc. For example all turbines needed for electricity plants are sold years in advance. You can't get a new thermal plant built & online within 5 years even if you had infinite money as turbines are highly complex and just not available.

michaelmrose · 7 days ago
There is nothing we need on Mars other than science. It's not a market because there isn't money to be made outside of what is required to do whatever economically useless but scientifically valuable efforts we can convince people to fund.

We can't build an independent colony we can't live there any time soon. Arguably it may never make sense to live there.

michaelmrose commented on My Mom and Dr. DeepSeek (2025)   restofworld.org/2025/ai-c... · Posted by u/kieto
michaelmrose · 10 days ago
Can you get better performance similar to performance on exams by having the most pertinent data extracted from the dialogue and re-arranged more sensibly?
michaelmrose commented on Silver plunges 30% in worst day since 1980, gold tumbles   cnbc.com/2026/01/30/silve... · Posted by u/pera
kajecounterhack · 10 days ago
Agree it doesn't generate wealth. It's explicitly a store of wealth.

Investment is a weird term because most people would consider keeping cash or cash equivalents (gold) to be investments, even if they don't generate wealth. Cash is also an opinion, in terms of the market.

michaelmrose · 10 days ago
An investment creates a return
michaelmrose commented on Silver plunges 30% in worst day since 1980, gold tumbles   cnbc.com/2026/01/30/silve... · Posted by u/pera
its_ethan · 10 days ago
What is it that you're arguing for then? That there be some entity that gets to decide what is and isn't a productive use of all of our excess money? Who gets to decide what's excess? Who gets to decide what is and isn't a productive use of the money?

How is this any different than buying a house? Buying a house that's already been built is pretty damn close to the same thing as buying gold. No new "work" is being done into the economy, you're just exchanging dollars for an asset that will likely appreciate a bit faster than inflation but less than $SPY.

The person you bought it from can do something else with that money, sure, but that's also true of the other person in your transaction to buy gold.

Maybe you'll say a house has more utility than bars of gold, but all of this at the end of the day, seems to come down to your specific views and judgements of what it means for capital to be used productively. So to circle back to the beginning, what is it you're advocating for here? That because you don't see gold as a low risk hedge against inflation as being "productive" it should face more taxes to incentivize it not happening?

michaelmrose · 10 days ago
You either maintain the house for others use and extract rent or live in it. This is productive.

If you are hoarding an unused house we should heavily tax that to make it unreasonable to do so.

michaelmrose commented on The Hallucination Defense   niyikiza.com/posts/halluc... · Posted by u/niyikiza
krapp · 10 days ago
The entire goal of AI is to not have humans in the loop at all.

So while that should happen, it won't. They'll just add an extra layer of AI to do the verification.

michaelmrose · 10 days ago
If AI were good enough to detect hallucinations wouldn't that be built into the AI already?
michaelmrose commented on The Hallucination Defense   niyikiza.com/posts/halluc... · Posted by u/niyikiza
michaelmrose · 10 days ago
Shouldn't all agentic actions with meaningful outputs of importance like moving $48,000 simply be required to terminate in a human designed or verified output with a human in the loop attestation.

Eg a list of transactions that isn't AI generated where the only actions that actually move money must operate on the data displayed in the human designed page.

A human looks at this and says yes that is acceptable and becomes reasonable for that action.

michaelmrose commented on Microsoft forced me to switch to Linux   himthe.dev/blog/microsoft... · Posted by u/bobsterlobster
avgDev · 13 days ago
I can confirm this.

Honestly, I am really surprised this is a top comment here. This was an extremely easy work around. We are all mostly curious nerds here.

All this work because one couldn't google a easy work around?

Last time I tried Linux it sucked for gaming and I've spent hours trying to install a printer.

Not to excuse Microsoft in this situation, Linux is obviously more open.

michaelmrose · 12 days ago
Steam now supports 1 click install of its entire library windows and Linux native and the majority work. The majority of printers either work or do not. It's not a reasonable expectation that all hardware will work but you won't need hours of work either.

MS is free to deprecate your work around any given Tuesday when you have work to do leaving you in the same spot with less time available to do anything about it.

You are wrongly assessing the value of the alternatives to boot if you think they were just too stupid to google. Based on the article they already viewed Windows negatively prior to this and thus already had a motivation to switch.

u/michaelmrose

KarmaCake day10777August 28, 2014View Original