You don't think $8.9B would do it?
TSMC has already put $65B into the Phoenix fab and is adding at least that much more, so no. You're off by an order of magnitude.
Readit Newsmdorazio commented on U.S. government takes 10% stake in Intel cnbc.com/2025/08/22/intel... · Posted by u/givemeethekeys
mdorazio commented on The US Department of Agriculture Bans Support for Renewables insideclimatenews.org/new... · Posted by u/mooreds
This is true, but the funny part is, it's only going to impact red states. PNW/California already get most of their power from low carbon sources. Illinois has the largest fleet of commercial nuclear generators, and subsidizes it. NYISO gets a bunch of clean hydro power from Canada and some fossil gas. Is industry going to build where power costs are higher out of stupidity? Unlikely. "Stop hitting yourself."
As another comment mentioned, this is immaterial at the rate at which solar PV and batteries are being manufactured, it just makes electricity more costly (an additional tax) until we get to the future.
https://app.electricitymaps.com/map/72h/hourly (center on US)
The data is kind of misleading. Texas actually produces almost twice as much solar + wind power as California. The %mix is lower because Californians don’t have to run AC and heat year-round, so power demand per capita is way lower as a function of geography rather than policy.
In this case it mostly does. Only South Korean men must do compulsory military service. It's optional for women.
I recommend reading the full paper linked by esafak. For those without the time, the brief summary is that political stress is a multiplication of (1) the likelihood of the general populace to mobilize, (2) the likelihood of elites to mobilize, and (3) financial distress at the national level. The primary drivers of each of these are:
(1) real income (its inverse, actually), % of the population that is urban, and % of people in their 20s. i.e. If real income declines, urban population % goes up, or % of the population that is young increases, the mobilization factor goes up.
(2) real income of elites (inverse, again), and elite competition for government offices. i.e., If incomes of elites go down or competition among elites for government offices goes up, the mobilization factor goes up.
(3) debt to GDP ratio, and distrust in the state. i.e., If debt to GDP goes up or people trust the state less, the financial distress factor goes up.
The author provides a worrying chart showing an increasingly steep spike in the overall political stress level of the US, but it stops at 2013 (when the paper was published). I would argue that the financial distress factor has gotten substantially worse in the intervening 12 years, but the the other two factors may have declined due to the resumption of real income increases starting in 2015.
The causal factors of revolution and civil war are straightforward to propose. The interesting part is the quantitative analysis; the validation of the causal model.
The author goes into more detail in Modeling Social Pressures Toward Political Instability (https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6qp8x28p)
On a fun note, I was reading the Wikipedia article on cliodynamics (the discipline whose name the author coined) and saw that the article drew an apt comparison between cliodynamics and Asimov's psychohistory.
Thanks for linking the full paper. The most worrying part is that the numerical study is from 2013 and two of the key factors (government debt to GDP and trust in government) have both gotten significantly worse since then.
mdorazio commented on Rising graduate joblessness is mainly affecting men edwardconard.com/macro-ro... · Posted by u/andrewstetsenko
If woman really are getting paid less for the same work as men wouldn't employers do the arbitrage of hiring women instead of men?
In general, women get paid the same as men, within the error of measurement, and have for many years. The trope of women making less than men comes from an apples to oranges comparison. Women choose less lucrative careers, leave the workforce more often to care for children, and care more about work-life balance. The result is that on average across the workforce, women make less. But if you look at an individual career track and control for hours worked/overtime, years of experience, etc. it’s generally quite even.
In fact, there’s a recent trend of young women making more than their male counterparts, as per the link in this thread.
Human bicameral driven cars are unreliable too, but FSD is more reliable. And more reliable, with way more data than any competing technologies.
Using vision for driving is something that has worked for as long as cars have existed. Trying to push some "millimeter precision" solution with unproven feature set and prohibitive hardware accessibility is just asking for no real safety improvements and just more lives lost.
Cheers.
> FSD is more reliable
Citation needed. And not Tesla’s typical lying with shitty statistics data (fun fact: most car accidents do not happen in places where FSD is commonly used).
Also, vision-only systems work great… if they’re backed by strong intelligence.
mdorazio commented on Rules of good writing (2007) dilbertblog.typepad.com/t... · Posted by u/santiviquez
> Simple means getting rid of extra words. Don’t write, “He was very happy” when you can write “He was happy.” You think the word “very” adds something. It doesn’t. Prune your sentences.
Yes. (Hemingway).
This is great advice if you want to write like Hemingway. Most of the great authors are not so sparing with their words, though. And I often find that people who excessively prune their writing end up with quite generic paragraphs that seem like they were written for elementary school children. I've personally found a better tip for writing is to not use two "cheap" words when one "expensive" one will convey your meaning more fully. To use your example, "He was very happy" doesn't convey as much feeling as, "He was ecstatic". But depending on what you want to say, "He was restlessly giddy with barely contained joy" could be even better.
Congratulations! But I’m disappointed with no mention of profit level in this post or another one linked. My last business I scaled to 500K ARR in less than two years, with $20K in total annual profit including the $0 my cofounder and I paid ourselves for many hours of work. I shut it down a year later and strongly regret the amount of work I put into it.
There’s an ARR metric trap in the founder community where people focus on revenue rather than on reaching a level of take-home income comparable to what they could make at a normal job. The former is a lot easier than the latter (especially in the US for people who can take home $250K fairly easily working in tech) - as the saying goes, you can make infinite revenue by selling dollars for 99 cents.
mdorazio commented on The Miyawaki Method of micro-forestry futureecologies.net/liste... · Posted by u/zeristor
Why was it disbanded?