marksimi (u/marksimi)

marksimi commented on Advancing AI Benchmarking with Game Arena blog.google/innovation-an... · Posted by u/salkahfi

RivieraKid · a month ago

It can write a chess engine because it has read the code of a thousand of chess engines. This benchmark measures a different aspect of intelligence.

And as a poker player, I can say that this game is much more challenging for computers than chess, writing a program that can play poker really well and efficiently is an unsolved problem.

marksimi · a month ago

The most popular form was solved in 2019: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pluribus_(poker_bot)

marksimi commented on Meta chief AI scientist Yann LeCun plans to exit and launch own startup ft.com/content/c586eb77-a... · Posted by u/geordee

pu_pe · 4 months ago

It was obvious that there would be no space for Yann LeCun after Alexandr Wang came in. He was probably just waiting for the best time to leave.

I cannot judge his research output at Meta but he failed pretty bad at the LLM race. Since so many other organizations succeeded at creating open source models of far higher quality at much lower cost, it would be instructive to understand what exactly went wrong there.

marksimi · 4 months ago

Curious about how much risk Meta leadership was comfortable with when they decided to layer Yann. Perhaps the winds of open research were already blowing a different direction at the company, and he had already indicated that he wanted to leave as a result of that. We can only guess.

Kind of hilarious to me to consider him "failing" with LLMs. Given his remit was a research time horizon of 8-10 years, and the fact that he's gone on record saying that he expects the technology will stall out in the time horizon, it seems he can only take Ws and ties. Indirect influence on open-sourcing the models to propel research forward (which is pretty important for a chief scientist) which added benefit for Meta's other products.

marksimi commented on Meta chief AI scientist Yann LeCun plans to exit and launch own startup ft.com/content/c586eb77-a... · Posted by u/geordee

yodsanklai · 4 months ago

I wonder if it means Meta will move away from their OSS commitment. Wasn't it largely pushed by LeCun?

marksimi · 4 months ago

Yes, it was

marksimi commented on Why Metaflow? docs.metaflow.org/introdu... · Posted by u/savin-goyal

marksimi · 7 months ago

Curious to hear from folks who have used both Metaflow and Kubeflow to understand some of those tradeoffs.

Seems like Metaflow is comparatively lightweight, bit more tightly integrated with AWS, less end to end and a bit more agile.

marksimi commented on How to teach your kids to play poker: Start with one card bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/ioblomov

sans_souse · 7 months ago

I'm surprised at the general tone of response here towards the subject of poker overall (I didn't read the article yet so perhaps something more is in the context, but all the same); I understand there are many in the poker world even regarding the most successful of whom are regarded as living a degenerate lifestyle, but being that I was previously in that world myself and was not a degenerate type; I never gambled outside of "my game" that I had an edge in, I learned and implemented proper bankroll management and I studied the game on fundamental levels and on up, progressing into the meta-psyche game that is NL heads-up.

Which brings me to my point which is that while some forms of poker have proven "beatable" by ai, certain forms ie; short-handed tables of NL Holdem, increase in perpexlity to a point where, in heads-up, there are too many variables at play both "physically" (the cards and corresponding hand ranks) and metaphysically (the story being implied thru the route of actions taken at each street from preflop, flop, turn, to river) for there to exist some perfect approach against a skilled player.

NL Holdem poker is absolutely a game of skill with an element of variance aka luck/lack-there-of.

marksimi · 7 months ago

Also used to be in that world and identify similarly in terms of my lack of love for gambling.

I'd suggest that you're empirically incorrect in saying that there is no perfect approach against a skilled player (6handed games which often reduce to a single heads-up interactions by showdown):

1. we know that a Nash equilibrium exists for every two-player zero-sum game such that it’s mathematically unexploitable

2. Pluribus approximated the Nash well enough (didn’t have to search over 10^161 possibilities) to crush high stakes skilled player over a good run of hands

marksimi commented on How to teach your kids to play poker: Start with one card bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/ioblomov

schwartzworld · 7 months ago

> NL Holdem poker is absolutely a game of skill with an element of variance aka luck/lack-there-of.

I’ve played a lot of Holdem, and I’m not sure I agree. A lot of what passes for skill is just an innate understanding of the odds.

John Scarne writes about gambling that a good bet isn’t one you are likely to win, but one where the payout is enough to be worth the risk. The best players know the odds of pulling a straight and can do math to figure out if it’s worth chasing one.

marksimi · 7 months ago

You're not wrong that knowing the odds is a component of the skill, but to suggest that skill in poker stops there is minimizing many of the advanced aspects that require playing at a higher level (information management, assessing a player's likely range, determining the equity of a player's range with cards to come, realizing when your or their range is capped, etc)

marksimi commented on How to teach your kids to play poker: Start with one card bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/ioblomov

c22 · 7 months ago

If reading your opponent is a strategy that confers advantage then it stands to reason that deceiving your opponent is as well.

marksimi · 7 months ago

I feel one of the most useful skills picked up by poker that people don't explicitly speak about is managing your information effectively.

Deceiving my opponent has the connotation of this happening in one instance. After you realize that you can't convincingly deceive your opponents in poker into perpetuity, it becomes a game of managing your image —revealing the right information while being conscious of information that you shared in the past (if you're playing someone skilled or perceptive, that is).

On the flip side, what an excellent game to help people pay attention to signals, figure out how to weigh them appropriately, and appropriately act on them when the situation calls for it.

marksimi commented on Lossless LLM compression for efficient GPU inference via dynamic-length float arxiv.org/abs/2504.11651... · Posted by u/CharlesW

marksimi · a year ago

Time to (dynamically) float

marksimi commented on Jane Street's Figgie card game figgie.com/... · Posted by u/eamag

charlieyu1 · a year ago

I play poker. It really takes thousands of hours to understand the game from a strategic point of view. Then when you have a few very good players, maybe you can start talking about psychology.

marksimi · a year ago

Real talk

marksimi commented on Ask HN: How has AI changed your learning methods? · Posted by u/hubraumhugo

marksimi · 2 years ago

As someone focused on grad school, I find myself much less frequently getting stumped by problems and rage-quitting. I also use some prompts which help to speed up my learning in general while making sure any LLM doesn’t give me the answer.

One of my research interests is on how humans use expert systems (akin to how Go players’ ELO ramped significantly after the release of AlphaGo).