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marinmania commented on Booking.com cancels $4K hotel reservation, offers same rooms again for $17K   cbc.ca/news/gopublic/go-p... · Posted by u/thisislife2
seydor · 4 months ago
People who travel often dont have the resources to deal with so many separate bookings, so they ascribe trust to Booking.com , airbnb etc.

Perhaps if there was some "shopify of accomodation" it would be easier to have a seamless experience. In the meanwhile, the existence of a stable reference point gives the false sense of a trusted travel assistant.

marinmania · 4 months ago
I travel 3 times a month for the last year and use Booking. I've never had a cancellation.

I take advantage of their platform moreso than they me. I book refundable no-pre pay hotels every time, sometimes having multiple bookings for the same week. It's like a free option on future pricing.

marinmania commented on Everything around LLMs is still magical and wishful thinking   dmitriid.com/everything-a... · Posted by u/troupo
martinald · 8 months ago
I personally don't really get this.

_So much_ work in the 'services' industries globally comes down to really a human transposing data from one Excel sheet to another (or from a CRM/emails to Excel), manually. Every (or nearly every) enterprise scale company will have hundreds if not thousands of FTEs doing this kind of work day in day out - often with a lot of it outsourced. I would guess that for every 1 software engineer there are 100 people doing this kind of 'manual data pipelining'.

So really for giant value to be created out of LLMs you do not need them to be incredible at OCaml. They just need to ~outperform humans on Excel. Where I do think MCP really helps is that you can connect all these systems together easily, and a lot of the errors in this kind of work came from trying to pass the entire 'task' in context. If you can take an email via MCP, extract some data out and put it into a CRM (again via MCP) a row at a time the hallucination rate is very low IME. I would say at least a junior overworked human level.

Perhaps this was the point of the article, but non-determinism is not an issue for these kind of use cases, given all the humans involved are not deterministic either. We can build systems and processes to help enforce quality on non deterministic (eg: human) systems.

Finally, I've followed crypto closely and also LLMs closely. They do not seem to be similar in terms of utility and adoption. The closest thing I can recall is smartphone adoption. A lot of my non technical friends didn't think/want a smartphone when the iPhone first came out. Within a few years, all of them have them. Similar with LLMs. Virtually all of my non technical friends use it now for incredibly varied use cases.

marinmania · 8 months ago
>I would guess that for every 1 software engineer there are 100 people doing this kind of 'manual data pipelining'.

For what time of company is this true? I really would like someone to just do a census of 500 white collar jobs and categorize them all. Anything that is truly automatic has already been automated away.

I do think AI will cause a lot of disruption, but very skeptical of the view that most people with white collar jobs are just "email jobs" or data entry. That doesn't fit my experience at all, and I've worked at some large bureaucratic companies that people here would claim are stuck in the past.

marinmania commented on Latest iteration of big, beautiful bill to limit gambling loss deductions to 90%   reviewjournal.com/busines... · Posted by u/indigodaddy
cratermoon · 8 months ago
Why are gamblers allowed to deduct their losses in the first place?
marinmania · 8 months ago
You can't deduct losses against regular income. The idea is that if you win $100,000 one day and lose $100,000 the next day you should be taxed 0 since on net you won 0 total. Under the news rules it sounds like you would still be taxed even if you won 0 on net.

I am anti-gambling so I don't really care, but the current system seems fair (assuming its enforced well)

marinmania commented on Boeing 787 software may have caused AI crash: Aviation expert   sundayguardianlive.com/in... · Posted by u/fcpguru
codingdave · 8 months ago
While not explicitly stated in the article, AI means Air India for the purposes of this discussion.
marinmania · 8 months ago
My jumbled brain definitely read this for a split second as Artificial Intelligence causing a 787 crash.
marinmania commented on Why there's no dominant AI app store yet: The hardware platform thesis    · Posted by u/kevinlikako
marinmania · 8 months ago
I have been consistently bad at predicting things related to AI, but I never get the insistence that a personal assistant would be that valuable?

I honestly don't think it would save me that much time and for things an assistant would plausibly do (making purchases, planning vacations, responding to emails) I actually enjoy doing.

marinmania commented on Project Vend: Can Claude run a small shop? (And why does that matter?)   anthropic.com/research/pr... · Posted by u/gk1
due-rr · 8 months ago
Would you ever trust an AI agent running your business? As hilarious as this small experiment is, is there ever a point where you can trust it to run something long term? It might make good decisions for a day, month or a year and then one day decide to trash your whole business.
marinmania · 8 months ago
It does seem far more straight forward to say "Write code that deterministically orders food items that people want and sends invoices etc."

I feel like that's more the future. Having an agent sorta make random choices feel like LLMs attempting to do math, instead of LLMs attempting to call a calculator.

marinmania commented on Gemini Robotics On-Device brings AI to local robotic devices   deepmind.google/discover/... · Posted by u/meetpateltech
fragmede · 9 months ago
The exciting part comes when two robots are able to do repairs on each other.
marinmania · 9 months ago
I think this is the spooky part. I feel dumb saying it, but is there a point where they are able to coordinate and build a factory to build chips/more of themselves? Or other things entirely?
marinmania commented on Gemini Robotics On-Device brings AI to local robotic devices   deepmind.google/discover/... · Posted by u/meetpateltech
baron816 · 9 months ago
I’m optimistic about humanoid robotics, but I’m curious about the reliability issue. Biological limbs and hands are quite miraculous when you consider that they are able to constantly interact with the world, which entails some natural wear and tear, but then constantly heal themselves.
marinmania · 9 months ago
It does either get very exciting or very spooky thinking of the possibilities in the near future.

I had always assumed that such a robot would be very specific (like a cleaning robot) but it does seem like by the time they are ready they will be very generalizable.

I know they would require quite a few sensors and motors, but compared to self-driving cars their liability would be less and they would use far less material.

marinmania commented on LLMs are mirrors of operator skill   ghuntley.com/mirrors/... · Posted by u/ghuntley
energy123 · 9 months ago
It's a controversial opinion because both AI optimists and AI pessimists can find room for disagreement with the premise. The optimists think vibe coding is about to be fully automated and humans don't have long, one or two years at best. The pessimists think LLMs don't add much value in the first place. In either case they would disagree with the premise.
marinmania · 9 months ago
Agreed. By HN standards I am a very shitty programmer, and as of a year ago I would have said it takes up about 25% of my time. I pretty much just make demos to display some non-coding research.

I think with the rise of LLMs, my coding time has been cut down by almost half. And I definitely need to bring in help less often. In that sense it has raised my floor, while making the people above me (not necessarily super coders, but still more advanced) less needed.

marinmania commented on Cap: Lightweight, modern open-source CAPTCHA alternative using proof-of-work   capjs.js.org/... · Posted by u/tiagorangel
marinmania · 9 months ago
I was wondering if more sites will start to drift to a system where they require you to be logged in to an account attached to a SIM card in some ways.

I feel like accounts that require phone verification are already similar in that they require a some cost to access. It obviously wouldn't stop a large corporation from buying up thousands of numbers if they needed it for a specific purpose, but it would be prohibitively expensive for most to try this.

The benefit of the SIM system is it actually costs zero for people since they already have a cell phone.

u/marinmania

KarmaCake day379June 5, 2024View Original