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houston_Euler commented on Experts warn about the 'crumbling infrastructure' of federal government data   npr.org/2025/01/24/nx-s1-... · Posted by u/xnx
MegaButts · a year ago
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL

> Before May 2020, M2 consists of M1 plus (1) savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts); (2) small-denomination time deposits (time deposits in amounts of less than $100,000) less individual retirement account (IRA) and Keogh balances at depository institutions; and (3) balances in retail money market funds (MMFs) less IRA and Keogh balances at MMFs.

> Beginning May 2020, M2 consists of M1 plus (1) small-denomination time deposits (time deposits in amounts of less than $100,000) less IRA and Keogh balances at depository institutions; and (2) balances in retail MMFs less IRA and Keogh balances at MMFs. Seasonally adjusted M2 is constructed by summing savings deposits (before May 2020), small-denomination time deposits, and retail MMFs, each seasonally adjusted separately, and adding this result to seasonally adjusted M1.

EDIT: Of course since M1 is what really changed, M2 is effectively the same.

houston_Euler · a year ago
The comment you replied to was correct, as M1 was expanded to include savings deposits.

Here's a link to a Q&A about the change, and the relevant explanation.

"3. Why are savings deposits being recognized on the H.6 statistical release as a transaction account? Posted: 12/17/2020

A. As announced on March 15, 2020, the Board of Governors reduced reserve requirement ratios on net transaction accounts to 0 percent, effective March 26, 2020. This action eliminated reserve requirements for all depository institutions and rendered the regulatory distinction between reservable “transaction accounts” and nonreservable “savings deposits” unnecessary. On April 24, 2020, the Board removed this regulatory distinction by deleting the six-per-month transfer limit on savings deposits in Regulation D. This action resulted in savings deposits having the same liquidity characteristics as the transaction accounts currently reported as “Other checkable deposits” on the H.6 statistical release.

To account for the change in their liquidity characteristics, savings deposits will be recognized as a type of transaction account on the H.6 statistical release"

houston_Euler commented on Fraud, so much fraud   science.org/content/blog-... · Posted by u/nabla9
eig · a year ago
This sort of behavior is only going to worsen in the coming decades as academics become more desperate. It's a prisoner's dilemma: if everyone is exaggerating their results you have to as well or you will be fired. It's even more dire for the thousands of visa students.

The situation is similar to the "Market for lemons" in cars: if the market is polluted with lemons (fake papers), you are disincentivized to publish a plum (real results), since no one can tell it's not faked. You are instead incentivized to take a plum straight to industry and not disseminate it at all. Pharma companies are already known to closely guard their most promising data/results.

Similar to the lemon market in cars, I think the only solution is government regulation. In fact, it would be a lot easier than passing lemon laws since most labs already get their funding from the government! Prior retractions should have significant negative impact on grant scores. This would not only incentivize labs, but would also incentivize institutions to hire clean scientists since they have higher grant earning potential.

houston_Euler · a year ago
While Akerlof's Market for Lemons did consider cases where government intervention is necessary to preserve a market, like with health insurance markets (Medicare), he describes the "market for lemons" in the used car market as having been solved by warranties.

If someone brings a plum to a market for lemons, they can distinguish the quality of their product by offering a warranty on its purchase, something that sellers of lemons would be unwilling to do, because they want to pass the cost burden of the lemon onto the purchaser.

The full paper is fairly accessible, and worth a read.

Not sure how this could be applied to academia, one of the problems is that there can be significant gaps between perpetrating fraud and having it discovered, so the violators might still have an incentive to cheat.

houston_Euler commented on Never incorporate your company in the state of Delaware   twitter.com/elonmusk/stat... · Posted by u/lopkeny12ko
user3939382 · 2 years ago
Right but whatever state you’re actually operating in still has jurisdiction, right?
houston_Euler · 2 years ago
It depends on the case.

If it is in regards to shareholders, then I believe the state in which you're incorporated would have jurisdiction.

If it's another type of case, for example one brought by an employee, it might be based on the employment laws of the state they are employed in, so the trial would happen in the state of their employment.

houston_Euler commented on An update on Twitch in Korea   blog.twitch.tv/en/2023/12... · Posted by u/zeroCalories
stephenitis · 2 years ago
after some discussion with my friends I agree this seems to be the case
houston_Euler · 2 years ago
I'm sorry this is irrelevant to the current discussion, but you replied to one of my comments a couple weeks ago, and I can't reply there, so I'm leaving a response here.

Regarding Sam Altman's Long-con at Reddit.

https://www.reddit.com/r/AskReddit/comments/3cs78i/comment/c...

Click "Single Comment Thread" to get the context of his comment.

houston_Euler commented on 23andMe updates their TOS to force binding arbitration   stackdiary.com/23andme-up... · Posted by u/rdli
CrendKing · 2 years ago
What prevents 23andMe from simply deleting the opt-out emails they receive and claiming they never received anything, in case someone did sue them?
houston_Euler · 2 years ago
Wouldn't the sender have a time-stamped copy?
houston_Euler commented on We have reached an agreement in principle for Sam to return to OpenAI as CEO   twitter.com/openai/status... · Posted by u/staranjeet
upupupandaway · 2 years ago
In a different thread I commented how surprised I was that Emmett Shear accepted the job of interim CEO, to some criticism that my opinion was “silly”. This is why he should have stayed miles away from this whole mess. There was no winning scenario for him: stay CEO and lose 95% of the employees, or get ignored by a triumphant return of Sam Altman.
houston_Euler · 2 years ago
After learning earlier about Sam Altman's long-con at Reddit, I'm surprised I haven't seen anyone suggest that Emmett Shear accepted the job in order to help get Sam back into the company.

They were both members of the inaugural class of Y-Combinator, and all of Shear's published actions since accepting the role (like demanding evidence of Sam' wrongdoing) seem to have helped Sam return to his role.

I don't think it's a stretch to say that he did win, in that he might have accomplished exactly what he wanted when he accepted the role.

houston_Euler commented on Falsehoods Programmers Believe In   github.com/kdeldycke/awes... · Posted by u/thunderbong
WalterBright · 3 years ago
> Price is an indication of value.

That's not a falsehood. It's true.

houston_Euler commented on A new experiment casts doubt on the leading theory of the nucleus   quantamagazine.org/a-new-... · Posted by u/jnord
jiggawatts · 3 years ago
General Relativity doesn’t end just above the atmosphere and quantum mechanics ought to apply to everything, not just experiments.

The current microscopic models don’t even attempt to explain how a molecule of water is lighter than the oxygen and two hydrogen atoms that went into making it.

Oh sure, we can wave our hands at it and invoke the mass-energy relation from GR, but this doesn’t “pop out” of the Standard Model in any sense.

This isn’t some exotic phenomena only found in deep space!

We have a long way to go before we can par ourselves on the back and claim to truly understand what’s going on.

houston_Euler · 3 years ago
Can you point to some evidence for the claim that "a molecule of water is lighter than the oxygen and two hydrogen atoms that went into making it?"

I could understand the atoms sharing electrons, but just want to make sure I'm understanding you correctly, because you said it's unexplained.

houston_Euler commented on Court Ruling Could Affect the Future Direction of DAOs   jdsupra.com/legalnews/cou... · Posted by u/wallflower
rtkwe · 3 years ago
What does that even mean for a DAO to be out of state? Is it based on people with voting power in the DAO?
houston_Euler · 3 years ago
IANAL, but I believe it means that the company can't be headquartered somewhere else.
houston_Euler commented on Court Ruling Could Affect the Future Direction of DAOs   jdsupra.com/legalnews/cou... · Posted by u/wallflower
rvcdbn · 3 years ago
By this line of reasoning wouldn’t Ethereum miners be liable too? (assuming this was all implemented on ethereum)
houston_Euler · 3 years ago
I believe miners wouldn't, because while they might technically coordinate their efforts in deciding which version of a cryptocurrency to mine, they aren't pooling their resources and representing themselves as a single entity.

That's partly what makes these individuals an unincorporated organization.

u/houston_Euler

KarmaCake day47April 4, 2022View Original