hackeraccount (u/hackeraccount)

hackeraccount commented on Can You Gerrymander Your Party to Power? nytimes.com/interactive/2... · Posted by u/jaredwiener

seanmcdirmid · 11 days ago

California was undergoing non-partisan redistricting, which when they started, republicans actually picked up a seat or two. See https://gerrymander.princeton.edu/redistricting-report-card/

New York actually is less gerry mandered than CA, neither CA nor NY list any party getting more representation than their votes. Illinois, however, is just as gerrymandered as Texas.

States where Democrats have the strong advantage due to gerry mandering:

* Illinois

* Oregon

* Nevada

* New Mexico

NY and CA are both states where representation roughly corresponds to votes. Democrats also have less strong advantages in Pennsylvania, Alabama, and Mississippi (out of all places!). I'm guessing Alabama and Mississippi are just flukes.

States were Republicans have a strong advantage due to gerrymandering:

* Utah

* Kansas

* Texas

* Louisiana

* Wisconsin (??)

* Ohio

* Kentucky

* North Carolina

* South Carolina

* Georgia

* Florida

Arkansas and Oklahoma are moderately biased to Republican. Republicans have minor advantages in Maryland, New Hampshire, and Iowa.

Given that representation is roughly balanced in NY and CA right now, the Democrats could probably get a bunch of seats out of those two states if they decide to gerrymander.

hackeraccount · 11 days ago

Also I just looked at Maryland. I can't figure out just how many people voted for the GOP in the House but 35% voted for Trump - a reasonable proxy I think. The GOP for that gets 12.5% of the House representatives.

My larger point is that the GOP isn't without representation. Heck if the GOP had zero out of 8 seats and was getting 55% of the vote they wouldn't be without representation. They'd just be getting representation that wasn't proportionate. Even in that case I think they'd be getting more then you suspect - that degree of gerrymandering generally means that no one has a huge margin and even the most ideological politician will cast a glance backwards every now and then on a tough vote.

hackeraccount commented on Can You Gerrymander Your Party to Power? nytimes.com/interactive/2... · Posted by u/jaredwiener

seanmcdirmid · 11 days ago

California was undergoing non-partisan redistricting, which when they started, republicans actually picked up a seat or two. See https://gerrymander.princeton.edu/redistricting-report-card/

New York actually is less gerry mandered than CA, neither CA nor NY list any party getting more representation than their votes. Illinois, however, is just as gerrymandered as Texas.

States where Democrats have the strong advantage due to gerry mandering:

* Illinois

* Oregon

* Nevada

* New Mexico

NY and CA are both states where representation roughly corresponds to votes. Democrats also have less strong advantages in Pennsylvania, Alabama, and Mississippi (out of all places!). I'm guessing Alabama and Mississippi are just flukes.

States were Republicans have a strong advantage due to gerrymandering:

* Utah

* Kansas

* Texas

* Louisiana

* Wisconsin (??)

* Ohio

* Kentucky

* North Carolina

* South Carolina

* Georgia

* Florida

Arkansas and Oklahoma are moderately biased to Republican. Republicans have minor advantages in Maryland, New Hampshire, and Iowa.

Given that representation is roughly balanced in NY and CA right now, the Democrats could probably get a bunch of seats out of those two states if they decide to gerrymander.

hackeraccount · 11 days ago

I've read that the GOP in California gets about 40% of the votes in House elections to net them 17% of the seats.

In NY I read it's 43% of the vote for 27% of the seats

Is that true?

hackeraccount commented on Can You Gerrymander Your Party to Power? nytimes.com/interactive/2... · Posted by u/jaredwiener

hackeraccount · 11 days ago

By definition you can Gerrymander your party to power - unless the ruling party has a death wish. The Gerrymander is a tool of a majority party that keeps the majority in power.

It's not a magic bullet - it exchanges depth for width and in so doing it can expose risk of different types. I'm not saying it's right or fair, I think it's neither and wouldn't support it but it's politics.

The best solution to my mind is to increase the number of representatives. I've heard the counter-argument to that and it has some plausibility but I reject those arguments because I'm close minded.

hackeraccount commented on Can You Gerrymander Your Party to Power? nytimes.com/interactive/2... · Posted by u/jaredwiener

drivingmenuts · 12 days ago

Yes, you can and the Republicans have done it in Texas. Democrats have effectively no representation here.

hackeraccount · 11 days ago

"effectively" is doing a lot of work in that sentence. In the same sense that the Democrats have not representation in the Senate, the House or the Presidency. I mean, it's true but it's not the whole truth.

Democrats in Texas are under-represented compared with their numbers. It's not fair or democratic but I wouldn't say they have no representation any more then Republicans in CA. or NY have no representation.

hackeraccount commented on Is economics education fit for the 21st century? rethinkeconomics.org/reso... · Posted by u/pramodbiligiri

throw0101d · 19 days ago

> People confuse personal finance and budgeting with economics in general and don't know how to correctly think about the difference between legal and economic incidence of taxes like tariffs on imports.

Or like treating the debt of a country in a similar fashion to household debt.

hackeraccount · 18 days ago

You get further thinking about the similarities between the debt of a country and that of a household then you do concentrating on the differences.

hackeraccount commented on Ozempic shows anti-aging effects in trial trial.medpath.com/news/5c... · Posted by u/amichail

HarHarVeryFunny · 20 days ago

You can tell if that regime reverses aging when you instead start wanting to eat chicken nuggets and mac & cheese.

hackeraccount · 20 days ago

Nice.

hackeraccount commented on Try the Mosquito Bucket of Death energyvanguard.com/blog/t... · Posted by u/almuhalil

Dlanv · a month ago

Would you drink out of your toilet?

hackeraccount · a month ago

You mean like from a toilet?

hackeraccount commented on Show HN: Ten years of running every day, visualized nodaysoff.run... · Posted by u/friggeri

YuvalFishbine · a month ago

That's awesome! any tips for people who are just starting out?

hackeraccount · a month ago

If you run regularly there'll be nice days. The temperature will be 55F with no breeze and cloudy enough so the sun isn't annoyingly bright. You'll feel great the whole time and the only regret will be that it wasn't a longer run.

Those aren't the days that matter.

The days that matter are rainy. They'll be bastard hot and humid. Cold and windy. You'll be annoyed because you don't have time. Something will hurt and there'll be a thought in the back of your head that maybe if you skip today (and the next run too?) then you'll feel better.

Those crap days are the days that count. Those days are money in the bank. Enough of them and you get great days. Every day like that is a day where you can think that running for you is like a smoke to a pack a day man. It's not something you do it's something you are.

hackeraccount commented on The Surprising Reason Rural Hospitals Are Closing time.com/7298891/rural-ho... · Posted by u/dotcoma

triceratops · 2 months ago

They still have higher life expectancy and lower costs.

It's easy to have lower wait times when you don't have to serve everyone.

hackeraccount · 2 months ago

The relationship between healthcare and life expectancy is sketchy at best. If you want to increase life expectancy you're better off touching on public health issues.

hackeraccount commented on Wait, Why Is Israel Allowed to Have Nukes? currentaffairs.org/news/w... · Posted by u/shinryudbz

hackeraccount · 2 months ago

I think the deal is that any country is allowed to have nukes or give up having nukes. No country without nukes is allowed to get nukes - unless they already have them of course.