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gutnor commented on Macs to Get AI-Focused M4 Chips Starting in Late 2024   macrumors.com/2024/04/11/... · Posted by u/alwillis
wil421 · a year ago
Is AI the new 3D monitor fad? Am I going to have to pay for AI in places I don’t care to? Such as Cars, Refrigerators, and Espresso machines?
gutnor · a year ago
It is possible it is the next self-driving car, or nuclear fusion.

A sudden exponential set of improvements that allowed everyone to dream that self-driving anything was around the corner. Actual promising real world result that show we are really no that far.

But the last bridge to cross is actually extremely slow and what was around the corner, becomes a decade away.

That said, it's not fruitless. AI is useful as it is today, and if does not go pick up your kids at school in the next 10 years, it would still be useful.

gutnor commented on Macs to Get AI-Focused M4 Chips Starting in Late 2024   macrumors.com/2024/04/11/... · Posted by u/alwillis
binkHN · a year ago
> terabyte of RAM

LOL. Have you seem the pricing of Mac memory?

gutnor · a year ago
At Mac Pro pricing (128 GB = $1600) that's $12,800

Of course, I can imagine that there will be a significant discount even just considering the price of high end branded memory outside Apple.

Still, Apple has showed no sign of abandoning 8GB for regular people. Even if they switch by the end of the year on their high model, they have a serious handicap in their own installed base.

gutnor commented on The Apple Vision Pro is spectacular and sad   theatlantic.com/technolog... · Posted by u/Jtsummers
threeseed · 2 years ago
It's easy to make this judgement now when the headset has just been launched. But over the coming decades we are going to new see new types of social interaction that could enhance the world rather than break it apart.

For example, being in Australia conferences in the EU and US require a 14 hour flight time and days of adjusting to a new time zone. Likewise there are people working two jobs, have children or are a carer who may want to experience the benefits of studying in person but can't.

I suspect as the fidelity gets better that human need of being around other people is going to be fulfilled. Which could make a massive difference in terms of reducing loneliness and the feeling of isolation.

gutnor · 2 years ago
The world has to evolve in a different way than it is currently happening. Which is not impossible but those headset development are not cheap so the monetisation is a very high requirement.

It is a lot easier to use those headset where they naturally fit: ultra-personalised experience. Like social media v2, lot of potential to connect human, but devolving into jailing human in echo chambers: you can keep in touch with your family and friends across the world, or you can get hooked into a forever stream of news/post/video/product customised to make you engage.

VR headset used for games. I can see the social aspect winning. Spacial computing, I'm scared.

gutnor commented on Finance worker pays out $25M after video call call with deepfake CFO   edition.cnn.com/2024/02/0... · Posted by u/bsdz
Izkata · 2 years ago
I think their idea is that the boss would be the one to introduce it ("Bosses might even enjoy the grandeur of showing off their status with an insignia-device.") and because of the culture it wouldn't be difficult for employees to adapt and go along with those new rules.
gutnor · 2 years ago
The problem is that inevitably the boss will forget his signature one day. Who is going to challenge him? And if he his challenged, how will he take it?

Even in the West, nobody of low seniority challenges the C-level executive when they tailgate or walk around without their badge. And if you are new, if there is an important looking individual you don't recognise, you leave him alone, totally validating the "act as you belong adage".

gutnor commented on OpenAI drops ban on military tools to partner with The Pentagon   semafor.com/article/01/16... · Posted by u/mfiguiere
WhackyIdeas · 2 years ago
It just shows the ‘not for profit’ was just a ploy to sound cool. Really, it should have been ‘only for profit’.
gutnor · 2 years ago
And it reopens the discussion about all its training on unattributed scrapped data.
gutnor commented on Cold showers on overhyped topics (2017)   github.com/hwayne/awesome... · Posted by u/troupo
maerF0x0 · 2 years ago
Wait, so just because there's fuzziness to the data you're going to instead defer to what? What's the proposed alternative/status quo that you're giving a data-less free pass?
gutnor · 2 years ago
Decision driven from bad data is IMO worse than data-less decision.

Data grants authority to a decision that gut feel driven one doesn't. It is hard to argue against evidence as it should be, but that assume a certain level of quality in the evidence.

Second, if practice doesn't match the expected outcome, the first thing you will look at is what the team is doing wrong, not review the decision as not working.

That said, parent is far from unique in his skepticism, so I think the problem is more often reversed in the industry. Having some data, even flawed can help your company decide to try something new.

gutnor commented on Voyager 1 stops communicating with Earth   cnn.com/2023/12/13/world/... · Posted by u/my12parsecs
anonymous_sorry · 2 years ago
> Initially designed to last five years

NASA tech often seems to outlive its initial mission length by a massive margin. The Mars rovers spring to mind. It's incredibly impressive, and almost embarrassing! Surely this isn't accidental. Is the kit massively over-specced? Do the uncertainties and risks necessitate such a depth of redundancy that when stuff goes kinda smoothly the thing lasts 9 times longer than it was designed to? Is it a political thing: they set their success criteria low just in case something goes wrong, but actually intend a much longer lifespan?

Sorry if this seems an incredibly cynical way of looking at the world. I actually love all this stuff - I'm just curious if there is a pattern here and what the reason is if so.

gutnor · 2 years ago
I guess the problem is lead time. You want overspecced because you get one shot every 10-20 years between design, launch windows and the all too present political angle.
gutnor commented on Notes on Vision Pro   notes.andymatuschak.org/V... · Posted by u/firloop
gnicholas · 2 years ago
> Given how ambitious the hardware package is, the software paradigm is surprisingly conservative.

I actually see this as a bit less surprising. After all, if you change the hardware in a big way, and you change the software in a big way, users will have a harder time adjusting to the new platform. Instead, they're making a big leap on the hardware side, keeping legacy apps and concepts, and then will presumably iterate to more 'native' experiences that were previously impossible/unimaginable/unintuitive.

gutnor · 2 years ago
That was repeated a bunch of time during the keynote: "familiar"
gutnor commented on “What if it changes?”   chriskiehl.com/article/th... · Posted by u/goostavos
jackblemming · 3 years ago
Good code rarely needs to change because it's complete. It's meant to be built on top of, rather than modified for every new consumer. Think standard libraries. There is no reason for the linked list module to ever change unless it's for bug fixes or performance improvements.

Business logic needs to change all the time, because businesses are always changing. This is why we separate it out cleanly, so it can change easily.

Know what type of code you're writing so you can plan and design appropriately.

gutnor · 3 years ago
Corollary of that is that MVP for library code is very different than MVP for business code.

MVP for business code is a great way to get the tool in front of the users and get traction, request for more work. Once you release your library, desire for changes basically drops to 0.

It's working. If it's clunky, the clunkiness just gets wrapped into a utility class somewhere deep in the belly your client application with about 1 commit change per year to change the copyright notice.

Similarly your corporate leverage falls to 0. You make a library to save people time, congrats you did it. Every update you ask people to do that does not bring new feature they need reduce your value. Good luck justifying a cosmetic change ROI.

gutnor commented on Court issues permanent injunction in Epic vs. Apple case   theverge.com/2021/9/10/22... · Posted by u/freddier
avianlyric · 4 years ago
Which is strange considering that both Mastercard and Visa require banks to offer this feature, and provide services to make it easy to implement.

I suspect if you called up your bank and asked to block recurring payments from a specific merchant, they could do it. It’s just not advertised very well, and the implementation aren’t always granular enough (block a merchant using Stripe for example, can result in all Stripe payments being blocked).

gutnor · 4 years ago
I guess that's because they cancel the payment, not the subscription.

If you cancel Netflix that way, Netflix isn't told. They will just realise the payment failed and block your account until you upgrade your payment details.

Apple system cancel the subscription, just like if you go on Netflix account and cancel. The blocking of the payment just happen as a consequence of the subscription to the service being cancelled.

Of course maybe time changed. Like shop returns 20 years ago, it was badly seen to pick load of stuff and bring most of the stuff back. Nowadays shops expect it and during Sales period they will ask you to do it that way rather than jam the few fitting rooms.

u/gutnor

KarmaCake day2415April 5, 2012View Original