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gscott commented on Margin debt surges to record high   advisorperspectives.com/d... · Posted by u/pera
electrograv · 3 days ago
The thing is, you can simultaneously be completely correct about the market being insane, while also entirely wrong in expecting it to behave in a sane way.

Cue the famous quote: “The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.”

I have a vague theory that as the amount of wealth inequality increases in a system along with “money printing” (lending, hypothecation, etc where the wealthy are permitted privileged leverage and risk), the more detached markets become from reality in general. In such a case, an increasing majority of the money circulating has no need to be grounded in anything close to the common basic needs and values that most normal people have to live with.

Instead, most important to such wealth is to tap into the source of inflation to be on the winning side of that. This becomes a game of its own, where an investment’s connection to reality or fundamental value is mostly irrelevant compared to how it leverages or monopolizes the state-created and privately created instruments of “money printing” (sketchy lending, rehypothecation, etc.) and other such “games” that only the wealthy are allowed in on.

gscott · 3 days ago
If the very most you need to live on is 10 million. You can gamble the rest. Buy apartments, jack up the rents like crazy worst thing to happen to you is that people may move out. Buy stocks on margin, win some loose some. The real economy your play toy.
gscott commented on Ask HN: How can ChatGPT serve 700M users when I can't run one GPT-4 locally?    · Posted by u/superasn
mattmanser · 15 days ago
Someone's take on AI was that we're collectively investing billions in data centers that will be utterly worthless in 10 years.

Unlike the investments in railways or telephone cables or roads or any other sort of architecture, this investment has a very short lifespan.

Their point was that whatever your take on AI, the present investment in data centres is a ridiculous waste and will always end up as a huge net loss compared to most other investments our societies could spend it on.

Maybe we'll invent AGI and he'll be proven wrong as they'll pay back themselves many times over, but I suspect they'll ultimately be proved right and it'll all end up as land fill.

gscott · 15 days ago
If a coal powered electric plant it next to the data-center you might be able to get electric cheap enough to keep it going.

Datacenters could go into the business of making personal PC's or workstations using the older NVIDIA cards and sell them.

gscott commented on What'll happen if we spend nearly $3T on data centres no one needs?   ft.com/content/7052c560-4... · Posted by u/rwmj
bashtoni · 19 days ago
There were many companies in the mid 2000s that were viable only because they bought networks at a fraction of the cost spent to build them.
gscott · 19 days ago
Manhattan sized data center sells to OnlyFans at half-price

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