I do think startups with multi-billion dollar valuations but mostly relying on OpenAI/Claude are in a bubble. There's no reason a company like Windsurf was worth $3b or Cursor should have $10b.
While i sympathize, the world does rely on high quality 30+ year old software. I think it's time, as an industry, to stop seeing software as disposable and start designing for longevity.
Not really, but it does mean you shouldn’t trust individual papers blindly.
Anyone who follows research already knows this. Individual papers appear all the time with remarkable findings which seem revolutionary, but then nobody can replicate or commercialize it.
Some communities eat these isolated results up, like supplement and health podcasters (Rhonda Patrick, Huberman). They should know better than to take some random mouse study at face value, but it’s too good of a story to pass up.
In medicine and the industry, anyone experienced knows not to get excited about singular results unless it’s from a trusted source or until it’s replicated.
But there are many scientists that love hearing themselves on TV etc. that pull out a paper to shove whatever agenda they have.
This is the difference. Most teams have scheduled daily (!) meetings, so such rambling channels often times feel more like another chore and therefore fail because they haven't emerged of a natural need from the team.
.. And because we spend 30-50% of our day in meetings, some person is always saying "take this offline" or "we'll circle back later".
It’s also probably not coming from a place of “I’m scared of AI so I want it to fail” but more like “my complex use case doesn’t work with AI and I’m really wondering why that is”.
There’s this desire it seems to think of people who aren’t on the hype train as “against” AI but people need to remember that these are most likely devs with a decade of experience who have been evaluating the usefulness of the tools they use for a long time.
I think this can be worse than ignorance. It's the illusion of knowledge coupled with the confidence that comes from thinking you understand something you've never actually encountered. These people walk around armed with headlines masquerading as insights, ready to deploy half-digested talking points in conversations that require actual thought. They've become human echo chambers, amplifying signals they never bothered to decode.
This is such a good summary of what I feel like I've been observing (including in myself) for the last 15 years or so. But the confidence was high and the picture incomplete. And the worst part of it all, the behaviour was
FINTRAC is unable to establish a pattern in those reports and prosecute. Instead, when someone is charged with an indictable offence, their name and related entities are searched for STRs. Any financial crimes are then used to create additional charges.
The net result of this, because of lack of digitization and various privacy guarantees, is that it is almost impossible to be charged with financial crimes as a primary offence in Canada.
Source: former RCMP financial crimes consultant.