Now I'm the 40-year-old ops guy fielding those questions. I'll write up an LLM question emphasizing what they should be focused on, I'll verify the response is in sync with my thoughts, and shoot it to them.
It seems less passive aggressive than LMGTFY and sometimes I learn something from the response.
Take a look at this paper: https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/rzeckhauser/files/value_of...
They took high-precision forecasts from a forecasting tournament and rounded them to coarser buckets (nearest 5%, nearest 10%, nearest 33%), to see if the precision was actually conveying any real information. What they found is that if you rounded the forecasts of expert forecasters, Brier scores got consistently worse, suggesting that expert forecast precision at the 5% level is still conveying useful, if noisy, information. They also found that less expert forecasters took less of a hit from rounding their forecasts, which makes sense.
It's a really interesting paper, and they recommend that foreign policy analysts try to increase precision rather than retreating to lumpy buckets like "likely" or "unlikely".
Based on this, it seems totally reasonable for a rationalist to make guesses with single digit precision, and I don't think it's really worth criticizing.