dabraham1248 (u/dabraham1248)

dabraham1248 commented on Tesla’s 4680 battery supply chain collapses as partner writes down deal by 99% electrek.co/2025/12/29/te... · Posted by u/coloneltcb

CyanLite2 · 3 months ago

They mostly only work on pre-mapped highways. They're also not commercially available.

There's currently no other DA other than Tesla's FSD available in the US that will work on city streets and highways.

dabraham1248 · 2 months ago

I'm going to assert that Tesla's FSD™ does not, in fact work on city streets and highways.

Or, if you want to loosely define "work", Ernst Dickmanns had self driving in the 80s, and put in on the autobahn in the 90s. I'd rather define it more tightly as "statistically at least as safe to be in _and_ to be near, as a human driver".

Tesla claims to have achieved that, but I don't believe them. That's because the data they report 1) omits a fair bit of critical info, and 2) frequently changes definitions. Both serve to make comparisons difficult. If it was clearly safe, I think they'd put effort into making the comparison transparent.

Bear in mind that Musk has been claiming "Full Self-Driving" since at least 2016, and people involved have asserted that he wasn't wrong, he was lying.

dabraham1248 commented on Human coders are still better than LLMs antirez.com/news/153... · Posted by u/longwave

seattle_spring · 10 months ago

This has been my experience as well. The biggest problem is that the answers look plausible, and only after implementation and experimentation do you find them to be wrong. If this happened every once in a while then it wouldn't be a big deal, but I'd guess that more than half of the answers and tutorials I've received through ChatGPT have ended up being plain wrong.

God help us if companies start relying on LLMs for life-or-death stuff like insurance claim decisions.

dabraham1248 · 10 months ago

I'm not sure if you're being sarcastic, but in case you're not... From https://arstechnica.com/health/2023/11/ai-with-90-error-rate...

"UnitedHealth uses AI model with 90% error rate to deny care, lawsuit alleges" Also "The use of faulty AI is not new for the health care industry."

dabraham1248 commented on Boeing to plead guilty to criminal fraud charge stemming from 737 MAX crashes cnbc.com/2024/07/08/boein... · Posted by u/dblitt

chaostheory · 2 years ago

You’re describing a GSIB. There are only 4-6 banks in the US that’s considered a GSIB

dabraham1248 · 2 years ago

8 (1). And I think that, in this context, those 8 plus the 22 US D-SIBs (2) means that there's 30.

FWIW, I _think_ I'm not just pedantically correcting a particular number. I think I'm asserting that keeping track of n organizations is roughly O(n^2), so it's not 4 times as much work to keep track of them all, but more like 56 times as much work. I think that's a real difference that requires a different approach.

I get that _you're_ not saying anything re: approach, just terminology. But I think the number matters to this subthread.

1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_systemically_important... 2. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_systemically_important...

dabraham1248 commented on Sarepta. Why? science.org/content/blog-... · Posted by u/rossdavidh

freedomben · 2 years ago

Personally, I think it's egregious to deny people possible treatments, particularly in cases like that. I think FDA should be very strict on approvals (i.e. giving it that stamp), but should not be gatekeeping people. If people want to take non-FDA approved stuff, I don't see why regulatory and/or law enforcement should care. There's an incredible amount of paternalism inherent in the current system that nobody ever seems to question, and that blows my mind.

Now that said, I have a huge problem with this skipping. FDA rules need to be applied consistently and follow the process. I'm sympathetic to the desired outcome, but the problem is the system is set up as a gatekeeper. Fix the system, don't try to hack around it like this. That just further undermines trust and faith in the system.

dabraham1248 · 2 years ago

> If people want to take non-FDA approved stuff, I don't see why regulatory and/or law enforcement should care.

Well, among other things, if anyone makes money selling colored water, it encourages others to sell colored water. It also encourages companies that are trying to sell actual drugs to skip that expensive "testing" phase. Bad money usually chases out the good (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gresham's_law) so it's likely that we will devolve into a system where very few drugs are adequately tested.

I'm not saying it never happens, but if a law, policy, or agency reduces big corporation profits, then it's almost always because lots of people were dying.

dabraham1248 commented on Internet Archive forced to remove 500k books after publishers' court win arstechnica.com/tech-poli... · Posted by u/cratermoon

throwAGIway · 2 years ago

If an author sells the rights and does, should the buyer automatically lose what they bought? Sounds like that would severely decrease what authors can earn, especially older ones.

dabraham1248 · 2 years ago

> Sounds like that would severely decrease what authors can earn, especially older ones.

I mean, I know a bunch of authors. All of them wrote because they needed to write (even the textbook authors). And almost none of them earned much of anything from it (even the textbook authors). One English prof told me that he received almost enough for his morning coffee for about three years. Then he didn't. And he drank just plain coffee.

"The problem for most artists isn't piracy, it's obscurity." "Less copyright" != "piracy", but I think it has the same effect in this case (theoretically less value placed on the work of an author, but not practically).

Also, this might be coincidence, but copyright has gotten extended at the same time as most authors have received less from publishing.

All that said, I want society as a whole to be better, people to have more opportunities to grow, good ideas more of a chance to flourish. I think that overly strong copyright fights against that. And IME (ok, secondhand experience) that 99.9% of the profits added by strong copyright goes to the publishers, not the authors.

dabraham1248 commented on The Programmer's Brain (2021) yoan-thirion.gitbook.io/k... · Posted by u/rzk

lilfrost · 2 years ago

There is consensus documenting why you did something is good (which is what root comment is talking about). Documenting what you did is commonly thought to be a crutch for writing unreadable code.

dabraham1248 · 2 years ago

While I _absolutely_ agree with those sentiments, I have seen nothing like consensus on them myself (in mostly tech startups, but also fintech, and financial (yes, those are different things)). If I limit it to programmers I respect, the percentages go up, but to _maybe_ 75% tops.

dabraham1248 commented on More misdrilled holes on 737 MAX in latest setback bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/toomuchtodo

randmeerkat · 2 years ago

> And dozens of his projects have utterly failed. Remember The Boring Company? Hyperloop? The-site-formerlly-and-forever-known-as-Twitter-until-Musk-ruined-it?

You say dozens and name two, one of which (X) is still up and running with active user engagement. Many people have thrown darts, none have developed self-landing reusable rockets and outcompeted ULA or developed a satellite based global internet provider. Not even Google at its peak was able to come up with anything better than Project Loon. I’ll concede there’s a little luck in every venture, but what Musk and SpaceX have accomplished is well beyond luck and quite remarkable.

dabraham1248 · 2 years ago

I mean, I dispute your implication that he's not destroying twitter (I mean, ever since he took it private we don't have hard numbers. But that itself doesn't suggest _good_ things).

But aside from that, and the two examples above, 1. x.com (the original) 2. tesla has been killing way more people since he retroactively became a founder (there was a delay while existing products moved through the pipeline) 3. solarcity 4. optimus 5. neuralink (well, ok, it hasn't failed yet. But _I'm_ not betting on it...) 6. the Tham Luang cave rescue 7. crypto 8. his relationships with his kids / exes

TBF, spacex appears to be his baby, and it has done _much_ better than I ever thought it would. There are rumors about the existence of a whole team there preventing him from breaking things, and personally, I believe them. But I have nothing _remotely_ like proof. And even if those rumors are true, spacex appears to have been his idea, he hired the first batch of people, etc. He can definitely take loads of credit for it, even if I don't think he deserves as much of said credit as he clearly thinks he deserves.

dabraham1248 commented on IBM scraps rewards program for staff inventions, wipes away cash points theregister.com/2024/01/1... · Posted by u/Brajeshwar

notatoad · 2 years ago

they couldn't even spring for the kitchenaid?

dabraham1248 · 2 years ago

A modern kitchenaid isn't really better than a cuisinart. Back when they were made by hobart, yes, they were amazing (and, inflation adjusted, something like three times the price).

These days they have plastic (I'm sorry "composite") gears, and do not appear to be designed to be serviced, just replaced. My ex broke three of them attempting to make bagel dough.

dabraham1248 commented on X sues Calif. to avoid revealing how it makes “controversial” content decisions arstechnica.com/tech-poli... · Posted by u/isaacfrond

infamouscow · 3 years ago

The bill of rights is a list of restrictions on the government i.e., laws the governments must follow.

dabraham1248 · 3 years ago

Umm, the bill of rights is a set of restrictions on the _federal_ government. The last one is explicitly a statement that the states can do a lot of things that the federal government _can't_.

There is the supremacy clause, but goodness knows where that would end up here. _Everything_ involving real money or power seems to make it to the supreme court these days, and who knows what the political landscape will look like by the time it does (yes, I am asserting that the supreme court has become more political than it used to be, _and_ that it used to be pretty political...).

dabraham1248 commented on Grindr Loses Almost Half Its Staff on 2-Day RTO Requirement bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/toomuchtodo

mrguyorama · 3 years ago

That looks like a lot of marketing to me trying to shore up Biden's reputation with Union workers after he killed the railroad strike and left our necessary workers to the dogs.

dabraham1248 · 3 years ago

From the _IBEW_ ( https://www.ibew.org/media-center/Articles/23Daily/2306/2306... ):

> “We’re thankful that the Biden administration played the long game on sick days and stuck with us for months after Congress imposed our updated national agreement,” Russo said. “Without making a big show of it, Joe Biden and members of his administration in the Transportation and Labor departments have been working continuously to get guaranteed paid sick days for all railroad workers.