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cmiles74 commented on Fed Chair Warns Trump Admin May Be Seriously Exaggerating Jobs Numbers   newrepublic.com/post/2042... · Posted by u/cmiles74
cmiles74 · 5 days ago
> In a press conference, Powell said that staffers at the Fed think that the government could be overestimating the number of jobs created by 60,000 each month. With published figures stating that the U.S. has added an average of 40,000 jobs each month since April, the true numbers could be closer to a loss of 20,000 jobs a month.

Earlier this month ADP reported that private payrolls cut ~32k positions.

> With worries intensifying over the domestic jobs picture, ADP indicated the issues were worse than anticipated. The payrolls decline marked a sharp step down from October, which saw an upwardly revised gain of 47,000 positions, and was well below the Dow Jones consensus estimate from economists for an increase of 40,000.

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/03/adp-jobs-report-november-202...

cmiles74 commented on Valve: HDMI Forum Continues to Block HDMI 2.1 for Linux   heise.de/en/news/Valve-HD... · Posted by u/OsrsNeedsf2P
jokoon · 7 days ago
The problem is that software distributors might break laws if the said drivers lands on unlicensed hdmi hardware, so they should be liable to check if the hardware is properly licensed, which might generate headaches.

Or maybe lawyers cannot anticipate everything that happens in court, so it just feels better to do things properly and not try to circumvent laws, especially when you're valve. It's better to not take risks.

cmiles74 · 7 days ago
I suspect Valve's plan is to embarrass the license holder in the hope that they back down. I doubt a court battle would be worth the money.
cmiles74 commented on Anthropic’s paper smells like bullshit   djnn.sh/posts/anthropic-s... · Posted by u/vxvxvx
JKCalhoun · a month ago
Do public reports like this one often go deep enough into the weeds to name names, list specific tools and techniques, URLs?

I don't doubt of course that reports intended for government agencies or security experts would have those details, but I am not surprised that a "blog post" like this one is lacking details.

I just don't see how one goes from "this is lacking public evidence" to "this is likely a political stunt".

I guess I would also ask the skeptics (a bit tangentially, I admit), do you think what Anthropic suggested happened is in fact possible with AI tools? I mean are you denying that this is could even happen or just that Anthropic's specific account was fabricated or embellished?

Because if the whole scenario is plausible that should be enough to set off alarm bells somewhere.

cmiles74 · a month ago
The report itself reads like a humblebrag at best, marketing materials at worst. I have to agree with the OP: taking this report at face value requires that you trust Anthropic, a lot.

Their August threat intelligence report struck similar chords.

https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/b2a76c6f6992465c09a6f2fce282f6...

cmiles74 commented on The next chapter of the Microsoft–OpenAI partnership   openai.com/index/next-cha... · Posted by u/meetpateltech
gehwartzen · 2 months ago
This is exactly why they will have an “expert panel” to make that determination. They wouldn’t make something up
cmiles74 · 2 months ago
I expect that the "expert panel" is to ensure that OpenAI and Microsoft are in agreement on what "AGI" means in the context of this agreement.
cmiles74 commented on The "Chinese Room" Argument: It's Not Thinking, It's Just an Algorithm   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chi... · Posted by u/cmiles74
SilverElfin · 2 months ago
This entire argument relies on an assumption that thinking or consciousness is something special and not just an algorithm. I don’t understand why people pay so much attention to Searle’s position, given how unrigorous it is.
cmiles74 · 2 months ago
It seems like a pretty good description of how LLMs work.
cmiles74 commented on I spent the day teaching seniors how to use an iPhone   forums.macrumors.com/thre... · Posted by u/dabinat
avalys · 2 months ago
The iPhone - and macOS too - used to be a paragon of simplicity.

Today the setup experience on a brand-new iPhone or Mac is abysmal. Entering the same username and password multiple times - then sometimes a different username and password - competing notifications, irrelevant feature nags, a popup from some random product manager about their pet thingy. Permission questions from some meddlesome privacy team about the feature you just said you wanted to turn on. Uncertainty about whether you’ll break something irreparably by “skipping” the expected setup path. A choice of several inscrutable interface modes because no one has the balls to commit to a single solution. Just terrible.

I guess this is what happens without a dictator to tell people they’re fired for shipping garbage, and when a company worries about meeting quarterly KPIs rather than doing something great.

cmiles74 · 2 months ago
Younger people struggle with this, too. I was getting my teeth cleaned this morning and the hygienist had a lengthy story about transferring data to a new iPhone (her prior phone was 2.5 years old). It's anecdata but the experience is challenging, especially for something people have to do and do rarely.
cmiles74 commented on Fall Foliage Map 2025   explorefall.com/fall-foli... · Posted by u/rappatic
fransje26 · 3 months ago
Can also be due to drought. Did you have a drier summer/end of summer in your area?
cmiles74 · 3 months ago
I can confirm, MA is all drought right now.

https://www.mass.gov/info-details/drought-status

cmiles74 commented on AI was supposed to help juniors shine. Why does it mostly make seniors stronger?   elma.dev/notes/ai-makes-s... · Posted by u/elmsec
bentt · 3 months ago
The best code I've written with an LLM has been where I architect it, I guide the LLM through the scaffolding and initial proofs of different components, and then I guide it through adding features. Along the way it makes mistakes and I guide it through fixing them. Then when it is slow, I profile and guide it through optimizations.

So in the end, it's code that I know very, very well. I could have written it but it would have taken me about 3x longer when all is said and done. Maybe longer. There are usually parts that have difficult functions but the inputs and outputs of those functions are testable so it doesn't matter so much that you know every detail of the implementation, as long as it is validated.

This is just not junior stuff.

cmiles74 · 3 months ago
I can see how this workflow made the senior developer faster. At the same time, work mentoring the AI strikes me as less valuable then the same time spent mentoring a junior developer. If this ends up encouraging an ever widening gap between the skill levels of juniors and seniors, I think that would be bad for the field, overall.

Getting that kind of data is difficult, right now it's just something I worry about.

u/cmiles74

KarmaCake day4332April 28, 2009
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Another developer from Western MA.

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