This is the first technology wave that doesn't just displace humans, but which can be trained to the new job opportunities more easily than humans can. Right now it can't replace humans for a lot of important things. But as its capabilities improve, what do displaced humans transition to?
I don't think that we have a good answer to that. And we may need it sooner rather than later. I'd be more optimistic if I trusted our leadership more. But wise political leadership is not exactly a strong point for our country right now.
As someone in an AI company right now - Almost every company we work with is using Azure wrapped OpenAI. We're not sure why, but that is the case.
Very few are two hit. Three is incredibly rare (Steve Jobs).
Let's look at his hits:
1. Paypal
2. Tesla
3. SpaceX
4. Starlink
5. xAI
6. Neuralink (looking promising)
7. X (looking promising)
8. Boring (successful, but not a breakout success)
9. Solar City (less successful, now part of Tesla)
BTW, Jobs had his failure too - Next
By any objective measure, Musk's business success is incredible.
I'm not just making an argument. I invested in his companies, and am enjoying the returns.