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cemerick commented on ‘Bloody Saturday’ at Voice of America and other U.S.-funded networks   npr.org/2025/03/15/nx-s1-... · Posted by u/thm
LeanderK · 9 months ago
As someone from europe, I am baffled by the ability to just fire everyone on the spot. Are there no job-protections for federal employees? This makes agencies really dependent on the political climate, right? Can he really just fire everyone? Isn't there even a 3 months notice or something?

A separate, connected thought is that I wonder why you would choose being a federal employee then. Here, the government promises job security but it usually means less pay and slower processes compared to industry. If you don't have job security, is then the government forced to be more competitive with industry positions in pay/processes?

cemerick · 9 months ago
VOA/RFE operations were actually run by a separate non-profit org that got the vast majority of its operating funds from the feds. So, federal worker protections aren't relevant by dint of the org(s) being set up at arm's length.

That said, the current regime has had no problem acting outside of the law and existing federal employee union contracts. Tell people they're dismissed, cut off the email and building access, wait for the lawsuits, and then simply ignore the decisions weeks/months later and/or follow them with as much malicious compliance as they need to achieve their original aims.

tl;dr: No, employment protections fundamentally don't exist in the US, and doubly so for those employed by the federal government within an atmosphere of rampant lawlessness.

cemerick commented on IRS to fire 6,700 staff   independent.co.uk/news/wo... · Posted by u/Havoc
km144 · 10 months ago
It is interesting for a targeted campaign like this administration's—which claims to be concerned with government waste and inefficiency—to cut employees for one of the only organizations that we know causes decreased revenues for the federal government when it receives cuts in funding [1].

Of course, it's not like they're implementing any sort of new policies to make sure productivity in the IRS remains the same. I'm not sure why we'd expect anything less at this point.

[1] https://www.cbo.gov/publication/60037

cemerick · 10 months ago
Insofar as you're tariff-ing everything that moves, the less you particularly care about internal revenue. The endgame is to eliminate the income tax entirely anyway, so why would one want the IRS at all?
cemerick commented on US pauses all federal aid and grants   bbc.com/news/articles/c77... · Posted by u/miohtama
ahmeneeroe-v2 · a year ago
Okay, addressing the main thrust:

Defense spending is absolutely a priority of this administration. SecDef Hegseth's whole thing is about reorienting the Pentagon back to American defense as the priority. Remember that getting Hegseth confirmed was a major push for the brand new admin.

So spending won't go down but will hopefully be spent more effectively.

cemerick · a year ago
"Effective for what?" is always the key question. Various unhinged "proposals" (invading greenland, invading panama, an iron dome-like system to cover basically all of north america to shoot down...whatever Canada and Cuba will launch at us??) suggest nothing other than full funding++, used in dumb ways (which I suppose is better than circa 2002 WoT defense spending?).

Until last November, Hegseth's "whole thing" was being a frat anchor / defense witness for Fox. Talking about him being anything like a serious figure is absurd.

cemerick commented on US pauses all federal aid and grants   bbc.com/news/articles/c77... · Posted by u/miohtama
ahmeneeroe-v2 · a year ago
You clearly wrote "non-discretionary". Now I see you meant "discretionary", but even so you're still wrong. It is not even a simple majority.

805/1722 = 0.467

cemerick · a year ago
Ah, indeed, I was sloppy in my wording in that prior message.

I should have said is that defense is the largest single category of discretionary spending, by a large margin. The thrust of the point remains.

cemerick commented on US pauses all federal aid and grants   bbc.com/news/articles/c77... · Posted by u/miohtama
ahmeneeroe-v2 · a year ago
The "grand debate" happened, Americans voted, and now the guy who won is delivering on his campaign promises. Whether you agree with Trump or not, this should not be a surprising outcome. He told us he was going to do this.

>Military spending is the overwhelming majority of non-discretionary spending

This is so wildly wrong and easily disproven that I really can't take the rest of what you say seriously.

cemerick · a year ago
>> Military spending is the overwhelming majority of non-discretionary spending > > This is so wildly wrong and easily disproven that I really can't take the rest of what you say seriously.

sigh

https://www.cbo.gov/publication/59729

Defense accounted for $805B out of a total discretionary budget of $1.7T. The next largest category (using the CBO's classifications, not mine) are veteran's benefits @ $131B, and it goes down from there. If you want to quibble with what "overwhelming majority" means, I guess you can do that, but I doubt that's interesting to anyone.

I'll wait for you to 'disprove' the above.

tbc, I am not surprised by any of this (as you say, he was very clear about his intentions), but let's not pretend that there is any policy-specific valence to the outcome of any vote in the current electoral system. People vote as they do for their own (usually terrible, and usually unrelated to policy) reasons, and the people that win get to do what they will with the power bestowed upon them. Insofar as Trump's and Republicans' actions make life for the bottom ~80% harder, don't be surprised as buyers' remorse sets in pretty heavily. And so goes the "debate".

cemerick commented on Confusion, uncertainty in industry as Army contracts seemingly halted   breakingdefense.com/2025/... · Posted by u/KnuthIsGod
refurb · a year ago
Trump has run several successful businesses, and with a 50+ year career several failures as well, which I’d imagine a entrepreneurial board like HN wouldn’t hold against him.
cemerick · a year ago
A bag of leveraged real estate and casino holdings, plus a smattering of dollar store swindles is what denotes entrepreneurialism in the modern HN world? Wild times.
cemerick commented on US pauses all federal aid and grants   bbc.com/news/articles/c77... · Posted by u/miohtama
ahmeneeroe-v2 · a year ago
How much are you willing to pay for this?

If Congress voted for 50% taxation and could somehow prove to you that it was all going to care for those less fortunate than you, would you be okay with that? 75%? 90%?

What quality of life are you aiming for the recipients? Do they each get a cot in a shelter? Their own room? Their own apartment or house? Do they get it with no strings attached or do they have to try to improve their own lot while the taxpayer helps them?

How long do we want to extend lives for? Surely we all agree on medication and life-saving care for children. Should a 95 year old get hundreds of thousands of dollars to extend their lives for 6 months?

These are real questions that Americans are trying to answer right now.

cemerick · a year ago
> Surely we all agree on medication and life-saving care for children.

That is absolutely not a given. The currently in-power minority earnestly believe that people are only due the level of healthcare they can personally fund and afford, period.

> These are real questions that Americans are trying to answer right now.

Which Americans? There's no grand debate happening right now, just a table-flipping tantrum.

It's a fun exercise to do the chin-stroking thing of asking about efficiency and tax rates and so on, but it's so disconnected from the reality of the federal budget that it's hard to believe it's anything other than a cynical tactic.

Military spending is the overwhelming majority of non-discretionary spending, and there are effectively no limits to it. Meanwhile, extremely high-leverage foreign aid (like the HIV-related treatments that have been mentioned) are always first on the chopping block, along with things like school lunches and early childhood education that have been demonstrated to be effectively free in terms of how much spending on remediating bad outcomes later in peoples' lives.

cemerick commented on Tree Calculus   treecalcul.us/... · Posted by u/iamwil
barryjay · a year ago
It’s great to see Johannes experimenting with tree calculus, and making explicit the possibilities which are merely implicit in my book GitHub.com/barry-jay-personal/tree-calculus/tree_book.pdf Now that (finally) there is a typed tree calculus I have started blogging (all at GitHub.com/barry-jay-personal)
cemerick · a year ago
A working link to the book is: https://github.com/barry-jay-personal/tree-calculus/blob/mas... (look for the download button on the right)
cemerick commented on The web I want vs. the one we have   daveverse.wordpress.com/2... · Posted by u/luu
walterbell · a year ago
Looks like something is misconfigured. Searching for "daveverse" returns the following URL that works in the Mastodon UI, but redirects when opened standalone: https://mastodon.social/@daveverse.wordpress.com@daveverse.w...
cemerick · a year ago
The redirect only happens if you aren't logged into to mastodon.social. (Which may well be a misconfiguration ofc)
cemerick commented on Stripe increasing "instant payout" fees by 50%   support.stripe.com/questi... · Posted by u/cemerick
amadeuspagel · 2 years ago
That isn't the title of the page and a great illustration of why we should always speak in percentage points or real numbers. "Shark attacks increase by 300%" (from one to four) is a textbook example of a tabloid headline.
cemerick · 2 years ago
It's impossible to talk about real numbers in this case of course, and speaking strictly about percentage points or bips doesn't capture the thrust of the change (or situate it accurately vis a vis stripe's continual fee inflation, i.e. see elsewhere others' comments ~"stripe has been nickel and diming us for years"). In an era where stripe has used its cache to capture certain business communities wholesale and then ratcheted up pricing in ways you wouldn't expect outside of a monopoly player IMO, I think it's helpful to be super clear about the relative change rather than absolute change.

u/cemerick

KarmaCake day3156July 18, 2007View Original