Then there's chain-of-thought being positioned as the next big step forwards, which works by throwing more inferencing at the problem, so that cost can't be amortized over time like training can...
It was an entire web app, with search filters, tree based drag and drop GUIs, the backend api server, database migrations, auth and everything else.
Not once did he need to ask me a question. When I asked him "how long did this take" and expected him to say "a few weeks" (it would have taken me - a far more experienced engineer - 2 months minimum).
His answer was "a few days".
What I'm not saying is "AGI is close" but I've seen tangible evidence (only in the last 2 months), that my 20 year software engineering career is about to change and massively for the upside. Everyone is going to be so much more productive using these tools is how I see this.
I used to pride myself of knowing all the little ins and outs of the tech stack, especially when it comes to ops type stuff. This is still required, the difference is you don't need to spend 4 hours writing code - you can use the experience to get to the same result in 4 minutes.
I can see how "ask it for what you want and hope for the best" might not end well but personally - I am very much enjoying the process of distilling what I know we need to do next into a voice dictated prompt and then watching the AI just solve it based on what I said.