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bayeslaw commented on GenAI turned producing $1M videos into $100 and dead easy   drive.google.com/file/d/1... · Posted by u/bayeslaw
Oras · 2 months ago
Not to undermine your effort, but how did you get the impression that creating a video like this would cost $1M?
bayeslaw · 2 months ago
Ok maybe I'm off by an order of magnitude. That's still 3 orders of magnitude of cheaper.
bayeslaw commented on GenAI turned producing $1M videos into $100 and dead easy   drive.google.com/file/d/1... · Posted by u/bayeslaw
bayeslaw · 2 months ago
I'm an ML engineer/founder and I'm frankly amazed what has happened to the promo/intro video industry.. A few years ago this video that I just made in about 2 days would have required serious funding and whole group of 3D artists, cinama crew, voice actors..

Forget what the video is about. Focus on the fact that I - a non-pro - made this in 2 days for $100.

What will this do to dozens and dozens of jobs?

On the one hand I never felt more empowered as a bootstrapper, on the otherhand it doesn't taka a lot of thinking and foresight to start to fear my demise as a builder, coder, ML engineer.

How are you doing in 2026? Do you have friends who already lost their jobs?

bayeslaw commented on Ask HN: Would you pay for a privacy-first social platform?    · Posted by u/sammiej
bayeslaw · 2 months ago
Asked this here 2 years ago. Answer is: no
bayeslaw commented on The equation of making money changed forever in 2026   hel1.your-objectstorage.c... · Posted by u/bayeslaw
bayeslaw · 2 months ago
The equation for making money with software changed forever in 2026. But not the way you think. And not the way everyone says.

Everyone's celebrating that AI made building cheap. They're missing what it made expensive.

The equation was always: Demand × Product × Attention = Money

Here's what actually changed: Product collapsed to near-zero. Lovable ships MVPs in 2 hours. Cursor writes your backend in 30 minutes. Claude Code generates entire stacks. Building went from $50K and 6 months to $500 and 6 hours.

Incredible. Genuinely world-changing. So naturaly, billions are pouring into the AI application layer. The opportunity is massive and real.

But here's the part nobody's talking about: Demand got a lot harder. Not easier. HARDER.

Why? Because anyone can build an MVP now and everybody does. But the pool of good ideas didn't grow. The number of people chasing them grew 100x overnight.

Attention became nearly impossible. Thousands of new apps launch daily. Your customers are buried in options. Standing out went from hard to borderline impossible.

And here's the brutal part: 42% of startups still fail because they built something nobody wanted. Not slowly. Not badly. Just the wrong thing. That number isn't improving. It's getting worse.

Because everyone's optimizing the wrong variable. They're focused on: Shipping faster Building cheaper Iterating quicker

Almost nobody is focused on: Validating systematically Testing demand first Talking to customers before touching code

AI didn't solve the hard problem. It made the easy problem trivial and exposed what the hard problem always was: figuring out what people actually want.

Yet nobody is tackling demand testing and validation systematically. Well, almost nobody. We do at buildsherpa.ai.

Everyone's racing to build. Nobody's stopping to ask "should I?" So the discipline to validate first is the only edge left. Because in a world where everyone can ship an MVP in a weekend, knowing WHAT to build is the only remaining moat.

The beginning of the equation is now THE MOST IMPORTANT part.

Demand. Not Product. Not Attention.

Demand.

Because if Demand = 0, the rest doesn't matter: 0 × Easy × Hard = $0

You can build anything now. Which means you better know WHAT to build.

Validate first. Ship second. The speed at which you fail is not a metric.

bayeslaw commented on Ask HN: What are you building as a side-project or side-hustle in 2026?    · Posted by u/bayeslaw
sumeruchat · 2 months ago
I am finally building an app that will make money!
bayeslaw · 2 months ago
Hope you succeed!
bayeslaw commented on Ask HN: What are you building as a side-project or side-hustle in 2026?    · Posted by u/bayeslaw
fedex_00 · 2 months ago
Building an AI Hacker - https://aisafe.io After years of manually reviewing thousands of lines of code, I realized the demand for security expertise is vastly outpacing the supply, and AI-generated code is only accelerating this gap.

I don't believe "generate secure code by default" is a problem we'll solve anytime soon, if ever. So I'm building an autonomous solution to help restore the balance.

Planning to launch very soon - keep an eye :)

bayeslaw · 2 months ago
Sounds really valuable and relevant! Best of luck!

u/bayeslaw

KarmaCake day46September 22, 2020
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Dad, founder, ML engineer.
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