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ad31mar commented on On the Instability of Bitcoin Without the Block Reward [pdf]   cs.princeton.edu/~arvindn... · Posted by u/nayuki
uncletammy · 5 years ago
Yet they just passed BTC's daily transaction volume (regularly) . Like it or not, BCH is about to eat BTC's lunch and good for them. They've earned it.
ad31mar · 4 years ago
SoV first and only then medium of exchange. Not the other way around.
ad31mar commented on Bitfinex and Tether required to end all trading activity with New Yorkers   ag.ny.gov/press-release/2... · Posted by u/dgellow
yabudemada · 5 years ago
This is why I think the proper crypto currencies are backed by another functional use instead of "just coins." (e.g. Ethereum vs. Bitcoin)—one is a useful Turing-complete machine; the other only exists to send coins.

Bitcoin will probably always outshine the other "just coins" because it was the first. Why get another coin if this one works fine for monetary transactions?

Similarly with the functional ones: Ethereum will probably always outshine the other "Global Turing Machines" because it was the first. We don't really need another one—assuming it can adapt to changes in efficiency with hard-forks as needed.

The rest of them really ought to provide another service underneath to become valuable.

ad31mar · 5 years ago
> Ethereum will probably always outshine the other "Global Turing Machines" because it was the first. We don't really need another one—assuming it can adapt to changes in efficiency with hard-forks as needed.

We didn't need the first one.

ad31mar commented on Bitfinex and Tether required to end all trading activity with New Yorkers   ag.ny.gov/press-release/2... · Posted by u/dgellow
mumblemumble · 5 years ago
This statement, minus the political content, sounds very, very, very similar to what I was hearing about tech stocks a bit over 20 years ago, and houses about 15 years ago.

Maybe that means something, maybe it doesn't. If I had some way of knowing, I'd have a lot more money than I am now. It's worth remembering, though, that prices are just that: prices. Nothing more, nothing less.

ad31mar · 5 years ago
> This statement, minus the political content, sounds very, very, very similar to what I was hearing about tech stocks a bit over 20 years ago, and houses about 15 years ago.

Well those two performed pretty damn spectacularly in the past 20 years.

ad31mar commented on Apparent hackers behind Kia ransomware attack demand millions in Bitcoin   thedrive.com/tech/39309/t... · Posted by u/ourmandave
mbreese · 5 years ago
So, let’s assume the perpetrators get their ransom in Bitcoin... how are they ever going to be able to spend these coins? It’s not like the transactions are anonymous. So what will the rest of the world be able to do about it? Can the target wallets be blocked? Monitored?
ad31mar commented on Bitcoin surpasses $50K as major companies jump into crypto   cnbc.com/2021/02/16/bitco... · Posted by u/koolba
georgyo · 5 years ago
Sorta it does make me slight more bitter about bitcoin in general, and if I made millions of dollars off of it I would likely thing it's the best thing in the world.

However, I do try to self adjust for that bias. When I mined the coins it was a neat concept, but bitcoin wasn't at all practical then and it isn't at all practical now.

I sold it all back then for a few reasons.

- I believed other tech nerds would come to the same conclusion.

- It would never reach main stream adoption because of how utterly impractical it actually is.

- I thought that governments would crack down on it pretty hard, pushing it further into the fringe communities.

I was definitely wrong about governments cracking down and the novelty of bitcoin has definitely caught the interest of many and that has caused many chain reactions of the price going up.

I still think bitcoin is basically useless, but I severely didn't properly estimate that just it being interesting would make it so valuable.

Bitcoin truly is extremely interesting, and the vast majority don't try to understand it at all. So while it may in fact be useless, that does not actually matter for the price to go up.

In the end the only thing I kick myself for was looking at it objectively. Bitcoin wasting untold amount of energy, low transaction rate, high wait times for confirmation, high transaction fees, ever growing public transaction history, long cryptographic identifiers for receiving and sending, and so on do not actually matter.

Not rebuying is because I still have hope that people will come to their senses. But my stubbornness has not made me rich.

ad31mar · 5 years ago
> In the end the only thing I kick myself for was looking at it objectively. Bitcoin wasting untold amount of energy, low transaction rate, high wait times for confirmation, high transaction fees, ever growing public transaction history, long cryptographic identifiers for receiving and sending, and so on do not actually matter.

As if there's a better alternative.

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ad31mar commented on Bitfinex, the Italian network behind the boss that makes Bitcoin tremble   nicolaborzi.medium.com/th... · Posted by u/graeme
ac29 · 5 years ago
> If Tether untethers there will be a rush to other assets, pushing them higher.

On unbanked exchanges this is true. However the next step is that people will transfer those inflated assets to banked exchanges to exchange them for fiat, pushing the price down. See Gox, Mt.

ad31mar · 5 years ago
Yeah, or simply buy Bitcoin and wait it over.
ad31mar commented on Bitfinex, the Italian network behind the boss that makes Bitcoin tremble   nicolaborzi.medium.com/th... · Posted by u/graeme
ad31mar · 5 years ago
"The amount of energy necessary to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it."

– Paul Kedrosky

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ad31mar commented on Bitcoin surpasses $50K as major companies jump into crypto   cnbc.com/2021/02/16/bitco... · Posted by u/koolba
tylerhou · 5 years ago
Citing "latent demand" or "induced demand" as counter-evidence to my original statement shows your (mis)understanding of basic economics. In fact, basic economics predicts "latent demand" for ordinary goods!

> But currency is different - opposite even. If supply goes through the roof - then demand will respond inversely.

This is terrible reasoning. It depends on why that supply is going through the roof. Maybe the supply is increasing because of higher demand? (Hint: increased demand for the USD is why the Fed is increasing the supply -- to keep the price stable.)

The phenomenon you're referring to is that, with all else equal, people will shift away from the USD if supply increases make the USD's value drop. But all else is not equal; demand for USD last year effected all-time high issuings of stocks and bonds.

Or, another way I could interpret this sentence is that you are claiming that the USD is not an ordinary good. Do you have some evidence to back that up?

> What is actually happening empirically is that people are coming to see Bitcoin as a reliable store of value over medium to long timeframes.

"Happening empirically." Have some numbers to back that up?

ad31mar · 5 years ago
> Hint: increased demand for the USD is why the Fed is increasing the supply -- to keep the price stable.

Oh yeah, good luck taking vacations in Europe this year.

u/ad31mar

KarmaCake day41February 17, 2020View Original