Readit News logoReadit News
YokoZar commented on The AI boom is causing shortages everywhere else   washingtonpost.com/techno... · Posted by u/1vuio0pswjnm7
z2 · 5 days ago
I'm not forecasting that, and it's a virtual strawman in the face of my much narrower claim: that wages depend on marginal labor demand and bargaining power, not average output per worker. If AI substitutes for labor, the marginal value of adding another worker in many roles can fall. That can mean fewer hires or lower wages in some categories, not 'no hiring' or an instant massive recession. I have no idea what the addressable market or demand for our more productive economy is, but for the record I do hope it's high to support new businesses and a bigger pie in general!
YokoZar · 5 days ago
Forgive me, I was responding to the original claim that "it’s a safe bet that labor will have lower value in 2031 than it has today".
YokoZar commented on The AI boom is causing shortages everywhere else   washingtonpost.com/techno... · Posted by u/1vuio0pswjnm7
z2 · 5 days ago
The value of labor i.e. wages depend on labor demand (the marginal product of labor) and bargaining power, not output per worker. If AI is a substitute for many tasks, the marginal value of an additional worker, and what a company is willing to pay for their work can fall even if each remaining worker is more productive.
YokoZar · 5 days ago
What you're forecasting is a scenario where total output has substantially increased but no one's hiring or able to start their own business. Instant massive recession is by no means a "sure bet" with technological improvements, especially those that make more kinds of work possible than before.
YokoZar commented on The AI boom is causing shortages everywhere else   washingtonpost.com/techno... · Posted by u/1vuio0pswjnm7
johnvanommen · 5 days ago
> Generating an extra $400 per year in value, per employee, isn't that much extra.

I agree, and would add that it’s contributing to inflation in hard assets.

Basically:

* it’s a safe bet that labor will have lower value in 2031 than it has today

* if you have a billion to spend, and you agree, you will be inclined to put your wealth into hard assets, because AI depends on them

In a really abstract way, the world is not responsible for feeding a new class of workers: robots.

And robots consume electricity, water, space, and generate heat.

Which is why those sectors are feeling the affects of supply and demand.

YokoZar · 5 days ago
> * it’s a safe bet that labor will have lower value in 2031 than it has today

If AI makes workers more productive, labor will have higher value than it has today. Which specific workers are winning in that scenario may vary tremendously, of course, but I don't think anyone is seriously claiming AI will make everyone less productive.

YokoZar commented on FDA intends to take action against non-FDA-approved GLP-1 drugs   fda.gov/news-events/press... · Posted by u/randycupertino
elamje · 5 days ago
The situation is basically this -

Novo and Lilly spent billions making Semaglutide, Tirzepatide, and future formulations/modalities.

They are going to monetize this heavily while they have IP coverage. There is no world they will let HIMS or any compounding pharmacy of scale undercut them.

On the insurance front - expect your insurance to decline this forever unless you are at serious risk of diabetes. It would make you cost them $3-6k/yr more. Insurance premiums would rise for everyone if insurance was subsidizing this - no free lunch.

Fortunately, the prices are coming down. Amazon pharmacy has Wegovy in an auto-injector starting at $199 without insurance. And that’s delivered to your door in under 24 hrs in most major cities.

I highly recommend checking out the terms of trumprx.gov - not endorsing the entire government here, but it is actually working and quite cleverly written to ensure Americans are getting the lowest cost drugs in the world now. Historically, we subsidized R&D globally by allowing pharma to make most profits on Americans then have cheaper prices abroad. That is changing and hopefully that’s a net positive.

YokoZar · 5 days ago
> On the insurance front - expect your insurance to decline this forever unless you are at serious risk of diabetes. It would make you cost them $3-6k/yr more. Insurance premiums would rise for everyone if insurance was subsidizing this - no free lunch.

It's often up to the employer whether these meds are covered - many insurers just offer it as an option to check or not check.

That said, even at 3-6k/year, it wouldn't surprise me if these drugs were net savings to cover for a lot of patients due to their extremely positive effects as preventative care.

YokoZar commented on Jurassic Park - Tablet device on Nedry's desk? (2012)   therpf.com/forums/threads... · Posted by u/exvi
kasperset · 19 days ago
I agree with this. We are much missing these forums with civil replies and clouded behind "influencer" culture, which is optimized for incentives. Pure discussions as in this example are such a stalwarts of open web.

On the other hand, small websites and forums can disappear but that openness allows platform like archive.org to capture and "fossilize" them.

YokoZar · 18 days ago
These forums still exist. Typically with much older and mature discussions, as the users have aged alongside the forums. Nothing is stopping you from joining them now.

My Something Awful forums account is over 25 years old at this point. The software and standards and moderation style is approximately unchanged, complete with 10 dollar sign-up fee to keep out the spam.

YokoZar commented on Wine-Staging 11.1 Adds Patches for Enabling Recent Photoshop Versions on Linux   phoronix.com/news/Wine-St... · Posted by u/LorenDB
andy_xor_andrew · 19 days ago
Curious if someone could enlighten me-

How much of these sorts of patches are specifically checking if a certain application is running, and then changing behavior to match what that application expects? And how much of it is simply better emulating the Windows API in general?

I think there are benefits to both approaches, not criticizing either one. I'm just curious if the implementation of a patch like this is "We fixed an inconsistency between Wine and Windows" vs "We're checking if Photoshop is running and using a different locking primitive" or whatever.

YokoZar · 18 days ago
In general free open-source Wine has been developed with the philosophy of of not allowing application-specific code. Crossover (and presumably Photon), however, allows such patches for supported applications.

Patches can be motivated by specific apps, of course, but generally the requirement is to complete the patch implementing/fixing some API in a generic way, proven by additions to the test suite showing the same behavior on Windows.

YokoZar commented on How Warhammer became one of Britain’s biggest companies   theguardian.com/lifeandst... · Posted by u/GeoAtreides
Ntrails · 25 days ago
> Something not selling well? Change the game rules to make that it more powerful

It probably didn't sell because it wasn't very good. So you re-balance it later and now it doesn't suck. Like, fundamentally keeping the "best" and "worst" models/armies/strategies from stagnating keeps the game interesting (and drives more sales... so depends how you look at it).

I don't think they've every been super good at balancing though, and that at least is a fair criticism - albeit a hard task given how time consuming playtesting is to get data.

YokoZar · 21 days ago
It was definitely not just balancing rules patches for gameplay purposes - there was a clear deliberate intent to force people to buy new models. Complete with arbitrary changes to the game lore itself that accompany those updates: when I first started playing Warhammer Fantasy only the smaller lizardmen could ride the dinosaurs, and in the next edition only the larger ones (with entirely different new models) could.

By way of comparison, Games Workshop updates their Warhammer rules about twice as often as Wizards of the Coast updates Dungeons and Dragons.

YokoZar commented on Uber Faces Growing Pressure over Sexual Assault Record   nytimes.com/2026/01/21/bu... · Posted by u/buellerbueller
Spooky23 · 23 days ago
From the article: “Uber has said it is one of the safest ways to get around, with the vast majority of its trips in the United States — 99.9 percent — occurring without an incident of any kind”

The best way to reduce your incident count is by not collecting incident data.

There’s a whole weird underground economy around uber. The guys I get in my area in Upstate NY are often migrating up from NYC. They are like a cloud labor force and follow the rates around. It’s cool in some ways, as the friction of getting a job makes it hard to move, but that type of arrangement is a great operating environment for predators.

YokoZar · 23 days ago
> From the article: “Uber has said it is one of the safest ways to get around, with the vast majority of its trips in the United States — 99.9 percent — occurring without an incident of any kind”

Another way of phrasing this is that if you take Uber to and from work, you'll likely have an incident within 2 years.

YokoZar commented on The chess bot on Delta Air Lines will destroy you (2024) [video]   youtube.com/watch?v=c0mLh... · Posted by u/cjaackie
YokoZar · a month ago
This reminds me of a bug I reported in 2007 Ubuntu where the default "easy" chess difficulty was too hard. It was eventually fixed in 2014 by using different chess engines. https://bugs.launchpad.net/ubuntu/+source/gnome-chess/+bug/1...

What a world where we have to put significant extra work into making the computer bad enough that a human can compete.

YokoZar commented on Clair Obscur having its Indie Game Game Of The Year award stripped due to AI use   thegamer.com/clair-obscur... · Posted by u/anigbrowl
ares623 · 2 months ago
Great opportunity for a new award body that allows AI use.
YokoZar · 2 months ago
I hear FIFA makes new awards these days

u/YokoZar

KarmaCake day2826August 24, 2011
About
http://yokozar.org/
View Original