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Mattasher commented on A common urban intersection in the Netherlands (2018)   bicycledutch.wordpress.co... · Posted by u/itronitron
Mattasher · 9 months ago
I'm not sure how common this type of intersection is. I live and bike daily in Amsterdam and it took me about a minute to fully understand what's going on here. The picture seems to show a special case where the intersecting road is bike only, and instead of the normal painted arrows that show where bikes should queue up when making a left, there's an open area off to the left where one would wait behind the "shark teeth".

FYI if you are ever biking here in NL, the thing to remember is that if the "haaientanden" point at you, watch out!, as that means you do not have the right of way.

Edit: The side roads are for cars as well, which means you have a strange turning lane in the middle of the intersection where traffic might back up. A simple roundabout seems like a much better solution here unless the goal is to keep cars moving quickly and the turn lane is rarely used.

Mattasher commented on The box problem that baffled the boffins   theguardian.com/science/2... · Posted by u/sorokod
Mattasher · a year ago
The intuition here that helped me understand this is that, if you know the search strategy of another player in advance, your best best is to "front run" where they will look as much as possible. So in the ideal case, look in the very next box they are going to look in each round. This guarantees that unless they guess right on the first round, you will get to the gift first.

The rows and columns thing is just a less perfect, but still useful, way for Andrew to front run Barbara's choices more often than the reverse happens.

Mattasher commented on John Wheeler saw the tear in reality   quantamagazine.org/john-w... · Posted by u/rbanffy
hcarnot · a year ago
No, reality is not related to what we "focus" on. I don't subscribe to quantum observer anthropocentrism (which is also something that Wheeler fell prey to): an "observer" doesn't have to be conscious and doesn't have to be human. An observer is simply something in the universe whose state causally depends on some quantum phenomenon. For that thing to resolve its state, it needs to "measure" the outcome of the quantum phenomenon. That is all.
Mattasher · a year ago
In this definition an "observer" is anything whose path depends on some perceived outcome (as in state of the universe), correct? So that could be human or a rock tumbling down a hill.
Mattasher commented on John Wheeler saw the tear in reality   quantamagazine.org/john-w... · Posted by u/rbanffy
szvsw · a year ago
> The simulation framing tends to draw deterministic connotations.

I bristle at this because there is obviously a massive amount of probabilistic programming methodology and stochastic simulation techniques out there, but at the end of the day in terms of connotation you are probably correct…

Mattasher · a year ago
I think there's a case to be made that, if the simulation hypothesis is correct, we are god's dice[1]. We exist as agents to introduce randomness in the form of free will or enough chaos to ensure non-determinism, at least from the perspective of whatever force built this place.

[1] https://mattasher.substack.com/p/btf-6-gods-dice

Mattasher commented on Zuckerberg says the White House pressured Facebook over some Covid-19 content   apnews.com/article/meta-p... · Posted by u/typeofhuman
Mattasher · a year ago
The use of "some" here in the headline seems dishonest and diminishing of what was done. Like, "some people were effected by the car crash".

Technically true, but effectively more narrative than journalism, especially since among that censored "some" was a lot of true information and experiences.

Mattasher commented on Almost never use a pie chart for data   theconversation.com/heres... · Posted by u/Brajeshwar
Mattasher · 2 years ago
There is an advantage of using pie charts when you have lots of categories, especially when some are tiny slivers. It's that you can see which items are negligible in terms of their relative contributions. A world GDP pie chart gives a good representation of how international GDP is distributed, and which countries represent only a sliver of the total.

EDIT: Typo

Mattasher commented on The phrase "no evidence" is a red flag for bad science communication (2021)   astralcodexten.com/p/the-... · Posted by u/NavinF
empyrrhicist · 2 years ago
Statistically (at least as a frequentist), it is more correct to say "we do not find significant evidence of a difference between group A and B" than "we find evidence that groups A and B are the same". I would even pick " no evidence of a difference" over claiming a null result is evidence for the null (without additional work).
Mattasher · 2 years ago
It's worth being very careful about these constructions.

"no evidence of a difference" is fine so long as it's proceeded with "This study found", which when studies are translated to press reports often gets dropped, especially in headlines.

Mattasher commented on Think more about what to focus on   henrikkarlsson.xyz/p/mult... · Posted by u/jger15
HPsquared · 2 years ago
There's also the risk management aspect if the projects are likely to fail. Aka "don't put all your eggs in one basket". Or, at least, consider the risks carefully.
Mattasher · 2 years ago
This is most certainly true when it comes to investments. Yes, you could put 100% of your savings in an index fund and forget about it, but that seems extreme, and also you have to live somewhere, so instead of paying rent and living in a non-ideal place you can't customize, you might as well buy a home that's a better fit for your family and has upside potential (and yes, no matter what people say, buying a house is most certainly an investment, a large one and potentially a bad one, but an investment nonetheless).

So now you have at least two big investment baskets that you really should watch carefully, on top of your job, and all those other life things that, as mentioned by another commenter, do get easier once you've done them a few times (like picking a health plan or knowing the basics about car maintenance), but each one has a learning curve and change with technology or policy. And it's a very long list.

Mattasher commented on Think more about what to focus on   henrikkarlsson.xyz/p/mult... · Posted by u/jger15
Mattasher · 2 years ago
Good post I'm quite certain this is correct:

> Meaning that if you go from 4 priorities to 3, you can get, say, 10 percent more done; but if you go from 4 to 1, you get 400 percent more done.

But unless you can afford a butler or work at a company that gives you a very high level of institutional support, mono-focus seems impossible in our current world. I'd love to completely deprioritize the following roles, but they don't seem to want to detach themselves from me: tech support geek for wifi and computer issues, bookkeeper and tax preparer working hand-in-hand with my accountant, occasionally car expert for buying and maintaining vehicles, real estate expert for evaluating house purchases based on market conditions and my families needs, health care plan decider, and on and on and on. Each one of these areas if filled with multi-armed bandit problems (How much research should you put into evaluating a new home purchase where you live, or looking for a better city to live in?). It's a lot.

Mattasher commented on Email addresses are not good 'permanent' identifiers for accounts   utcc.utoronto.ca/~cks/spa... · Posted by u/throw0101b
ThePowerOfFuet · 2 years ago
> I am currently paying a ~$150 per month "tax" to AT&T to keep my US number while living abroad just so I can get login codes for websites that still have that number

Port it to a VoIP company like DIDww, spend $2.50/month, and received SMS can end up in your inbox if you wish.

If you ever want the number on a mobile account again, port it back out to your choice of carrier.

Mattasher · 2 years ago
Will that work seamlessly overseas and with my iPhone? I've had issues in the past getting verification calls and SMSes with "virtual" carriers.

u/Mattasher

KarmaCake day531September 20, 2015
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Amsterdam based coder, writer and investor. Email is info@(my Hacker News username).com
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