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Leary commented on Anthropic endorses California's AI safety bill, SB 53   techcrunch.com/2025/09/08... · Posted by u/skadamat
Leary · 3 months ago
“Large frontier developer”: a frontier developer that together with its affiliates collectively had annual gross revenues in excess of five hundred million dollars ($500,000,000) in the preceding calendar year.

So any large company training LLMs, no matter the capability, is considered a frontier developer?

Leary commented on U.S. Emissions Rise 4.2%, China's Fall 2.7%   theenergymix.com/u-s-emis... · Posted by u/triceratops
ACCount37 · 3 months ago
Not really. Otherwise, US could slash its "relevant metrics" by annexing Nigeria.
Leary · 3 months ago
Except that does make sense because the new country would be the weighted average of the average CO2 contribution for both Americans and Nigerians.
Leary commented on China is eating the world   apropos.substack.com/p/ch... · Posted by u/sg5421
tim333 · 4 months ago
My take is if you look at Chinese people anywhere outside China, say in the US, Singapore or wherever they are hard working, educated and prosperous, it's a cultural thing to a large extent. In China they were reduced to poverty by communism and are now catching up with their brethren elsewhere and still a fair way behind the US, Singa etc on a per capita basis.
Leary · 4 months ago
Amazing analysis, except for the fact China was dirt poor before communism.
Leary commented on China is eating the world   apropos.substack.com/p/ch... · Posted by u/sg5421
Leary · 4 months ago
No way. I read Noah Smith (number 1 economist on substack) every week and he says one must measure China in per capita terms for all the good stuff: GDP (preferably nominal), and in aggregate terms for all the bad stuff (pollution, carbon dioxide emissions).

Also, it's logically impossible for China to be good. I have found a mathematical proof:

1: Democracy is good

2: China is not a democracy

Therefore, obviously China is not good.

Leary commented on Breakneck: China's Quest to Engineer the Future   danwang.co/breakneck/... · Posted by u/mooreds
maxglute · 4 months ago
One of the sharper PRC writers, great yearly essays when he was on the ground. Unfortunately still (seemingly) retardedly liberal pilled form latest Chinatalk interview (TBH just like Jordan). Humorless engineering governance can't beat very funny US governance is... certainly a take.
Leary · 4 months ago
But how are you gonna foresee the total annihilation of the Chinese semi industry without Jordan the necromancer interpreting party documents for you?
Leary commented on Historical Tech Tree   historicaltechtree.com/... · Posted by u/louisfd94
Leary · 4 months ago
Does anyone know which technology on this tree has the most descendents?
Leary commented on GPT-5: Key characteristics, pricing and system card   simonwillison.net/2025/Au... · Posted by u/Philpax
Leary · 4 months ago
METR of only 2 hours and 15 minutes. Fast takeoff less likely.

u/Leary

KarmaCake day3338July 19, 2018
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