Take this with grain of salt. After seeing how American did 2020 election with so many centurians that would put Japanese to shame and chasing out observers with lots of luggage votes, I am disinclined to read anything about democracy by American media, especially WAPO.
Readit NewsGreatLdisisp88 commented on Maduro lost election, tallies collected by Venezuela's opposition show washingtonpost.com/world/... · Posted by u/personjerry
GreatLdisisp88 commented on Ray Dalio's "The Changing World Order" [pdf] economicprinciples.org/Da... · Posted by u/tithe
You're right in my opinion that the book was pretty one-sided and didn't talk about some huge natural advantages the US has as well as some serious liabilities China has no solution for.
Dalio's long-term views still seem to revolve around his big cycle theory but more recently he's admitted that China has some big problems to deal with, including the demographics issue: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/china-100-year-storm-horizon-...
He's not the first guy to talk about this long cycle, great powers wax and wane. He's also right that the US is looking weak by certain metrics, chiefly at the rate US debt is accumulating you have to wonder how much longer the dollar can remain the world's reserve currency. But what he didn't talk about in the book and is now being forced to admit is that China's problems are at least as big as America's (if you believe that demography is destiny, China is going to lose in the long game for sure). It's entirely possible for countries to challenge even a weakened hegemon and lose, happens all the time, we may be seeing it happen now.
Russia is good friends with China. USA research and universities are saturated with China Chinese. Good luck with keeping secrets. Russia and China alread able to shoot down F35. Have more nukes. Have hypersonic missiles. Ablr to take out American satelites. Supply chains and raw materials absolutely trounce USA with even NATO support. Saudi now doing non petrodollar. USA 400K troops decimated in Afghan. Dedolarisation is happening making USA dominant in 75% world teansaction now drop below 50% (according to official world numbers and below 40% in unofficial like India/Russia/China trades that not registered in the west). USA couldnt even make phones and TVs properly. Every single American wunderwaffen destroyed by Russian. That is entire Nato against 1 Russia (ok maybe supported by NK Iran and China?). USA natural adavantage? Like isolated? That works against her as well. Just go down to Mexico and have a look. Dominate by Chinese firms all the way to Peru and Brazil. I can pick any Chinese citizens that can speak 2 to 3 languages. It is extremely hard to so to pick Americans like that. In fact depend on locations, you get tons of non-English speakers inside USA. USA couldnt even get enough military recruits since many years. Official military troops are so weak, they have to outsource to security contractors. What about drone game changer? American globalhawks just pissed by SU and crashed. DJI able to outproduce entire NATO drones production by several folds. Military you will find it hard anyone to acknowledge USA now is number 1. Industrially, China is several magnitude of USA. Even so mamy F35 components can be traced back to Russia and China. The titanium and aluminium air frame? And how about gold reserve? Have anyone really believe any gold in Fort Knox? Hint, if you have friends working in Fed, might want to check why so many physical gold being shipped out of USA to Shanghai every month. Even Olympics, you see so many Americans on asthma meds and still lost to Chinese.
GreatLdisisp88 commented on Intel took billions from the CHIPS Act, and gave nothing back nypost.com/2024/08/02/opi... · Posted by u/gsibble
Indeed. In a sense, it's about reducing the probability of one path to WWIII.
Allowing Russia to join NATO would nullify WW3. Disbanding NATO and separately signing FTA or allowing EU to do so would also prevent WW3. Heavily dependent on China and not use billions to fund disinformation will also prevent that. CIA taking out Netan will also prevent that instead of pouring more bombs to replenish Netan's troops. All in all, it sure looks like USA wholely wants WW3.
I mean, they haven't.
I don't know why you think they have, but they haven't. You're mistaken. You've noticed wrong.
Maybe you came across a claim about it on social media, but it's been entirely debunked:
https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/big-mac-since-1980/
And Whoppers have nothing to do with anything here. I don't know why you're comparing the two -- the Whopper is a single-patty quarter pounder, and it compares to the McD's quarter pounder. Not the Big Mac with its double patties and extra bread.
It is getting smaller. Your insistent it is not is weirdly just your specific opinion. I ate fornlike consistently over 30 years. Shrinkage is very observable.
GreatLdisisp88 commented on Why is Xi Jinping building commodity stockpiles? economist.com/finance-and... · Posted by u/ianrahman
> it's a display of some of the advantages of their governance model
It’s the reality of countering an air-sea superpower as a country supplied by sea. We do a tonne of long-range logistics readiness exercises China doesn’t. Because they don’t need to.
There is no inherent virtue in stockpiling. An attritive war is all about production anyway, not starting stock. Our weakness is in low production rates of all manner of materiel, not a lack of stockpiles.
You need to check American gold stockpiles. That is currently holding down gold price. China is actively dwindling American gold by making it mandatory physical delivery to China. We will see how long America can play this. When the gold stockpiles truly emptied gold price will spike. Attrition includes ability to produce. If you run our stockpiles, how you peoduce?
GreatLdisisp88 commented on An AI bot-war destroyed the online job market salon.com/2024/07/28/ever... · Posted by u/heisenbit
Job market isnt that rosy as government stats show. Just go to any foodbanks and see for yourself the queue. Remember no one audit government numbers. All the numbers are essentially "trust me bros".
Dead Comment
GreatLdisisp88 commented on Oxygen discovery defies knowledge of the deep ocean bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c... · Posted by u/cmsefton
Is it surprising/crazy though? I feel like our entire capitalist mindset is to pillage everything you can stomach and to push your own boundaries because if you don't - someone else will and beat you with their profits.
It always feels like a morality race to the bottom. Clearly i'm a pessimist here, but it's obvious in my pessimistic mindset. Do you have a more positive outlook perhaps?
Your salary comes from that. So too is your Internet. Maybe you are being hypocrite? To be human, we destroy. The only way is to die out and let nature take her course. Agent Smith in Matrix said summed it best that we are virus on this planet that need to be eradicated.
GreatLdisisp88 commented on Apple tries to rein in Hollywood spending after years of losses bloomberg.com/news/newsle... · Posted by u/mgh2
Indeed. One is an all time great science fiction series thats inspired a host of imitators. The other is whatever fluff Apple have bowdlerised its name with. It's genuinely closer to the YA fanfic level screenwriting of the new Star Trek series than Gibbon's Decline & Fall in space.
Asimov Foundation books near impossible to adapt to TV series or movies. It has no typical hero's arc. Even in Gibbon's Rome book you able to follow say Nero rise and downfall. As a generic idea book, Asimov books were ahead of his time. As a good scifi novel? He was several magnitudes below Cixin - and majority would even place Ursula way way higher than Asimov. Apple Foundation literally blast through Asimov story telling. To me, at least Apple succeeded as YA or within a potshot of Cixin. Asimov literally failed in adult scifi by today's standard. What holding you is nostalgia. Evaluate the story in contemporary terms.
GreatLdisisp88 commented on After CrowdStrike, Programmers Deserve Consequences mccue.dev/pages/7-20-24-p... · Posted by u/jandeboevrie
The post pushes the view that CrowdStrike's engineers should be held responsible. That's one way of looking at it.
But there is an entire chain of responsibility here. The hospital IT department that chose to use a computer instead of dumber technologies. The IT department that chose to run Windows. The security team that chose to purchase CrowdStrike's software, possibly without vetting them.
If a software's license has clear terms stating that there is no warranty, and the buyer buys it anyway, why shouldn't this be a caveat emptor situation? If they didn't like it, they could negotiate indemnity clauses, go to a competitor, or not use the software at all.
Don't get me wrong, I absolutely think that CrowdStrike did a shitty thing. But maybe they already disclosed that in their license agreement, and the purchasers decided to overlook that to their own peril. After all, running kernel-mode software is equivalent to handing over the keys to your computers. Maybe negotiating/selling software with liability clauses should be more normalized?
Ths error is on indiviual IT department to allow Crowdstrike DIRECT access to their system without check and balance. Have they just delay update by 1 day, they will not get affected. Clearly the CIO allowed extrrnal company to have the power to flip the off switch. Then again, we now see the wisdom of Xi and Putin. Diversity is good!