Acrobatic_Road (u/Acrobatic_Road)

Acrobatic_Road commented on Think Tanker Altered Ukraine War Map Before Big Polymarket Payout responsiblestatecraft.org... · Posted by u/danso

DANmode · 2 days ago

Other notable ones?

Acrobatic_Road · a day ago

The Fordow (Iran Nuclear power plant) market was disputed several times because it wasn't clear whether the facility was destroyed by the US attack. The rules said it had to be confirmed by the IAEA, and many people figured they wouldn't be able to access the facility. However, the market resolved as destroyed because of some comments made by IAEA's director in a French radio show.

Acrobatic_Road commented on Sick of smart TVs? Here are your best options arstechnica.com/gadgets/2... · Posted by u/fleahunter

IshKebab · 2 days ago

The problem with open source TV solutions like that is that they never support legal streaming platforms like Netflix, Disney+ and so on.

Acrobatic_Road · 2 days ago

I'm failing to see a problem with that.

Acrobatic_Road commented on Sick of smart TVs? Here are your best options arstechnica.com/gadgets/2... · Posted by u/fleahunter

anonym29 · 3 days ago

It's not feasible for everyone, but between grocery delivery services, telehealth, etc - if you work remotely anyway, it may be surprisingly feasible to get rid of your car altogether and only Uber/Lyft as needed, at least until robotaxis expand into your area at a fraction of the price of traditional ride-hailing apps.

Acrobatic_Road · 3 days ago

Then you have to carry a phone, which is even worse.

Acrobatic_Road commented on Think Tanker Altered Ukraine War Map Before Big Polymarket Payout responsiblestatecraft.org... · Posted by u/danso

Acrobatic_Road · 3 days ago

It technically resolved according to the rules of the market. A lot of traders on Polymarket seem to place bets on what they think is happening on the ground, when its been clear to me a while, that the key to winning is understanding how and when the sources will report the facts. And now I should add "whether".

Acrobatic_Road commented on Think Tanker Altered Ukraine War Map Before Big Polymarket Payout responsiblestatecraft.org... · Posted by u/danso

Acrobatic_Road · 3 days ago

Not the first sketchy Polymarket resolution. It's also worth noting the rules can change on the fly. Earlier this year ISW changed how they map the war in Ukraine by introducing "Russian infiltration areas" where in the past they would have said "Russian-controlled territory". Polymarket updated the rules to say "Russian infiltration areas" wouldn't count if you are betting on a "Will Russia capture X?" market. Great news if you're betting on Ukraine, not so great if you're betting on Russia.

Acrobatic_Road commented on Cassette tapes are making a comeback? theconversation.com/casse... · Posted by u/devonnull

Acrobatic_Road · 7 days ago

Can confirm. I've bought around 20 cassette tapes over the last 2 years - mostly new releases or re-releases of old stuff from the CD-era. I get way more enjoyment out of tapes than CDs. I think its because they're more hand's on, and I find the sound of my cassette deck soothing.

Acrobatic_Road commented on Cassette tapes are making a comeback? theconversation.com/casse... · Posted by u/devonnull

glimshe · 7 days ago

I remember being SO HAPPY when I got rid of all my cassette tapes and vinyl discs for CDs. I was an early adopter of digital and, to this day I don't regret it. There's no way I'm going back.

What's next? VHS?

Acrobatic_Road · 7 days ago

>What's next? VHS?

Yes, please! I've been thinking of starting a collection.

Acrobatic_Road commented on Solution to US debt crisis is severe austerity triggered by a fiscal calamity fortune.com/2025/12/06/us... · Posted by u/mohi-kalantari

Taikonerd · 7 days ago

IIUC, in the future, the SS tax isn't going to cover the benefits that SS will be obliged to pay out. So some analyses model the shortfall as coming out of the government's general budget.

So, yeah, it's "separate" spending in a sense, but it's not totally in its own sandbox.

Acrobatic_Road · 7 days ago

This is already the case. Social Security has been running a deficit since 2010. It's only stayed solvent because of the trust fund, which is expected to run out in around seven years. So the government is currently keeping it afloat using general budget revenue.

Acrobatic_Road commented on Solution to US debt crisis is severe austerity triggered by a fiscal calamity fortune.com/2025/12/06/us... · Posted by u/mohi-kalantari

Acrobatic_Road · 7 days ago

Maybe the solution to this mess is to tie benefits to the total fertility rate. Would create a lot of interesting incentives.

Acrobatic_Road commented on Solution to US debt crisis is severe austerity triggered by a fiscal calamity fortune.com/2025/12/06/us... · Posted by u/mohi-kalantari

Taikonerd · 7 days ago

I got interested enough in the national debt to do some research: is there a single-issue NGO that's working on the national debt? With a platform that you could imagine a Democrat or a Republican supporting?

I found the Concord Coalition [0], and their sister organization Concord Action [1].

I haven't done enough research to endorse them, but I'm just saying: they exist and this is their issue.

[0]: https://concordcoalition.org

[1]: https://concordaction.org/

Acrobatic_Road · 7 days ago

There's the Peterson Foundation and the CFRB.

u/Acrobatic_Road

KarmaCake day2209November 4, 2019View Original