I won't have to switch careers since I'm a software engineer instead of a developer that does nothing but implement specifications with no creativity or design work. I will have to keep up with the changing technology landscape though like I have been for my entire career.
Hardware that can assume the states you’d creatively conjure is on the way.
Your special literacy isn’t all that. It was a stop gap until hardware caught up. SWE gigs was something politics saw as a “create jobs” opportunity.
Chip makers see the opportunity is there to claim more of the tech valuations for themselves reducing the number of software “engineers” and are coming for ya with global politics on their side. Not just the normies sick of IT.
if robotics hasn't been solved yet, I'll become a robotics researcher. if robotics is solved, I'll research autonomous research. if automated research and robotics are solved, there are no more jobs. in any industry. at least not for long.
I figure the AI is a long way from understanding why the dev environment is pointed to the test database, while the test environment is pointed to the dev database. lol
Software, but not for someone else - it's time to be the primary beneficiary of our own work. The jobs are evaporating because AI can amplify our individual efforts into something much greater, and it can do it for us by ourselves too.
AI will create more jobs as it replaces tedious ones. There will always be more innovation and work, so don't worry! This is the same fear as the Internet age back in the days replacing stores, TV, media, etc. We will always continue to improve, and nothing stays stagnant -- there's always something new to discover.
At present, AI is starkly limited and not able to replace any job. At best, it can automate certain menial tasks, such as low-level support. In programming, it only works for non-trivial programs when used under the direction of an experienced programmer that breaks down the work into small steps the AI can perform.
You may be imagining a future where AI can do all jobs, but please be clear that this is your imagination. That future does not exist today and is not guaranteed to exist tomorrow. Before it can exist, a much simpler future where AI can replace any job has to exist, and that future doesn’t exist yet either.
A good example is … Blockbuster is gone but we have Netflix. Sears is gone but we have Amazon. Those were internet age companies that we’ve seen come to having massive market shares now.
If AI follows suit, there will be a wasteland of nonsense “AI” companies followed by some industry shifting AI technology companies, in about 10-15 years we’ll see who’s left.
Gates-era Microsoft had a bit of a running problem with "[X] will change everything!" In particular see Windows for Pen Computing in the early 90s and their big voice interaction push in the late 90s/early noughties. I'd tend to discount Gates on this, because, like, it's not his first rodeo; he has predicted all ten of the last two tech revolutions.
I see it as someone who likes baking pastries for their family not fully understanding to what it is like to bake pastries for hours everyday. Or someone who likes to tend their garden thinking they should become a farmer. Although I'm guilty of this with regard to turning programming as a hobby into a career. At least the pay is better than my alternatives.
I'll have to do something with my hands, kitchen skills are probably the only manual labor I can do better than average.
It's not a matter of fantasizing about an idealized version of a dirty, hard blue collar job, but an honest assessment of something that will last longer than coding and will pay me money to feed myself.
I was wondering the same thing. It's backbreaking work, man. I started in kitchens after I got jaded writing software, but in comparison, getting jaded from f&b took no time at all
A lot of the younger (recently ex colonial) nations actually had an agricultural/industrial revolution quite recently. Someone had a grandfather who lost the land of his ancestors to farming machines and vowed revenge. The attitude here is tech is a weapon and it's meant to take jobs and land. Who cares how much water or energy it uses; it's all ammunition. If I don't use it to take someone else's job, they'll use it to take mine.
If you read Robert Greene books, they have a twist ending like "the child who killed his uncle was Ivan the Terrible" or "the British underestimated Afghan pride". I feel like this idea might have a twist ending as well.
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Your special literacy isn’t all that. It was a stop gap until hardware caught up. SWE gigs was something politics saw as a “create jobs” opportunity.
Chip makers see the opportunity is there to claim more of the tech valuations for themselves reducing the number of software “engineers” and are coming for ya with global politics on their side. Not just the normies sick of IT.
You may be imagining a future where AI can do all jobs, but please be clear that this is your imagination. That future does not exist today and is not guaranteed to exist tomorrow. Before it can exist, a much simpler future where AI can replace any job has to exist, and that future doesn’t exist yet either.
If AI follows suit, there will be a wasteland of nonsense “AI” companies followed by some industry shifting AI technology companies, in about 10-15 years we’ll see who’s left.
Bill Gates Says Humans Won't Be Needed for 'Most Things' in the AI Age.
Also https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=JCnAz_fYzW8
“Will we need humans” “Not for most things. We’ll decide..” rambling on
I’m not going to be negative just leave that there.
Have you done these jobs before? Or is this more like a programmer’s dream of some fantasy camp version of manual labor?
It's not a matter of fantasizing about an idealized version of a dirty, hard blue collar job, but an honest assessment of something that will last longer than coding and will pay me money to feed myself.
Dead Comment
If you read Robert Greene books, they have a twist ending like "the child who killed his uncle was Ivan the Terrible" or "the British underestimated Afghan pride". I feel like this idea might have a twist ending as well.