that's why i said 'weird', it's very abnormal for the economist, looks like someone had gone astray in his thinking, fortunately, it has now been corrected
The Tao of Deception: Unorthodox Warfare in Historic and Modern China by Ralph Sawyer.
I am not sure I would listen to anyone but Ralph Sawyer at this point in English on the subject.
China is not going to invade Taiwan the way the US would invade Hawaii in the same situation.
That is just not how China conducts warfare.
Taiwan is another level with all this. What matters is the PLA views it as reclaiming. They have to win by soft power and not "win" like the US going in and blowing the shit out of Iraq.
Disturb the water and catch a fish.
In that context, something like DeepSeek is a much bigger deal as far as the objectives. 1000X more than this decoy.
China built several -- several, like 8+ -- landing ships designed to support an amphibious assault. if soft power was their goal and primary method they wouldn't have spent the resources.
while they may not ever do it, a very direct, very violent invasion is absolutely on the table. Taiwan may only even be a secondary objective, since #1 would be sinking the US Navy and shifting the hegemonic balance; they'll get to Taiwan when they can after that.
what you said is how China planed before 2019, reality's development makes it impossible to act as previously planned, now, there's 0 chance that the CCP can take back Taiwan without bombs
however, it really depends on the definitions of 'reclaim' and 'win'
China's purpose is not only to take the land, but also to 'reunite' taiwanese people, so you're right about they are going to need to use soft power to achieve this, so yes, it will not be like what the US did to Hawaii and Iraq
btw, I briefly looked through the book you mentioned and was surprised to find that, compared to other Westerners, the author has a very good understanding of China's war history and philosophy. Although it is somewhat one-sided, Chinese military philosophy is very different before and after the Han Dynasty
I feel this to be a balanced headline if we put on an editor’s hat: The subject of the sentence is "China." From China’s standpoint, Taiwan was always theirs. Hence, from this viewpoint, it is a "reclaim."
"...a single Chinese state-owned shipbuilder produced a larger tonnage of commercial vessels in 2024 than America has built since the second world war."
Of course, due to the 1920 US "Job's Act" (the irony) there wasn't much ship building left.
I can see that propaganda line working!
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Even as far back as the 1960s the Pentagon considered it a lost cause hence there are no US bases in the island.
Belize
Eswatini
Guatemala
Haiti
Holy See (Vatican City)
Marshall Islands
Palau
Paraguay
Saint Kitts and Nevis
Saint Lucia
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Tuvalu
you can still see the word in the url
that's why i said 'weird', it's very abnormal for the economist, looks like someone had gone astray in his thinking, fortunately, it has now been corrected
The Tao of Deception: Unorthodox Warfare in Historic and Modern China by Ralph Sawyer.
I am not sure I would listen to anyone but Ralph Sawyer at this point in English on the subject.
China is not going to invade Taiwan the way the US would invade Hawaii in the same situation.
That is just not how China conducts warfare.
Taiwan is another level with all this. What matters is the PLA views it as reclaiming. They have to win by soft power and not "win" like the US going in and blowing the shit out of Iraq.
Disturb the water and catch a fish.
In that context, something like DeepSeek is a much bigger deal as far as the objectives. 1000X more than this decoy.
China built several -- several, like 8+ -- landing ships designed to support an amphibious assault. if soft power was their goal and primary method they wouldn't have spent the resources.
while they may not ever do it, a very direct, very violent invasion is absolutely on the table. Taiwan may only even be a secondary objective, since #1 would be sinking the US Navy and shifting the hegemonic balance; they'll get to Taiwan when they can after that.
however, it really depends on the definitions of 'reclaim' and 'win'
China's purpose is not only to take the land, but also to 'reunite' taiwanese people, so you're right about they are going to need to use soft power to achieve this, so yes, it will not be like what the US did to Hawaii and Iraq
btw, I briefly looked through the book you mentioned and was surprised to find that, compared to other Westerners, the author has a very good understanding of China's war history and philosophy. Although it is somewhat one-sided, Chinese military philosophy is very different before and after the Han Dynasty
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https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2025/01/china-suddenly-...
Surely the D-day is coming
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Raised? Ship Bridges, with ship feet! These are a whole new thing. Equally interesting. The political implications are incidental.