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yodelshady commented on The military pressures behind the new push for small nuclear reactors   theconversation.com/the-h... · Posted by u/bikenaga
alephnerd · 2 months ago
This is fairly on the dot, at least in regards with how the Indian [0][1], French [2], and Chinese [3] are approaching SMRs.

SMRs - like most other technology - are dual use.

[0] - https://www.stimson.org/2021/prospects-for-small-modular-rea...

[1] - https://maritime-executive.com/article/india-to-explore-supp...

[2] - https://www.meretmarine.com/fr/defense/pa-ng-une-propulsion-...

[3] - https://cimsec.org/neither-fish-nor-fowl-chinas-development-...

yodelshady · 2 months ago
They're absolutely dual use, which is why the greens have always been against them.

But that's like trying to prevent cow rearing by outlawing mince. You don't rear a cow for mince, you rear it for steak. The customer will pay for steak pretty much whatever.

My country just had ~180 GWh of lost load from wind, in winter. That's not even a 1-in-5 event, that's a multiple-times-per-year event, and it's billions in cost to the economy. Industry is dead, I've personally seen steel orders go to China because even if renewables were free we could't handle delivery estimates of "lol idk", and nor can anyone else. I just can't comprehend the levels of denial around this, as if my and literally everyone with industrial experience is irrelevant. Data centres want SMRs and that's the easiest, most trivial task to time-shift around I can imagine. Electricity that is not reliable is not the same product, it is not even a comparable product, in no other field would it be treated as such, and if you can't provide an actual monetary estimate for turning it into a reliable product, not just "iT's gEtTiNg cHeApEr BRO", you should not be in this conversation.

yodelshady commented on Ryanair flight landed at Manchester airport with six minutes of fuel left   theguardian.com/business/... · Posted by u/mazokum
jacquesm · 2 months ago
Management can't cut fuel reserves, not because the pilots are unionized but because there are some very strict rules about these fuel estimations prior to take off and margins be damned. And those rules are exactly there because otherwise this kind of incident would happen far more frequently. But it's regulation that is the backstop here, not the pilots.
yodelshady · 2 months ago
Regulations are paper. Who enforces the behaviour, of whether to take off or not, on a windy night in central Italy?

Of course the pilots are the backstop, and the unions are theirs, so they can make necessary calls the money doesn't like.

yodelshady commented on Standard Thermal: Energy Storage 500x Cheaper Than Batteries   austinvernon.site/blog/st... · Posted by u/pfdietz
Panzer04 · 4 months ago
100$/kwh on a battery that does 1000 cycles is 10c/kwh, 5000 cycles ("Claimed" lifepo4 these days), that's 2c per kwh. These aren't that unreasonable, albeit one would need to account for cost of capital and so on increasing these effective numbers.

Batteries are already economical in most grids where they can arbitrage daily prices of 0-10c during the day to 10-30c during the night, with the occasional outlier event contributing dollars per kwh.

They will never load-shift across seasons, agreed, but for daily loadshifting they are already economical, and being 90%+ efficient (and very simple/easy to deploy and scale) is part of why they're popular. It opens up power shifting opportunities that aren't just daytime solar too.

yodelshady · 4 months ago
They are doing seasonal storage - i.e. on a timescale of a year! So no, they are not doing 5000 f*king cycles!

This is systematic fraud by the renewables industry and should be called out.

yodelshady commented on Standard Thermal: Energy Storage 500x Cheaper Than Batteries   austinvernon.site/blog/st... · Posted by u/pfdietz
elil17 · 4 months ago
One thing they neglect to mention (which is by no means a deal-breaker) is that you waste a good portion (about half) of the electricity in the process of charging and discharging the pile of dirt. Chemical batteries are much more efficient in this regard.
yodelshady · 4 months ago
More efficient, but much more expensive. I'm sick of people handwaving $100 per kWh. That is two orders of magnitude off where it needs to be to do anything more than virtue signal.

Meanwhile multiple grids are now paying renewable to curtail, because guess what, the variability is correlated (it's the exact same damn mathematics we used to fuck up the entire global economy in 2008, which is why I'm so surprised people are handwaving that too, but whatever). If you want to minimise cost without relying on gas to save you on dark still days, you want a cheap use for the surplus, round-trip be damned.

yodelshady commented on I accidentally became PureGym’s unofficial Apple Wallet developer   drobinin.com/posts/how-i-... · Posted by u/valzevul
pyman · 4 months ago
This is a great post, it captures the true essence of an engineer. It is funny, intriguing, and inspirational. Congrats! You are a hacker at heart.

When I went to the US for 3 months I joined PureGym and they gave me a PIN number. I cancelled my membership after that, and one day Chrome told me my PureGym PIN had been compromised. 2 years later, I went to the US again, rejoined, and received the same PIN. Massive red flag.

I was also intrigued by the app, the token and PIN, and remember finding a security flaw in the system that activates the hydro massage chairs. It accepts your PIN or any PIN, with no security at all.

yodelshady · 4 months ago
I've received the same PIN from an entirely different gym chain, albeit one using the same door system.

As you say, a massive red flag indicating it's not using a lot of sources of entropy.

yodelshady commented on The bewildering phenomenon of declining quality   english.elpais.com/cultur... · Posted by u/geox
esperent · 5 months ago
> clothes are unrecognizable after the second wash

What clothes are these? I don't buy any kind of expensive brands. I don't take any care when washing. I don't own a lot of clothes so I wear each item weekly. And my clothes last me for several years at least. The dyes have gotten noticeably better than when I was a child - when was the last time you had colors run in the wash?

yodelshady · 5 months ago
I'll name and shame - Fruit of the Loom.

They may never have been amazing, but that's the point - they were a representative, middle-of-road brand and you could just assume their clothes would last. I've got a >10 year old shirt that's still fine and a new one that's holed after a single wash. It's not a QA fail, the loss of quality is very clearly deliberate.

yodelshady commented on Japan unveils first solar super-panel   japanenergyevent.com/medi... · Posted by u/elsewhen
yodelshady · 8 months ago
Aspiration for 20 GW of power by 2040, or in 15 years time.

In the period 1980-1990, I repeat in a 50% shorter period commencing forty years ago, France installed 34 GW of nuclear.

All I want is for someone advocating renewables over nuclear to give me a single example of a buildout of available-in-winter power exceeding that target with the forty years of investment available.

Or to agree that we have, fundamentally and quite deliberately, become worse at generating carbon-free energy.

yodelshady commented on How the U.K. broke its own economy   theatlantic.com/ideas/arc... · Posted by u/speckx
blibble · 10 months ago
wouldn't have mattered

due to the screwed up energy pricing system, if there's a single watt of electricity in the grid produced by burning gas, we pay for the entire grid output as if it was gas

yodelshady · 10 months ago
If there's a single watt demanded by the grid and NOT supplied by gas, or coal or nuclear, because there sure as shit aren't batteries within three orders of magnitude of competitive at TWh scale, the entire grid fucking stalls and dies. At best guess, we can restart it, once.

Your renewable energy is worth 0 if it can't meet that need. No other power supply anywhere works on the principle of "yay maybe!". It's not a fucking game, it's our capacity to heat, to operate industrial processes that are equally worthless if interrupted. I've been involved in ordering steel. The UK-spec was uncompetitive if free, because of the unpredictability in delivery, directly downstream from the unpredictability in power. THERE IS A WAR ON.

yodelshady commented on GLP-1 drugs: An economic disruptor? (2024)   wildfirelabs.substack.com... · Posted by u/herbertl
fallingknife · 10 months ago
I can't say which is more harmful, but social media is a hell of a lot less fun
yodelshady · 10 months ago
It certainly leads to less sex. Seems a lot of vaguely-defined experts (economists/demographers/??) are very concerned we're not having enough, so more impulse-regulating drugs seem relevant.

Then again, maybe everyone being a 10 would level that out a bit?

yodelshady commented on Why it's so hard to build a jet engine   construction-physics.com/... · Posted by u/mhb
gameshot911 · 10 months ago
Your comment is really interesting, but I didn't fully understand.

What do you mean by "metals don't actually withstand temperature"? As in the raw metal would melt were it not for the cooling vanes?

'If powered down, the engine would destroy itself' - from what? Overheating?

The lower power setting on shutdown does what? Spin it at a low RPM so it doesn't decrease in temp too quickly?

yodelshady · 10 months ago
> What do you mean by "metals don't actually withstand temperature"? As in the raw metal would melt were it not for the cooling vanes?

They creep. Have you seen, for instance, Blu-tac or glue fail? It doesn't go at once, but slowly, over a period of time. At high temperatures most metals (others on this thread have mentioned single-crystal blades) behave a bit like that.

Although steel is also weaker at temperatures far below its melting point, yes. A simple observation of a blacksmith at work should tell you that. And a think some new jets may be running hotter than Tm for steel now?

> The lower power setting on shutdown does what? Spin it at a low RPM so it doesn't decrease in temp too quickly?

Yup, or more relevantly evenly, although those tend to be related. Given almost all materials expand as they get hotter and contract as they cool, different cooling rates between parts -> different contraction rates -> different relative shape -> Very Bad in precision machinery.

u/yodelshady

KarmaCake day1105June 8, 2020View Original