Atlas founder here. Happy to answer any questions people have about the tool!
We just increased our server resources because a lot of questions are getting asked (thank you!). Hoping to keep the wait times manageable
But here are some recent predictions that we thought were pretty reasonable: * https://aipredict.fun/prediction/a0354d22-d44a-4115-a774-1cc... * https://aipredict.fun/prediction/1518666d-d5f8-40b1-bee9-561... * https://aipredict.fun/prediction/c13193fa-4155-4b47-b50a-432...
It seems like this is a tool that "if you could read all the news of today, what would your gut tell you", and that is helpful but not thorough.
For example, can you apply the cureent reasoning to news articles from previous time periods and use the prediction on a past result. Would your prediction be accurate? If no, maybe re-reason.
https://aipredict.fun/prediction/1074cf90-c818-44fd-be0b-c00...
You're right that we're limited in how much news we can pull. Generally, we can only look about 90 days into the past for news articles.
I'd definitely like to expand the corpus of information that we can pull from. Getting access to reliable historical data is high on that list, as it will dramatically improve base rate estimation.