While I agree with the points he’s raising let me play devils advocate.
There’s a lot more code being written now that’s not counted in these statistics. A friend of mine vibe coded a writing tool for himself entirely using Gemini canvas.
I regularly vibe code little analyses or scripts in ChatGPT which would have required writing code earlier.
None of these are counted in these statistics.
And yes AI isn’t quite good enough to super charge app creation end to end. Claude has only been good for a few months. That’s hardly enough time for adoption !
This would be like analysing the impact of languages like Perl or Python on software 3 months after their release.
* Gen AI never disagrees with or objects to boss's ideas, even if they are bad or harmful to the company or others. In fact, it always praises them no matter what. Brenda, being a well-intentioned human being, might object to bad or immoral ideas to prevent harm. Since boss's ego is too fragile to accept criticism, he prefers gen AI.
* Boss is usually not qualified, willing, or free to do Brenda's job to the same quality standard as Brenda. This compels him to pay Brenda and treat her with basic decency, which is a nuisance. Gen AI does not demand fair or decent treatment and (at least for now) is cheaper than Brenda. It can work at any time and under conditions Brenda refuses to. So boss prefers gen AI.
* Brenda takes accountability for and pride in her work, making sure it is of high quality and as free of errors as she can manage. This is wasteful: boss only needs output that is good enough to make it someone else's problem, and as fast as possible. This is exactly what gen AI gives him, so boss prefers gen AI.