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sebastos commented on Trillions spent and big software projects are still failing   spectrum.ieee.org/it-mana... · Posted by u/pseudolus
ZeroConcerns · 22 days ago
Yup, and with an equal amount of mindblowing-units-of-money spent, infrastructure projects all around me are still failing as well, or at least being modified (read: downsized), delayed and/or budget-inflated beyond recognition.

So, what's the point here, exactly? "Only licensed engineers as codified by (local!) law are allowed to do projects?" Nah, can't be it, their track record still has too many failures, sometimes even spectacularly explosive and/or implosive ones.

"Any public project should only follow Best Practices"? Sure... "And only make The People feel good"... Incoherent!

Ehhm, so, yeah, maybe things are just complicated, and we should focus more on the amount of effort we're prepared to put in, the competency (c.q. pay grade) of the staff we're willing to assign, and exactly how long we're willing to wait prior to conceding defeat?

sebastos · 22 days ago
Nailed it, but I fear this wisdom will be easily passed by by someone who doesn’t already intuit it from years of experience. Like the Island de la Muerta: wisdom that can only be found if you already know where it is.
sebastos commented on 'Calvin and Hobbes' at 40   npr.org/2025/11/18/nx-s1-... · Posted by u/mooreds
NiloCK · a month ago
That is just two years after I burst onto the page.

Calvin and Hobbes was a major part of my childhood - I loved it. For something casually consumed on the daily at the breakfast table, it was so earnestly, so obviously, smarter than the median cultural offering. Smarter also then the local nightly news broadcasts. Smarter also than the median educational intervention I experienced through elementary and middle school. It had finished by the time I was in high school.

I still love it, but my feelings now are mixed as well.

Calvin wasn't exactly a pro-social role model for me. He was the hero of the smartest media I was acquainted with - the sharpest mouthpiece for what was going on around me and how to be alive. It was vitally important for me to live up to his disdain for schooling, his aloofness, his contrarianism. Nothing horrified eight or ten or fifteen or twenty-two year old me so much as conforming (gross) to a Susie Perkins mode of existence - smart, but seemingly oblivious or indifferent to life's contradictions and hypocrisies.

Some thirty years later I understand that a person can move pragmatically, without self-harm or self-righteousness, through life's contradictions and hypocrisies without being oblivious or indifferent. Who knew?

sebastos · a month ago
I see what you're getting at, and your sentiment is thoughtfully expressed, but come on... it's Calvin and Hobbes! It's part of that rarefied echelon of media that taps into something true about the human condition. Calvin doesn't need to be a manual for how to live your life - it's enough to be an island you can sometimes visit when you're in a Calvin mood.

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sebastos commented on Visible from space, Sudan's bloodied sands expose a massacre of thousands   telegraph.co.uk/world-new... · Posted by u/wslh
jmyeet · 2 months ago
As always, conflicts are much easier to understand when viewed through the lens of materialism.

Factors such as ethnicity or religion are never the reason for these conflicts. Those are simply the excuse. It’s what’s used to fuel the fire.

The heart of this conflict is Sudan’s gold that’s laundered via Dubai then Switzerland.

The culpability of Western powers including the US cannot be ignored either. The RSF is supplied with diverted arms shipments from the West to the UAE.

Just like in Gaza the US could stop this at any time with a phone call.

sebastos · 2 months ago
This is almost exactly wrong. Like, if you wanted to invent a plausible-on-its-face position that formed a perfect -1 dot product with the truth, this is what you’d come up with.

Polite western society has become so disconnected from what earnest religious belief feels like that they have become unable to comprehend the world around them, which hasn’t. They project their own materialism onto the own world and conclude that sectarian hatred is overblown because after all, who could really get that worked up about some dusty book? The idea that the Sudanese are just innocent victims of big evil powers fighting over gold is the kind of thing that makes a good theme in English class. We’re now dealing with an entire generation that was only taught this “counter-narrative”, and simply pattern matches it to every single thing. Yes, you can always construct sentences that recast any bad world events as being caused by our own callous indifference to the beleaguered and noble savage. No, that is not an automatic shortcut to truth and wisdom. The West does not have a monopoly on making terrible, short-sighted, violent choices.

But putting aside the diminishing of African agency, even if you do focus on the involvement of outside forces, the Sudanese civil war is notably characterized by the involvement of _middle_ powers, and not particularly Western ones. They are there for varying reasons, all of them nihilistic but only some of them materialistic. Ukrainians are there, for instance, because Russians are there, and it’s a lawless place where you can kill Russians. That’s a lot of things, but a simplistic gold grab it is not.

sebastos commented on Doctorow: American tech cartels use apps to break the law   lithub.com/how-american-t... · Posted by u/ohjeez
nathan_compton · 2 months ago
What is ridiculous is that you think this isn't a good idea. Safely using ladders isn't common sense and ladder injuries probably cost the state and the places where they occur a lot of money.

I think you are mistaking your point of view, which is probably that of an individual business owner, for the point of view of someone looking at the actuarial statistics or whatever and seeing tens of thousands of preventable ladder injuries a year. Just because an event is rare from your point of view doesn't mean that the event costs nothing or that it should be ignored.

I can't believe how common this attitude of "if its too small for me to notice it doesn't matter" is.

sebastos · 2 months ago
The analysis isn't done yet though: - How much do you trust the statistics about which ladder deaths were preventable? - Do you have the numbers on the counter-factual: once ladder training is introduced, these sub-populations see X reduction in ladder deaths, offsetting for reduction in ladder use due to people not having their ladder license? - What is the productivity cost of assigning every single ladder user a training class, in perpetuity? This analysis should include the cost of creating a cottage ladder training industry that provides the trainings, the hourly productivity loss of sending people to trainings, the administrative cost of ensuring the trainings have been conformed to, etc.

In your heart of hearts, when you are assigned mandatory trainings, how much do you learn? I'm not asking how much _could_ you learn, I'm asking how much DO you learn? My experience, and the obvious unspoken consensus of all my colleagues, is that you click through mandatory virtual trainings as fast as possible, with the sound down, on fast-forward. If it's a live training with an actual practical skill (like ladder training), then I'd definitely concede it's much more engaging and you probably learn something. But MANY trainings are clearly, obviously, a net friction on society.

"I see a problem - how about we make a law that everybody must learn about that thing?" is the crappiest, laziest way to address the problem that you could possibly think of. If 'mandate a training' was analogized to a pull request on a codebase, it would be like responding to a bug report by adding a pop-up dialog that always pops up whenever you open the program and warns you about the bug. In other words, the shittiest possible non-solution that lets somebody close the issue as resolved. A real solution takes more work and more thinking.

sebastos commented on Anduril and Palantir battlefield communication system has flaws, Army memo says   cnbc.com/2025/10/03/andur... · Posted by u/gok
_whiteCaps_ · 2 months ago
Naming military technology after things in LOTR completely misses the point of the stories. Tolkien is spinning in his grave.
sebastos · 2 months ago
Ah yes, The Lord of the Rings, an allegorical tale about how it is always wrong to wage war. Anduril, the flame of the west, refers of course to an evil sword wielded by an evil king who wrongly stands up to protect the people of middle earth against the forces of Mordor (a misunderstood and vibrant economy that is merely protecting its own interests). It can be so frustrating when people misread Tolkien's unsubtle, moralizing polemic for some kind of expansive mythology with more than one thing to say.

u/sebastos

KarmaCake day1066March 14, 2015View Original