did GPT-4 just solve the halting problem?
The US has been screaming at DE since the 1980s, decades before fracking and LNG was a thing:
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urengoy–Pomary–Uzhhorod_pipeli...
* https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/12/03/blinken-secretary-state...
And of course it’s not like AfD actually, exists, or that the German security apparatus is riddled with Russian spies and Nazis.
Dead Comment
A lot of western countries, Germany first, believed that if we traded and opened up to those countries, they would naturally tend to adopt western values.
It turned out to be incorrect. China being an even better example. But it was not a crazy assumption at the time, and coming after the fact is hindsight 20/20.
Honestly, even knowing how things turned out, I am proud that the west tried.
You don't need to read academic papers to know that Russia = evil. Eastern Europe has been parroting this for decades but Germany stuck its fingers in its ears and went "la-la-la-la, I can't hear you over the sound of my cheap gas brokered by our lord and savior, Gerhard Schröder, who's on the Kremlin's payroll".
Even after Russia's invasion of Chechnya in 1994 and 1999, and Russia's invasion of Georgia in 2008, and Russia's invasion of Crimea in 2014, nobody could have seen Russia invading another neighboring country again in 2022, it was a total shock for European politicians. /s
Germans like to say how much they learned from their history, but when shit got real they funded the aggressor and benefited from Putins corruption.
If Ukraine had kept nukes they’d be at peace right now.
But putting that aside, this whole episode was making me uneasy. To this day so many people in Europe cannot engage in strategic thinking. I think they simply do not believe that bombs can ever land on their own roofs. The understanding of foreign governments and their real intentions is often at a comical level, even when applied to actors that pretty much lay out their own plans in public then execute on them, decade after decade.
Effective international policy requires tools, but before that it requires an even basic understanding of the situation and courage/resolve. That means sacrificing something small (like a gas shortage) for something valuable (no major war in Europe).
The fact that Poland had to shame Germany into defending their *own interests* should be a national embarrassment.
Of course ableton comes with a pretty good array of instruments and effects, so maybe this isn’t that big a deal.