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jasonshen commented on This is not the future   blog.mathieui.net/this-is... · Posted by u/ericdanielski
delichon · 3 days ago
For you it's "purely for pleasure," for me it's for money, health and fire protection. I heat my home with my wood stove to bypass about $1,500/year in propane costs, to get exercise (and pleasure) out of cutting and splitting the wood, and to reduce the fuel load around my home. If those reasons went away I'd stop.

That's a good metaphor for the rapid growth of AI. It is driven by real needs from multiple directions. For it to become evitable, it would take coercion or the removal of multiple genuine motivators. People who think we can just say no must be getting a lot less value from it then me day to day.

jasonshen · 3 days ago
You may be saving money but wood smoke is very much harmful to your lungs and heart according to the American Lung and American Heart Associations + the EPA. There's a good reason why we've adopted modern heating technologies. They may have other problems but particulate pollution is not one of them.

> For people with underlying heart disease, a 2017 study in the journal Environmental Research linked increased particulate air pollution from wood smoke and other sources to inflammation and clotting, which can predict heart attacks and other heart problems.

> A 2013 study in the journal Particle and Fibre Toxicology found exposure to wood smoke causes the arteries to become stiffer, which raises the risk of dangerous cardiac events. For pregnant women, a 2019 study in Environmental Research connected wood smoke exposure to a higher risk of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, which include preeclampsia and gestational high blood pressure.

https://www.heart.org/en/news/2019/12/13/lovely-but-dangerou...

jasonshen commented on This is not the future   blog.mathieui.net/this-is... · Posted by u/ericdanielski
jasonshen · 3 days ago
At the highest level, this becomes a question of whether we live in a predetermined universe or not. Historians do debate the Great Man vs Great Forces narrative of human development, but even if many historical events were "close calls" or "almost didn't happens" it doesn't mean that the counterfactual would be better. Discrete things like the Juicero might not have happened, but ridiculous "smart internet-connected products" that raised lots of VC money during the ZIRP era feels inevitable to me.

Do we really think LLMs and the generative AI craze would have not occurred if Sam Altman chose to stay at Y Combinator or otherwise got hit by a bus? People clearly like to interact with a seemingly smart digital agent, demonstrated as early as ELIZA in 1966 and SmarterChild in 2001.

My POV is that human beings have innate biases and preferences that tend to manifest what we invent and adopt. I don't personally believe in a supernatural God but many people around the world do. Alcoholic beverages have been independently discovered in numerous cultures across the world over centuries.

I think the best we can do is usually try to act according to our own values and nudge it in a direction we believe is best (both things OP is doing so this is not a dunk on them, just my take on their thoughts here).

jasonshen commented on Show HN: I made an app that lets you save audio to your Cameral Roll   justsendrecord.com... · Posted by u/zahirbmirza
jasonshen · 6 months ago
First off congrats on launching a novel idea and hitting HN front page.

Question / feedback — why is there no way to see what one of these looks like on the website? You have a header that says "see it in action" that literally doesn't allow you to see the video you're saying it produces.

I have an idea in my mind of what it looks like but I think you'd do well to have multiple examples illustrating different situations where this product could be useful.

jasonshen commented on The coming knowledge-work supply-chain crisis   worksonmymachine.substack... · Posted by u/Stwerner
theK · 8 months ago
You cannot really compare the two. An engineer will continue to learn and adapt their output to the teams and organizations they interact with. They will be seamlessly picking up core principles, architectural nouances and verbiage of the specific environment. You need to explicitly pass all that to an llm and all approaches today lack. Most importantly, an engineer will continue accumulating knowledge and skills while you interact with them. An llm won't.
jasonshen · 8 months ago
With ChatGPT explicitly storing "memory" about the user and access to the history of all chats, that can also change. Not hard to imagine an AI-powered IDE like Cursor understanding that when you reran a prompt or gave it an error message it came to understand that its original result was wrong in some way and that it needs to "learn" to improve its outputs.
jasonshen commented on Age and cognitive skills: Use it or lose it   science.org/doi/full/10.1... · Posted by u/nabla9
pdimitar · 9 months ago
My depression comes from super severe learned helplessness. I have been extremely stupid with money and career choices and nowadays things got hard, I have several chronic health conditions and the difficulty got up not by 2x, more like 20x. I just can't muster the will to even do one job interview, financial reserves are dwindling fast and, you get the picture.

I have zero faith any therapist can help me. They'll likely start with "but it's for your own good!" and I'll just say "yeah yeah, like 200 other things I have been told and zero of them turned out to be true". That's how I imagine it.

I am not against paying professionals. Obviously. I just don't believe in therapy at all.

What would you do to start with, with a guy like me? (I am aware you are not a therapist yourself.)

jasonshen · 9 months ago
I am also not a therapist but I am a former tech founder turned executive coach so I do talk to people who are facing what feels like overwhelming challenges, risk, and uncertainty.

Even in the language you used "severe learned helplessness" and "extremely stupid", you are revealing a state of mind (cynicism, self-flagellation) that is not oriented to improving your condition.

You know you have a strong bias against therapists—given your seeming lack of knowledge about them, where do you think that bias came from? Fundamentally, we are a social species and evolved to live with strong connections to small groups.

Our society is no longer set up like that. So professionals like therapists and coaches provide the essential value of a caring, supportive, and helpful relationship that we lack. Like getting an essential nutrient that your diet lacks.

Do you have health insurance? Many of them cover mental health—the site Headway can help you find one that takes insurance. Try a few and gather some first-party data before writing them off fully. The downside is a few hundred dollars. The upside is a much brighter and materially better future.

jasonshen commented on What is Elon Musk getting up to with America's payment system?   economist.com/united-stat... · Posted by u/pulisse
jasonshen · 10 months ago
Full text link here: https://archive.is/DIKKv

Musk has (for now) pulled of heist that sounds like a summer blockbuster scheme: take direct control of the payment system that all US Gov't payments run through.

I guess the world's richest person still didn't have enough. I really the court orders get enforced soon or the limited trust the public has in the federal government is about to go into freefall.

jasonshen commented on I made $100K from a dick joke   imgur.com/gallery/KZ4u3c4... · Posted by u/imglorp
ilaksh · a year ago
Maybe that's why I'm not rich? Because I am honest?

I think this culture of normalizing lying means that more and more humans are just garbage. Because being able to trust someone is telling the truth is just a fundamental part of integrity. Without integrity we have.. well I guess the world we live in.. dangerous, full of trash. Everything is bullshit.

I hope the machines take over soon.

jasonshen · a year ago
Our big brains actually evolved because of lying - research by scientists like Robin Dunbar shows that figuring out who was lying and how to lie better may have driven the explosion of human intelligence. The same brain power that helped our ancestors outsmart each other is what lets us do amazing things today.

You're right that trust matters - that's why we created rules and systems to encourage honesty. But lying is as old as humanity itself.

u/jasonshen

KarmaCake day5892September 11, 2008
About
I am executive coach who works with ~15 startup founders, senior leaders and "outlier talent" to apply their unique strengths towards ambitious goals.

Previously: 3x founder (YC S11) and PM at Etsy & FB

I write a newsletter about how unconventional talent succeeds at jasonshen.com/newsletter

@jasonshen on most things

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