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great_psy commented on AI Bubble 2027   wheresyoured.at/ai-bubble... · Posted by u/speckx
jasonjmcghee · 4 months ago
Not for me? Never heard of this site but had no issues.
great_psy · 4 months ago
The introduction to the article is not paywalled. But the actual 2027 ai story is paywalled
great_psy commented on AI Bubble 2027   wheresyoured.at/ai-bubble... · Posted by u/speckx
mountainriver · 4 months ago
Lots of AI apps are creating a lot of value, that somehow gets overlooked in these convos
great_psy · 4 months ago
Can you provide some names of AI apps who’s revenue > cost ?
great_psy commented on Tokens are getting more expensive   ethanding.substack.com/p/... · Posted by u/admp
armchairhacker · 5 months ago
People don't have issues paying for metered electricity, heat, and water. AFAIK most people are aware of when they're wasting power/heat/water but don't go to extremes, e.g. don't run the shower constantly but don't shower with a bucket.
great_psy · 5 months ago
But leaving a light on 2x the time will equal very close to 2x the price.

Asking “what day is today” vs “create this api endpoint to adjust the inventory” will cost vastly different. And honestly I have no clue where to start to even estimate the cost unless I run the query.

great_psy commented on Ask HN: With AI bubble burst imminent, where do you put your money?    · Posted by u/munchausen42
great_psy · 5 months ago
A likely catalyst would be a DeepSeek like model where it has the capability of top model but in a much smaller footprint.

NVDA and cloud providers that are highly staked in AI would likely take a hit if a 70B model could do what Sonnet4 does.

But overall, AI is here to stay even if the market crashes, so it’s not really a AI bubble pop, more like a GPU pop.

And even then, GPU will still be in demand since the training will still need large clusters.

great_psy commented on Show HN: Bedrock – An 8-bit computing system for running programs anywhere   benbridle.com/projects/be... · Posted by u/benbridle
great_psy · 5 months ago
I have not delved to deep in the code, but is there any functional differences it has over Java other than the size ?

Presumably Java would also be pretty tiny if we wrote it in bytecode instead of higher lever Java.

great_psy commented on Batch Mode in the Gemini API: Process More for Less   developers.googleblog.com... · Posted by u/xnx
great_psy · 6 months ago
Is this an indication of the peak of the AI bubble ?

In a way this is saying that there are some GPUs just sitting around so they would rather get 50% than nothing for their use.

great_psy commented on Is AI the new research scientist? Not so, according to a human-led study   news.warrington.ufl.edu/f... · Posted by u/gnabgib
ilrwbwrkhv · 9 months ago
It will never be. I don't know why people keep trying to make it into a research scientist. It's a great helper but it has no original insight and breakthroughs happen through original insight. LLMs are simply a conditional probability net of existing data so it can never ever have an original insight. I don't know why this is so hard.
great_psy · 9 months ago
I wouldn’t be so dismissive. Research is just a loop of hypothesis, experiments, collect data, make new hypothesis. There’s so creativity required for scientific breakthroughs, but 99.9% percent of scientists don’t need this creativity. Just need grit and stamina.
great_psy commented on ForeverVM: Run AI-generated code in stateful sandboxes that run forever   forevervm.com/... · Posted by u/paulgb
great_psy · 10 months ago
Why would you want to have an ever growing memory usage for your Python environment?

Since LLM context is limited, at some point the LLM will forget what was defined at the beginning so you will need to reset/ remind the LLM whats in memory.

great_psy commented on Why OpenAI's $157B valuation misreads AI's future (Oct 2024)   foundationcapital.com/why... · Posted by u/pcurve
halfcat · a year ago
It’s the year 2000. We have the internet, a technology that will change the world. Yahoo is the most valuable company on earth. Among the coolest things people do is go to CompUSA and pay money for a web browser, Netscape Navigator, because it supports the <blink> tag so you can make your geocities page even more awesome. Google is still operating out of a garage somewhere, and won’t be household name until after the bubble bursts.

That’s where we are in the AI journey in 2025. The year 2000.

great_psy · a year ago
Before or after the bubble popped ?
great_psy commented on DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via RL   arxiv.org/abs/2501.12948... · Posted by u/gradus_ad
BriggyDwiggs42 · a year ago
I’m cautiously optimistic that if that tech came about it would quickly become cheap enough to access for normal people.
great_psy · a year ago
With how healthcare is handled in America … good luck to poor people getting access to anything like that.

u/great_psy

KarmaCake day514July 6, 2017View Original