Chess saw no innovation since hundreds of years or something
I get your point: with IA in charge, the world will stagnate
What I do not share is your belief that this is a good outcome
I don't believe AI will cause the world to stagnate at all. I think it will unleash humanity's creativity in a way orders of magnitude greater than history has ever seen.
So, when you write tests, your main job is to think (define what is good and what is bad)
As such, using IA to write tests is writing useless tests
I got a job interview this monday; I asked the guy : "do you use IA ?" He mumbled something like "yes" Then, I baited him: "It's quite handy to write tests!" He responded: yes, but no (for the above reason)
He got the job
I know plenty of good communicators who aren't using AI effectively. At the very least, if you don't know what an LLM is capable of, you'll never ask it for the things it's capable of and you'll continue to believe it's incapable when the reality is that you just lack knowledge. You don't know what you don't know.
Writing code has never been a bottleneck for me. Planning out a change across multiple components, adhering to both my own individual vision and the project direction and style, fixing things along the way (but only when it makes sense), comparing approaches and understanding tradeoffs, knowing how to interpret loose specs... that's where my time goes. I could use LLM assistance, but given all of the above, it's faster for me to write it myself than to try to distill all of this into a prompt.
The same thing is happening with LLMs. If anything, the gap is far smaller than between assembly and C, which only serves to prove my point. People who don't understand it or like it could easily experience massive productivity gains with a minimum of effort. But they probably never will, because their mindset is the limiting factor, not technical ability.
It really comes down to neural plasticity and willingness to adapt. Some people have it, some people don't. It's pretty polarizing, because for the people that don't want change it becomes an emotional conversation rather than a logical one.
What's the opportunity cost of properly exploring LLMs and learning what everybody else is talking about? Near zero. But there are plenty of people who haven't yet.
The DOM API is old, All the mainstream backend languages are old, unix administrations has barely changed (only the way to use those tools have). Even Elasticsearch is 15 years old. Amazon S3 is past drinking age in many countries around the world. And that's just pertaining to web projects.
You just need to open a university textbook to realize how old many of the fundamentals are. Most shiny new things is old stuff repackaged.
It's akin to people who refused to learn C because they knew assembly.