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bransonf commented on OpenAI’s API now available with no waitlist   openai.com/blog/api-no-wa... · Posted by u/todsacerdoti
manishsharan · 4 years ago
I have a feeling it is being used to produce more nonsensical web pages. Often when I am searching the web for information on a product or a review , I land on a page that has weirdly phrased and often repetitive sentences which provide no useful information. I am assuming those pages are generated by OpenAI or similar technology.
bransonf · 4 years ago
Bingo

It’s increasingly difficult to find product reviews with search engines.

Massive auto generated content farms take a product name and add loads of AI-generated filler text. Pop in a bunch of banner ads and an affiliate link and they have huge economic incentive to scale these operations.

I’m very pessimistic about the direction the internet is going these days. The AI crisis isn’t going to be sentient AI trying to kill us, it’s going to be a flood of noise over knowledge.

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bransonf commented on Walmart releases more affordable analog insulin   corporate.walmart.com/new... · Posted by u/dsaavy
gruez · 4 years ago
>A vial of analog insulin costs something like $6-7 to produce, probably less at Walmart scale

Where are you getting the $6-7 figure from? Artisan insulin makers? Feels like every insulin maker out there operates at walmart's scale, if not bigger. If that's where we're getting the $6-7 figure from, then it's not reasonable to expect it to drop any further.

bransonf · 4 years ago
https://gh.bmj.com/content/3/5/e000850

$5.32-8.87 cost of production depending on the insulin analog.

As noted above, I did not account for R&D and manufacturing capacity.

Regardless, I tried to estimate conservatively at a $12-13 per vial overall cost. My napkin math is certainly wrong.

The point is that Walmart still stands to generate a multi-billion dollar per year profit on the sale of this insulin. (Unless my market capture estimate is wrong by an order of 6+, which it could be)

To be clear, I’m not opposed (in fact grateful) that Walmart is competing in the insulin market. However, I still find it unfortunate that we in the United States pay more for Insulin than any other country in the world, even with this competition.

bransonf commented on Walmart releases more affordable analog insulin   corporate.walmart.com/new... · Posted by u/dsaavy
bransonf · 4 years ago
This is great, but (obviously) not purely benevolent.

A vial of analog insulin costs something like $6-7 to produce, probably less at Walmart scale. The distribution costs probably make the net cost somewhere still in the $7-10 range.

That’s a $60-65 or ~90% margin per Vial.

5-10 million or so insulin users in the US, let’s assume Walmart captures 3 million, at 3 vials per month.

$180 * 12 * 3mil ~~ 6.5 Billion.

Current market cap 400B

Lots of assumptions, but Walmart may have just added 2% of market cap per annum by insulin sales?

bransonf commented on Ask HN: Have you found a good desk chair?    · Posted by u/DamnInteresting
bransonf · 4 years ago
Didn’t see it anywhere else in the thread, so I’ll toss in my current: The Uplift Pursuit [0]

Great lumbar, head and neck support, lots of adjustments. The reclining is very nice, it’s on a double pivot. Pretty sure it’s a ‘replica’ of a Scandinavian design, the same design featured in HBO’s Silicon Valley (the CEO chair)

I paid closer to $300 this time last year, but apparently it’s gone up to nearly $400 now.

[0] https://www.upliftdesk.com/pursuit-ergonomic-chair-by-uplift...

bransonf commented on Burritos and Acrobat (2016)   plinth.org/techtalk/?p=81... · Posted by u/_Microft
bransonf · 4 years ago
While reading I really expected there to be some terrible conclusion, like “we accidentally ordered 100 burritos” but nope, just a fascinating burrito program.

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KarmaCake day1472August 19, 2019
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