bidirectional (u/bidirectional)

bidirectional commented on After OpenAI's blowup, it seems pretty clear that 'AI safety' isn't a real thing gizmodo.com/ai-safety-ope... · Posted by u/rntn

FireBeyond · 2 years ago

Ask it to solve a moderately complex mathematical equation that you describe to it.

Ask it to solve a logical riddle that is only a minor variation with respect to items or words to existing issues (i.e. it's not something that is in its model).

It is unable to do either.

That's why it's not AGI.

bidirectional · 2 years ago

What % of people alive can do either? We have a system which beats the vast majority of humanity.

bidirectional commented on After OpenAI's blowup, it seems pretty clear that 'AI safety' isn't a real thing gizmodo.com/ai-safety-ope... · Posted by u/rntn

crazygringo · 2 years ago

It's so confusing because people keep (intentionally?) conflating two separate ideas of "AI safety".

The first is the kind of humdrum ChatGPT safety of, don't swear, don't be sexually explicit, don't provide instructions on how to commit crimes, don't reproduce copyrighted materials, etc. Or preventing self-driving cars from harming pedestrians. This stuff is important but also pretty boring, and by all indications corporations (OpenAI/MS/Google/etc.) are doing perfectly fine in this department, because it's in their profit/legal incentive to do so. They don't want to tarnish their brands. (Because when they mess up, they get shut down -- e.g. Cruise.)

The second kind is preventing AGI from enslaving/killing humanity or whatever. Which I honestly find just kind of... confusing. We're so far away from AGI, we don't know the slightest thing of what the actual practical risks will be or how to manage them. It's like asking people in the 1700's traveling by horse and carriage to design road safety standards for a future interstate highway system. Maybe it's interesting for academics to think about, but it doesn't have any relevance to anything corporations are doing currently.

bidirectional · 2 years ago

How is GPT-4 not AGI? It is generally intelligent and passes the Turing test. When did AGI come to mean some godlike being that can enslave us? I think I can have a more intellectualy meaningful conversation with ChatGPT than I could with the vast majority of humanity. That is insane progress from where we were 18 months ago.

bidirectional commented on Why don’t Inter Milan have a shirt sponsor? givemesport.com/inter-mil... · Posted by u/croes

rcme · 3 years ago

What are the realities, that the ownership wants more money?

bidirectional · 3 years ago

Clubs' spending must be tied to their revenue, foregoing sponsorship money would force them to spend less no matter what, and there's a continuos arms race to spend more and more.

Also, practically all football club ownership is a loss-making activity.

bidirectional commented on My kids and I just played D&D with ChatGPT4 as the DM obie.medium.com/my-kids-a... · Posted by u/obiefernandez

tus666 · 3 years ago

This is not a big deal.

Reading the pre-set text from an adventure module and rolling monster dice is the easy part of being a DM. clap clap ChatGPT.

Having a personality, bringing out laughter, banter and fun, i.e. being a human being is the hard part.

You aint got what it takes ChatGPT, stupid language regurgitating machine.

bidirectional · 3 years ago

What stage of denial is this?

bidirectional commented on UBS agrees to buy Credit Suisse bloomberg.com/news/articl... · Posted by u/nairboon

CamouflagedKiwi · 3 years ago

No, you get paid interest because money now has less value than money in the future. Hence why you pay interest to a bank on a loan or mortgage, but if you fail to repay they don't just write it off saying "oh at least we got some interest!"

bidirectional · 3 years ago

The US government gets to pay x% interest because they can theoretically always service a debt denominated in USD. Every other borrower in USD pays (x+y)%, where y amongst other things represents the risk that they will default.

bidirectional commented on GPT-4 openai.com/research/gpt-4... · Posted by u/e0m

theodorejb · 3 years ago

> The human brain is nothing more than a bio computer

That's a pretty simplistic view. How do you know we can't determine whether an arbitrary program will halt or not (assuming access to all inputs and enough time to examine it)? What in principle would prevent us from doing so? But computers in principle cannot, since the problem is often non-algorithmic.

For example, consider the following program, which is passed the text of the file it is in as input:

  function doesHalt($program, $inputs): bool {...}

  $input = $argv[0]; // contents of this file

  if (doesHalt($input, [$input])) {
      while(true) {
          print "Wrong! It doesn't halt!";
      }
  } else {
      print "Wrong! It halts!";
  }

It is impossible for the doesHalt function to return the correct result for the program. But as a human I can examine the function to understand what it will return for the input, and then correctly decide whether or not the program will halt.

bidirectional · 3 years ago

Can you name a single form of analysis which a human can employ but would be impossible to program a computer to perform?

Can you tell me if a program which searches for counterexamples to the Collatz conjecture halts?

Turing's entire analysis started from the point of what humans could do.

bidirectional commented on Swedish pension giant loses $1.1B from US banks’ collapse thelocal.se/20230313/swed... · Posted by u/imartin2k

expertentipp · 3 years ago

Some of the pensioners or fund managers will have to downgrade their yachts anchored at Gran Canaria, cry me a river....

bidirectional · 3 years ago

Fund managers at a Swedish pension firm don't have yachts. The teachers/train drivers/policemen etc. they manage pensions for definitely don't.

bidirectional commented on Swedish pension giant loses $1.1B from US banks’ collapse thelocal.se/20230313/swed... · Posted by u/imartin2k

humanistbot · 3 years ago

> I mean, that's worse. The depositors at SVB are being made whole, the shareholders are getting wiped out.

As they should be. They took a risk and lost.

bidirectional · 3 years ago

So did the depositors who exceeded the limit for FDIC insurance.

bidirectional commented on Algorithmic Trading: A Practitioner’s Guide henrikwarne.com/2023/02/1... · Posted by u/ingve

paulpauper · 3 years ago

It does not have to be as cherrypicked as individual stocks. Even something as broad as 'buying and holding an index fund' beats almost all funds and strategies. Doesn't quant funds also rely on hindsight? There are no guarantees that strategies will keep working.

bidirectional · 3 years ago

> Even something as broad as 'buying and holding an index fund' beats almost all funds and strategies.

How do you come to believe something so blatantly false and naive? Is this due to the proliferation of the (good) advice that most Americans are best off saving for retirement in index funds?

bidirectional commented on Sergey Brin’s $100B Private Fiefdom (2022) puck.news/sergey-brins-10... · Posted by u/SirLJ

julianeon · 3 years ago

I'd be willing to bet that Bayshore, for all its clever investment strategems and financial experts and so forth, will underperform a simple stock market index fund in the long run.

bidirectional · 3 years ago

Why? Loads of private investment funds beat indices.