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anothermathbozo commented on The QMA Singularity   scottaaronson.blog/?p=918... · Posted by u/frozenseven
fHtqhF · 5 months ago
Aaronson worked for OpenAI and should disclose if he has any stock or options.

Anyway, it took multiple tries and, as the article itself states, GPT might have seen a similar function in the training data.

I don't find this trial and error pattern matching with human arbitration very impressive.

anothermathbozo · 5 months ago
It’s always a crowd pleaser to be skeptical of ai development. Not sure what people feel like they are achieving for continually announcing they aren’t buying it when someone claims they’ve made effective use of these tools.
anothermathbozo commented on OpenAI and Nvidia announce partnership to deploy 10GW of Nvidia systems   openai.com/index/openai-n... · Posted by u/meetpateltech
JCM9 · 6 months ago
This is throwing more cards on the house of cards. Nvidia is “investing” in OpenAI so OpenAI can buy GPUs from NVidia. Textbook “round tripping.”

I generally like what’s been happening with AI but man this is gonna crash hard when reality sets in. We’re reaching the scary stage of a bubble where folks are forced to throw more and more cash on the fire to keep it going with no clear path to ever get that cash back. If anyone slows down, even just a bit, the whole thing goes critical and implodes.

anothermathbozo · 6 months ago
What is this a bubble on? What does said bubble collapsing look like?
anothermathbozo commented on New Mexico is first state in US to offer universal child care   governor.state.nm.us/2025... · Posted by u/toomuchtodo
CGMthrowaway · 6 months ago
State + local tax burden in NM is 10.2%[1]. Revenue neutral would mean those taking the child care would instead take a job with average salary $120,000. But as another comment points out this policy attracts new jobs to the state, which complicates the math

[1]https://taxfoundation.org/location/new-mexico/

anothermathbozo · 6 months ago
Income tax is not the only revenue that the state and local governments capture when production increases.
anothermathbozo commented on New Mexico is first state in US to offer universal child care   governor.state.nm.us/2025... · Posted by u/toomuchtodo
CGMthrowaway · 6 months ago
Sounds great.

>average annual family savings of $12,000 per child.

How is NM paying for this? They currently have a 'D' grade from Truth in Accounting[1] with a $9.8 billion debt burden driven by unfunded obligations of pension and retiree health care

[1]https://www.truthinaccounting.org/library/doclib/NM-2020-2pa...

anothermathbozo · 6 months ago
child care policy frees labor capacity for work that is more likely to earn a slice of the national income. It’s almost certainly going to result in greater economic activity for the state. In the immediate it is funded from two existing funds.
anothermathbozo commented on The warning signs the AI bubble is about to burst   telegraph.co.uk/business/... · Posted by u/taimurkazmi
anothermathbozo · 7 months ago
Given how much capital has already been committed to infrastructure development I find it very unlikely that even a Black Monday style market correction will do much to alter the medium and long term outlook for ai development and investment.

Too many people talk about a bubble almost wish-casting that such a thing will make this all go away. It’s probably safest to assume your political enemies won’t be hoisted on their own petard anytime soon.

anothermathbozo commented on Andrej Karpathy: Software in the era of AI [video]   youtube.com/watch?v=LCEmi... · Posted by u/sandslash
bwfan123 · 9 months ago
> Am I all of a sudden the one lacking imagination?

No, The reality of what these tools can do is sinking in.. The rubber is meeting the road and I can hear some screaching.

The boosters are in 5 stages of grief coming to terms with what was once AGI and is now a mere co-pilot, while the haters are coming to terms with the fact that LLMs can actually be useful in a variety of usecases.

anothermathbozo · 9 months ago
> The reality of what these tools can do is sinking in

It feels premature to make determinations about how far this emergent technology can be pushed.

anothermathbozo commented on The Gentle Singularity   blog.samaltman.com/the-ge... · Posted by u/firloop
nyc_data_geek1 · 9 months ago
He is purely a hype man, and many people are too gullible/invested/dumb to see it, call him on it, or care.
anothermathbozo · 9 months ago
What difference does that make at this stage of things?
anothermathbozo commented on OpenAI dropped the price of o3 by 80%   twitter.com/sama/status/1... · Posted by u/mfiguiere
polskibus · 9 months ago
Is this a reaction to Apple paper showing that reasoning models don’t really reason?
anothermathbozo · 9 months ago
Why would that be?
anothermathbozo commented on Beyond Attention: Toward Machines with Intrinsic Higher Mental States   arxiv.org/abs/2505.06257... · Posted by u/holografix
yorwba · 9 months ago
Figure 3 B in "Cooperation is All You Need" shows the same score curves as the top left of Figure 6 in "Beyond Attention," so it must be basically the same implementation. Yet that earlier paper is only cited once, in the Acknowledgements section. As far as I can tell, the only mathematical change in this paper is capping the ReLU at 6. But it also adds a bunch of grandiose verbiage ("triadic modulation loops", "awake thought.")

The author is clearly a crackpot. Maybe he wasn't a crackpot when he still managed to publish in peer-reviewed journals, but cognitive decline over time is not exactly unheard of.

anothermathbozo · 9 months ago
Warrantless and totally spiteful for you to make unqualified claims like “cognitive decline” from skimming two papers. This is shameful.

u/anothermathbozo

KarmaCake day219September 26, 2024View Original