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__Joker commented on The demographic future of humanity: facts and consequences [pdf]   sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/Sl... · Posted by u/akyuu
churchill · 4 months ago
Thank you for this. Nigerian here, and I have to say that you hit the nail squarely on the head. Population counts in Nigeria are deeply political and essentially every region/state is motivated to fake/overestimate their headcount to get a bigger chunk of the oil revenue, which is pretty much the most significant slice of gov. revenue.

But, once you dig into the figures, you realize it'd be a miracle if Nigeria has up to half of the population it claims.

Every single census that's been conducted has been marred by controversy, with states trying to buff up their populations to make their ethnicity/region look bigger and more important.

But, proxies like registered BVN (like Social Security Number, but for bank accounts) are just under 70M. Registered phone lines (~240M; each person usually owns 3-5) are similarly lackluster. Domestic demand is nothing to write home about if you run a CPG business. Zoom into a satellite view of a city that's supposed to have ~700k to 1M people and it looks like a suburb - just scanty.

Nigeria's most populous city claims to have 20M people - 2* the population of Seoul, one of the most urbanized, dense, vertical cities in the world, meanwhile, Lagos is just a sprawling slum.

Personally, I feel population counts across Africa are grossly overestimated. A good estimate would be 600-800M, but where's the fun in that when we can fearmonger about overpopulation?

__Joker · 4 months ago
Are there any proxy for population count? Like may be mobile users, I understand people use more than one.
__Joker commented on Gemini Robotics   deepmind.google/discover/... · Posted by u/meetpateltech
mksreddy · 9 months ago
Imagine Google still owning Boston Dynamics in Gemini era. It would have been an absolute killer.
__Joker · 9 months ago
Yeah, thinking about the same while back. If I remember they sale of Boston Dynamics was kind of chump change for Google.

I assume google made the choice of selling the "brain" for any "body" whoever develops it. Something like android.

__Joker commented on 100x defect tolerance: How we solved the yield problem   cerebras.ai/blog/100x-def... · Posted by u/jwan584
ChuckMcM · a year ago
I would guess you're not asking a serious question here but if you were feel free to contact me, it's why I put my email address in my profile.
__Joker · a year ago
Really sorry, if the question came as snarky or if otherwise. Those were not my intent.

Related to AI given all around noise, really wanted to understand kind of contrarian view of monetary aspects.

Once again, apologies if the question seems frivolous.

__Joker commented on 100x defect tolerance: How we solved the yield problem   cerebras.ai/blog/100x-def... · Posted by u/jwan584
ChuckMcM · a year ago
I think this is an important step, but it skips over that 'fault tolerant routing architecture' means you're spending die space on routes vs transistors. This is exactly analogous to using bits in your storage for error correcting vs storing data.

That said, I think they do a great job of exploiting this technique to create a "larger"[1] chip. And like storage it benefits from every core is the same and you don't need to get to every core directly (pin limiting).

In the early 2000's I was looking at a wafer scale startup that had the same idea but they were applying it to an FPGA architecture rather than a set of tensor units for LLMs. Nearly the exact same pitch, "we don't have to have all of our GLUs[2] work because the built in routing only uses the ones that are qualified." Xilinx was still aggressively suing people who put SERDES ports on FPGAs so they were pin limited overall but the idea is sound.

While I continue to believe that many people are going to collectively lose trillions of dollars ultimately pursuing "AI" at this stage. I appreciate the the amount of money people are willing to put at risk here allow for folks to try these "out of the box" kinds of ideas.

[1] It is physically more cores on a single die but the overall system is likely smaller, given the integration here.

[2] "Generic Logic Unit" which was kind of an extended LUT with some block RAM and register support.

__Joker · a year ago
"While I continue to believe that many people are going to collectively lose trillions of dollars ultimately pursuing "AI" at this stage"

Can you please explain more why you think so ?

Thank you.

__Joker commented on Energy economics and rocket science with Casey Handmer   complexsystemspodcast.com... · Posted by u/vikrum
ragebol · a year ago
> renewable energy armpit

armpit? What is that supposed to mean exactly? (I consider myself a near native English speaker...) A bad place to be in I suppose, but never heard this phasing.

__Joker · a year ago
I assume least desirable place in this context.

Source: https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/armpit

__Joker commented on U.S. sues Apple, accusing it of maintaining an iPhone monopoly   nytimes.com/2024/03/21/te... · Posted by u/jcfrei
endisneigh · 2 years ago
I assert it is trivial to not buy Apple products, easy to make alternatives to Apple products and easy to buy feature equivalent devices to Apple products.

In lieu of this what is the problem? If the government has a problem why not say any code should be able to be run on any device?

Honestly I’m curious - what’s the problem? There are android phones that are superior to iPhones and let you run anything you want. Why don’t people buy those?

The government seems to want to make it illegal to have a tight experience, but why? There are open alternatives. It’s like complaining that Teslas don’t support CarPlay. Valid, but does it require legislation? Buy another car.

FWIW I would love if the government made it so all devices should have an option to run any of your arbitrary code.

__Joker · 2 years ago
Can a argument be made that by not supporting other software on their platform, essentially platform is inhibiting competition, which hinders true price discovery and customer loses ? Like if cars don't allow other FSD on their platform, what choice does the customer has.

u/__Joker

KarmaCake day1717September 15, 2009View Original