All the major social media and messaging platforms are compromised and serve as tools for surveillance, so the Iranian government isn't wrong.
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Lordarminius commented on Iran asks its people to delete WhatsApp from their devices apnews.com/article/iran-w... · Posted by u/rdrd
Lordarminius commented on TikTok goes dark in the US techcrunch.com/2025/01/18... · Posted by u/mfiguiere
China is a totalitarian dictatorship with complete surveillance over the domestic internet. Not really comparable.
And you think America is not ?
> the US financial system. It appears primed to go poof!
Unsustainable public debt. $50 trillion in debt maturity must be rolled over mid 2025. Something must give
* AI and LLMs will continue to improve. AI will create a new programming language that will take the world by storm
* Market share for solar continues to increase
* A market crash occurs in the US and a government bailout is instituted.
* The US creates a pretext to go to war with Iran and is defeated.
* Solar energy will account for around 8% (give or take 1%?) of the worlds energy usage
* We'll see the worlds first trillionaire
* Bitcoin will reach $200k+, and remain largely stable around that price, at the end of 2025
* Generative AI for music will continue to improve substantially. I have a lack of imagination, but maybe something like on demand streaming services, maybe targeted to niche music genres (lo-fi, electronica, elevator/hold/office music)
* Generative AI for video will continue to improve substantially. The best I can come up with is that there will be a breakout indie film or music video that's produced from a skeleton crew relying heavily on generative AI video.
* LLMs will continue to improve substantially, being able to solve more and more complex tasks, like the Putnam exam and others. Research will continue to try and integrate LLMs into a toolchain to improve performance
* LLMs and other generative AI tasks will continue to become more and more accessible ($2.5k for a machine able to do fairly advanced training?)
* The cost of robots and other robotics will drop substantially, providing a reasonable bipedal option at $8k
* Twitter and Facebook will still be around, Bluesky will be no more, Mastodon will continue to be niche
* All the above will be used by people to invent and discover weird, wonderful and horrible things that I can't even imagine.
* Bitcoin is on a trajectory to reach 200k and it will if we get a strong bull season. However the elephant in the room is the House of Cards that is the US financial system. It appears primed to go poof!
* Solar and LLM's will bloom.
I know right , I think he might be too bullish on bitcoin for it to double , though I may be wrong but it just feels like there would be swings because I still believe that there is no use of bitcoin , Its just that its the one which started these coins and there could be better one for use cases , maybe like IDK monero for real anonymous transactions , but even then these are more of a sidekick thing which I don't think I would ever use but I still like the idea of monero , I really really stay away from crypto.
I like index funds so much , that everything else feels a time / effort waste even though I am aspiring to be a programmer , maybe that's partially why I don't see much reason in crypto.
I just think of index funding 80% + bonds 20% or maybe 100% index fund into my own country index ,and maybe having some backup money in need , probably in a liquid fixed deposit or having multiple bank accounts and giving them all the maximum amount of money which is guaranteed to be given to me if a bank fails by the govt. , probably 10k$ is enough in my country or maybe I am still over estimating.
>I like index funds so much , that everything else feels a time / effort waste even though I am aspiring to be a programmer , maybe that's partially why I don't see much reason in crypto.
Crypto is the future of money and finance. If you are aspiring to become a programmer you should internalize this and get in.
Lordarminius commented on Malaria vaccine delivered by a mosquito bite nature.com/articles/d4158... · Posted by u/gmays
The entire problem is that we can't stop someone (namely Mr. Mosquito) from coming up to us with a needle full of something and stabbing us with it (that they already stabbed other people with) without our consent.
I'd much prefer we got rid of Mr. Mosquito, but if we won't (or can't) we can at least make sure that what's in that jerk's needle stops killing people every day.
You hold a very simplistic and naive view.
It wouldn't be a cake walk. But America could topple the government in Tehran about as easily as it did in Baghdad or, frankly, Kabul. The problem in Iraq and Afghanistan wasn't a failure to decapitate the opposing state. It was in filling the vacuum that left.